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Cruzeiro crestCruzeiro
v
Flamengo crestFlamengo

Serie A | Sun 23 Aug, 00:30

Cruzeiro v Flamengo Stats

Data last updated: Wed 23 Sep 2026, 11:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cruzeiro face Flamengo in Serie A on Sun 23 Aug, 00:30. Both teams enter this tie with strong attacking form: Cruzeiro have scored in their last two home wins, while Flamengo boast a potent offense with 14 goals in six group matches.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 1/1, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Cruzeiro show a 60% BTTS rate and Flamengo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Cruzeiro average 1.6 goals scored and Flamengo average 2.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Cruzeiro show a 60% BTTS rate and Flamengo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
Cruzeiro show a 60% BTTS rate and Flamengo show a.Visible data support
Positive
Cruzeiro average 1.6 goals scored and Flamengo average 2.6, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Cruzeiro show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Flamengo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Cruzeiro need to exploit home advantage, but treating the first leg like a 90-minute final would be reckless.

Main risk

Cruzeiro need to exploit home advantage, but treating the first leg like a 90-minute final would be reckless.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Cruzeiro show a 60% BTTS rate and Flamengo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Cruzeiro average 1.6 goals scored and Flamengo average 2.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cruzeiro1.6
Avg goals scored
Flamengo2.6
Cruzeiro0.8
Avg goals conceded
Flamengo0.6
Cruzeiro60%
BTTS rate
Flamengo60%
Cruzeiro60%
Over 2.5 goals
Flamengo40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2
Check odds @ 2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Flamengo to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cruzeiro6
Avg corners for
Flamengo4.4
Cruzeiro8.8
Avg total corners
Flamengo7.2
Cruzeiro3.6
Avg yellow cards
Flamengo1
Cruzeiro15
Avg shots
Flamengo15.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 5.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cruzeiro

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
16 Aug 2026A Corinthians2-1
09 Aug 2026H Mirassol3-1
31 Jul 2026A Coritiba1-0
26 Jul 2026H Botafogo0-1
23 Jul 2026A Internacional2-1

Flamengo

WWDDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
16 Aug 2026A Mirassol5-1
09 Aug 2026H Vitoria2-0
29 Jul 2026A Internacional1-1
26 Jul 2026H Sao Paulo1-1
23 Jul 2026A Chapecoense-sc4-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 64% · edge +3.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Flamengo to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Cruzeiro wins
3Draws
6Flamengo wins
20 Aug 2026Flamengo v Cruzeiro2-1
13 Aug 2026Cruzeiro v Flamengo1-1
12 Mar 2026Flamengo v Cruzeiro2-0
03 Oct 2025Flamengo v Cruzeiro0-0
04 May 2025Cruzeiro v Flamengo2-1
07 Nov 2024Cruzeiro v Flamengo0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Cruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Flamengo to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Cruzeiro28
Played
Flamengo28
Cruzeiro1.5
Avg goals for
Flamengo2
Cruzeiro1.4
Avg goals against
Flamengo0.8
Cruzeiro5
Clean sheets
Flamengo12
Best odds for this sectionCruzeiro to WinBetfred guide price · Model 39% vs implied 31% · edge +7.3 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Flamengo to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Season data supports Cruzeiro to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Flamengo6028186432
6Cruzeiro452813692
Cruzeiro sit in position 6, while Flamengo sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Cruzeiro Over 2.5
40%Flamengo Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cruzeiro sit at 60% and Flamengo sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Cruzeiro v Flamengo prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Serie A hubSerie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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