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Cruz Azul crestCruz Azul
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FC Juarez crestFC Juarez

Liga MX | Sun 18 Oct, 04:10

Cruz Azul v FC Juarez Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cruz Azul and FC Juarez meet in a Liga MX clash where Cruz Azul sits comfortably in 7th place with 17 points, while FC Juarez struggles near the bottom with just 4 points. Cruz Azul's recent form shows a strong attacking output, averaging 2.2 goals per game, while Juarez has managed 1 goal per match. Both teams have a 60% rate of matches featuring goals from both sides, indicating an open game likely to see attacking intent from both. The tactical setup suggests Cruz Azul will press forward aggressively, while Juarez will seek to capitalize on counter-attacks, setting the stage for a contest with goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.
  • Cruz Azul averages 18.8 shots and 6.4 shots on target per game, showing strong offensive pressure.
  • FC Juarez averages 10.8 shots and 3.6 shots on target, reflecting consistent attacking attempts.
  • Recent form shows Cruz Azul scores 2.2 goals per game, while Juarez scores 1, supporting goal-scoring chances for both.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.9 over 10 matches, suggesting an open and goal-rich fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% probability to both teams scoring, reflecting strong attacking tendencies from Cruz Azul and FC Juarez. Cruz Azul's high shot volume and Juarez's persistent offensive efforts underpin this . Both teams maintain a 60% BTTS rate, supported by recent form and historical head-to-head goal averages near 3 per match. This statistical alignment with tactical openness and attacking roles validates the pick as a solid choice for this fixture.

Model BTTS Probability73.3%
Strong positive
Cruz Azul Offensive Output2.2 goals/game, 18.8 shots/game
Strong positive
FC Juarez Offensive Pressure1 goal/game, 10.8 shots/game
Positive
BTTS Rate Both Teams60% each
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Goals Average2.9 goals/match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown consistent attacking intent this season, with Cruz Azul's high shot volume and Juarez's resilience in front of goal making a compelling case for both sides to find the net. The data highlights a fixture likely to feature goals at both ends, driven by offensive roles and recent scoring patterns.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles of Cruz Azul and FC Juarez suggest a lively encounter where both sides are likely to breach each other's defenses, making the BTTS market a logical focus for bettors.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.

Cruz Azul averages 18.8 shots and 6.4 shots on target per game, showing strong offensive pressure.

FC Juarez averages 10.8 shots and 3.6 shots on target, reflecting consistent attacking attempts.

Recent form shows Cruz Azul scores 2.2 goals per game, while Juarez scores 1, supporting goal-scoring chances for both.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 2.9, with frequent goal exchanges.
  • This trend, combined with recent BTTS rates, suggests a match tempo favoring open play and multiple scoring opportunities for both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cruz Azul2.2
Avg goals scored
FC Juarez1
Cruz Azul2
Avg goals conceded
FC Juarez1.4
Cruz Azul60%
BTTS rate
FC Juarez60%
Cruz Azul60%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Juarez40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams maintain a 60% BTTS rate this season, with Cruz Azul averaging 2.2 goals and Juarez 1 goal per game. Their head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends through open play and attacking transitions.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
FC Juarez Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
FC Juarez to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
Cruz Azul Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Cruz Azul to WinBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The 70.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Cruz Azul show a 60% BTTS rate and FC Juarez show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cruz Azul

DDLWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
12 Oct 2026A U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-3
26 Sep 2026H Toluca3-3
20 Sep 2026A Monterrey0-1
13 Sep 2026H Club America4-3
07 Sep 2026H Santos Laguna1-0

FC Juarez

DLWLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 8L
11 Oct 2026H Club Tijuana1-1
28 Sep 2026A Leon1-2
19 Sep 2026H Tigres UANL2-0
14 Sep 2026A Santos Laguna1-2
05 Sep 2026H CF Pachuca0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 33% · edge +12.6 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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FC Juarez Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
FC Juarez to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
Cruz Azul Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Cruz Azul to WinBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Recent form data shows Cruz Azul accumulating 8 points with a 60% BTTS rate and 60% Over 2.5 goals rate, while Juarez has 4 points with matching BTTS frequency. Both teams' scoring and conceding patterns suggest a fixture prone to goals from both sides, reflecting their current momentum and tactical openness.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Cruz Azul Over 2.5
40%FC Juarez Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 2.9, with frequent goal exchanges. This trend, combined with recent BTTS rates, suggests a match tempo favoring open play and multiple scoring opportunities for both sides.

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