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Cruz Azul crestCruz Azul
v
Atlante FC crestAtlante FC

Liga MX | Sun 02 Aug, 04:05

Cruz Azul v Atlante FC Stats

Data last updated: Sun 02 Aug 2026, 15:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cruz Azul hosts Atlante FC in a Liga MX clash where the defending champions have started strongly with two comeback wins, showcasing resilience and attacking firepower. Cruz Azul averages nearly 19 shots and 335 dangerous attacks per match, controlling possession through key midfielders like Erik Lira and Jose Paradela. Atlante, newly promoted, have struggled defensively, conceding 16 goals in six matches and failing to win away recently. Despite this, Atlante have shown fighting spirit, scoring in recent games, which combined with Cruz Azul's defensive lapses, sets the stage for a competitive match with goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Cruz Azul to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Cruz Azul unbeaten in last 15 matches, winning first two league games after falling behind
  • Atlante have conceded in six consecutive matches, allowing 16 goals overall
  • Cruz Azul averages 18.83 shots and 335 dangerous attacks per match, dominating possession
  • Both teams have scored in five of Cruz Azul's last six matches, reflecting attacking openness
  • Atlante’s defensive fragility and recent away struggles increase likelihood of conceding multiple goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Cruz Azul to Win & Both Teams to Score highly due to Cruz Azul's dominant attacking statistics including high shot volume and possession control, combined with Atlante's defensive vulnerabilities and consistent goal concessions. The of 53.4% exceeds the implied market chance of 37%, indicating strong value. Cruz Azul's resilience in overcoming deficits and Atlante's ability to find the net despite defensive issues support the expectation of goals from both sides. No data limitations affect in this prediction.

Model Chance53.4%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance37%
Strong positive
Cruz Azul Attack Volume18.83 shots/match, 335 dangerous attacks
Strong positive
Atlante Defensive Record16 goals conceded in last 6 matches
Strong positive
Both Teams to Score Rate100% recent matches for both teams
Strong positive
Main risk

Eugenio Pizzuto scored the equaliser in that second match, but the wider figures underlined the pressure Atlante absorbed.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goal-scoring dynamics

“Cruz Azul's attacking depth and midfield control should secure victory, but Atlante's resilience and defensive lapses make goals at both ends likely in this Liga MX fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Cruz Azul to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Cruz Azul unbeaten in last 15 matches, winning first two league games after falling behind

Atlante have conceded in six consecutive matches, allowing 16 goals overall

Cruz Azul averages 18.83 shots and 335 dangerous attacks per match, dominating possession

Both teams have scored in five of Cruz Azul's last six matches, reflecting attacking openness

What To Watch In The Data

Cruz Azul to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent Liga MX matches involving Cruz Azul have seen 100% over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting their attacking style and defensive openness.
  • Atlante's matches show a 50% over 2.5 rate but consistent goal concessions.
  • The trend suggests a high-tempo game with multiple goals, supporting expectations for an open contest with scoring from both sides.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cruz Azul5.5
Avg corners for
Atlante FC3.5
Cruz Azul9
Avg total corners
Atlante FC13.5
Cruz Azul1.5
Avg yellow cards
Atlante FC1.5
Cruz Azul21
Avg shots
Atlante FC10
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Cruz Azul averages 21 shots and 5.5 corners per match, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Atlante's lower averages (10 shots, 3.5 corners) reflect their defensive posture but also their vulnerability to sustained pressure. Both teams average 1.5 yellow cards per game, suggesting a moderately physical contest with potential fouls disrupting rhythm.

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Useful next reads

full betting preview for Cruz Azul v Atlante FCcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cruz Azul2.5
Avg goals scored
Atlante FC1
Cruz Azul1.5
Avg goals conceded
Atlante FC1.5
Cruz Azul100%
BTTS rate
Atlante FC100%
Cruz Azul100%
Over 2.5 goals
Atlante FC50%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have consistently scored in recent matches, with Cruz Azul conceding in five of six games and Atlante allowing 16 goals in six matches. Cruz Azul's high shot volume and Atlante's defensive struggles suggest an open game with multiple goals, supporting the Both Teams to Score route alongside Cruz Azul's win.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Cruz Azul Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
The market price of 2.7 for Cruz Azul to Win & Both Teams to Score offers clear value compared to the model's 53.4% chance, reflecting in Cruz Azul's offensive control and Atlante's defensive frailty. The represent a positive of 16.4%, making this an attractive selection without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cruz Azul

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
22 Jul 2026H Puebla2-1
18 Jul 2026A Atletico San Luis3-2

Atlante FC

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
25 Jul 2026H Club America1-1
17 Jul 2026A Necaxa1-2
Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Cruz Azul Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Cruz Azul's perfect start with two wins after trailing shows resilience and attacking potency, averaging 2.5 goals scored per match and maintaining a 100% BTTS rate. Atlante's form is weaker with just one point and 1 goal per match, but their ability to score despite defensive issues keeps the match competitive and goals likely from both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Cruz Azul wins
0Draws
0Atlante FC wins
Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Historical meetings between Cruz Azul and Atlante are limited in recent years, with no recorded matches since 2016. Past encounters favored Cruz Azul heavily, but current team dynamics and recent form provide a more relevant guide. The lack of recent head-to-head data means current season form and tactical setups carry more weight in predicting outcomes.
Season team stats

Liga MX

Cruz Azul3
Played
Atlante FC3
Cruz Azul2.3
Avg goals for
Atlante FC1.7
Cruz Azul2
Avg goals against
Atlante FC1.7
Cruz Azul0
Clean sheets
Atlante FC0
Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Cruz Azul Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Cruz Azul's season stats reveal a potent attack with 21 average shots per game and a high BTTS rate, balanced by a defense that concedes occasionally. Atlante's stats show fewer shots and goals scored but a high goals-against average, highlighting defensive weaknesses that Cruz Azul can exploit while still allowing Atlante to score.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Cruz Azul632011
9Atlante FC431110
Cruz Azul sits comfortably in 4th place with six points, reflecting strong early-season form and . Atlante, in 15th, struggle for points and defensive solidity. While standings show Cruz Azul as favorites, Atlante's fight for survival adds competitive edge and motivation to score, influencing the match dynamics.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Cruz Azul Over 2.5
50%Atlante FC Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent Liga MX matches involving Cruz Azul have seen 100% over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting their attacking style and defensive openness. Atlante's matches show a 50% over 2.5 rate but consistent goal concessions. The trend suggests a high-tempo game with multiple goals, supporting expectations for an open contest with scoring from both sides.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Cruz Azul v Atlante FC prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

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Next step

Betting context

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