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Croatia U21 crestCroatia U21
v
Greece U21 crestGreece U21

Friendlies | Sat 30 May, 14:00

Croatia U21 v Greece U21 Stats

Data last updated: Fri 29 May 2026, 02:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Croatia U21 face Greece U21 in Friendlies on Sat 30 May, 14:00. Croatia U21 come in with 0 recent points and - goals per match, while Greece U21 have 0 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.85, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 78%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 78% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price78% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Strong positive
Price sensitivityEdge +23.9 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Croatia U21 wins
1Draws
0Greece U21 wins
15 Oct 2024Croatia U21 v Greece U213-2
13 Oct 2023Greece U21 v Croatia U212-2
13 Oct 2020Greece U21 v Croatia U210-1
03 Sep 2020Croatia U21 v Greece U215-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 54% · edge +23.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Greece U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Croatia U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Croatia U21

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Croatia U21 yet.

Greece U21

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
27 May 2026H Qatar U231-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 52% · edge +15.6 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
Greece U21 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Greece U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Croatia U21 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Croatia U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Friendlies fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Croatia U21-
Avg goals scored
Greece U211
Croatia U21-
Avg goals conceded
Greece U212
Croatia U21-
BTTS rate
Greece U21100%
Croatia U21-
Over 2.5 goals
Greece U21100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 54% · edge +23.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 54% · edge +23.9 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Greece U21 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Greece U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Croatia U21 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Croatia U213
Played
Greece U212
Croatia U211.7
Avg goals for
Greece U211
Croatia U211
Avg goals against
Greece U211.5
Croatia U211
Clean sheets
Greece U210
Best odds for this sectionGreece U21 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 35% · edge +13.6 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Greece U21 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Croatia U21 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Croatia U21 to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Season data supports Greece U21 Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Croatia U21 Over 2.5
100%Greece U21 Over 2.5
3.75H2H avg goals

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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More stats pages

Browse football stats pages

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Competition and hubs

Friendlies hubFriendlies fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre