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Cremonese crestCremonese
v
Sampdoria crestSampdoria

Coppa Italia | Mon 17 Aug, 19:45

Cremonese v Sampdoria Stats

Data last updated: Tue 08 Sep 2026, 18:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cremonese face Sampdoria in Coppa Italia on Mon 17 Aug, 19:45. Cremonese are trying to repair the habits of a team that won just three times in 22 league matches late last season. Cremonese's unbeaten pre-season with scoring contributions and Sampdoria's recent two-goal friendly win suggest both teams have paths to score.

BT4Y match pick

Loses if either side fails to score, meaning outcomes such as 1-0, 0-0, 0-2 or any clean sheet defeat the bet

  • At 9/10, Loses if either side fails to score, meaning outcomes such as 1-0, 0-0, 0-2 or any clean sheet defeat the bet implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Market Explainer: Both Teams To Score (YES)

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for Loses if either side fails to score, meaning outcomes such as 1-0, 0-0, 0-2 or any clean sheet defeat the bet sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Market Explainer: Both Teams To Score (YES)

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Neutral
Market Explainer: Both Teams To Score (YES)Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -2.6 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because market Explainer: Both Teams To Score (YES) Lorenzo Insigne is the headline arrival, although his involvement is uncertain after training separately.

Main risk

Lorenzo Insigne is the headline arrival, although his involvement is uncertain after training separately.

Key Data Signals

Loses if either side fails to score, meaning outcomes such as 1-0, 0-0, 0-2 or any clean sheet defeat the bet evidence

Market Explainer: Both Teams To Score (YES)

What To Watch In The Data

Loses if either side fails to score, meaning outcomes such as 1-0, 0-0, 0-2 or any clean sheet defeat the bet notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cremonese-
Avg goals scored
Sampdoria-
Cremonese-
Avg goals conceded
Sampdoria-
Cremonese-
BTTS rate
Sampdoria-
Cremonese-
Over 2.5 goals
Sampdoria-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 51% · edge -1.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 51% · edge -1.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Sampdoria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Sampdoria to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cremonese to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cremonese

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Cremonese yet.

Sampdoria

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sampdoria yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Sampdoria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Sampdoria to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cremonese to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Cremonese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Cremonese wins
3Draws
1Sampdoria wins
01 May 2025Sampdoria v Cremonese0-0
22 Dec 2024Cremonese v Sampdoria1-1
27 Feb 2024Sampdoria v Cremonese1-2
03 Sep 2023Cremonese v Sampdoria1-1
08 Apr 2023Sampdoria v Cremonese2-3
24 Oct 2022Cremonese v Sampdoria0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 51% · edge -1.3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Sampdoria to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cremonese to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Coppa Italia

Cremonese2
Played
Sampdoria1
Cremonese2
Avg goals for
Sampdoria0
Cremonese0
Avg goals against
Sampdoria2
Cremonese2
Clean sheets
Sampdoria0
Best odds for this sectionSampdoria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 40% · edge +11.5 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Sampdoria to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Cremonese to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Cremonese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Season data supports Sampdoria Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Cremonese Over 2.5
-Sampdoria Over 2.5
2.17H2H avg goals
Market Explainer: Both Teams To Score (YES)

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.