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Cremonese crestCremonese
v
Como crestComo

Serie A | Sun 24 May, 19:45

Cremonese v Como Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 09:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cremonese face Como in Serie A on Sun 24 May, 19:45. Como come into this match as significant favourites, driven by their pursuit of Champions League qualification. Como have kept four consecutive Serie A clean sheets, pointing firmly towards a lower-scoring affair at the Stadio Giovanni Zini.

BT4Y best bet

Victories under Marco Giampaolo

  • At 11/2, Cremonese Win implies roughly 15%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Como have lost only one of their last 10 Serie A away matches, making them heavy away favourites against a relegation-threatened Cremonese side.
  • Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Cremonese.
  • Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Cremonese Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Cremonese sit 18 in the table, while Como sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Cremonese Win sits against roughly 15% implied by the current price. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Cremonese. Como have lost only one of their last 10 Serie A away matches, making them heavy away favourites against a relegation-threatened Cremonese side.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 15% implied
Positive
Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Como have lost only one of their last 10.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Cremonese Win is the preferred angle because como have lost only one of their last 10 Serie A away matches, making them heavy away favourites against a relegation-threatened Cremonese side. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Cremonese. Their title race may already be over, but the intensity has not completely disappeared.

Main risk

Their title race may already be over, but the intensity has not completely disappeared.

Key Data Signals

Cremonese Win evidence

Como have lost only one of their last 10 Serie A away matches, making them heavy away favourites.

Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Cremonese.

Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Cremonese Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Cremonese sit 18 in the table, while Como sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Cremonese Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Cremonese1
    Avg goals scored
    Como1
    Cremonese1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Como0.4
    Cremonese20%
    BTTS rate
    Como20%
    Cremonese60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Como20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 50% · edge +14 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 72%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 40%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Serie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Cremonese38
    Played
    Como38
    Cremonese0.8
    Avg goals for
    Como1.7
    Cremonese1.5
    Avg goals against
    Como0.8
    Cremonese11
    Clean sheets
    Como19
    Market aligned with main pickCremonese to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 19% · edge +8 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Cremonese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Season data supports Cremonese to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Cremonese

    WWLLD
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 6L
    17 May 2026A Udinese1-0
    10 May 2026H Pisa3-0
    04 May 2026H Lazio1-2
    24 Apr 2026A Napoli0-4
    19 Apr 2026H Torino0-0

    Como

    WWDWL
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    17 May 2026H Parma1-0
    10 May 2026A Hellas Verona1-0
    02 May 2026H Napoli0-0
    26 Apr 2026A Genoa2-0
    17 Apr 2026A Sassuolo1-2
    Market aligned with main pickCremonese to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 19% · edge +8 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    2.37
    Check odds @ 2.37
    Cremonese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCremonese to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 19% · edge +8 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Cremonese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 40%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Cremonese to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Cremonese5.2
    Avg corners for
    Como7.2
    Cremonese8.6
    Avg total corners
    Como10.8
    Cremonese0.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Como2
    Cremonese10.2
    Avg shots
    Como14
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 55% · edge +4.1 pts
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 49%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Cremonese wins
    2Draws
    0Como wins
    27 Sep 2025Como v Cremonese1-1
    09 Mar 2024Cremonese v Como2-1
    08 Oct 2023Como v Cremonese1-3
    06 May 2022como v Cremonese1-2
    15 Jan 2022Cremonese v como2-0
    04 Apr 2017Cremonese v como3-1
    Market aligned with main pickCremonese to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 19% · edge +8 pts
    5.25
    Check odds @ 5.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 40%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Cremonese to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4Como71382011736
    18Cremonese343881020-25
    Cremonese sit in position 18, while Como sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Cremonese Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Cremonese Over 2.5
    20%Como Over 2.5
    3.14H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cremonese sit at 60% and Como sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.14 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Cremonese v Como prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

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