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Cosenza crestCosenza
v
Team Altamura crestTeam Altamura

Serie C - Girone C | Sun 18 Oct, 13:30

Cosenza v Team Altamura Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cosenza and Team Altamura meet in Serie C - Girone C with both sides showing cautious recent form. Cosenza has scored just one goal in their last few matches while conceding twice, and Team Altamura's attack has been even more subdued, averaging 0.4 goals per game. Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency towards tighter scorelines. The fixture is poised for a tactical battle with limited offensive output, suggesting a low-scoring encounter under typical Serie C conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams average only 1.4 combined goals per game recently, indicating low scoring.
  • Cosenza concedes more than one goal per match on average, but scoring is limited.
  • Both sides have a 40% rate of Over 2.5 Goals matches, below average for high-scoring games.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 1.5 goals, supporting a low-scoring trend.
  • Recent form shows both teams earning 4 points with few goals scored, reinforcing defensive solidity.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 64.5% chance, reflecting the low scoring trends of both teams. Cosenza and Team Altamura have struggled offensively, averaging less than 1.5 goals combined per match recently. Their head-to-head average of 1.5 goals further supports a tight game. The at 1.62 offer a small positive , making this a sensible selection given the defensive tendencies and tactical caution expected in this Serie C fixture.

Model Chance64.5% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+2.8 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Goals ScoredCosenza 1, Team Altamura 0.4 per game
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals1.5 goals per match
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals Rate40% for both teams
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical choice given the defensive solidity and low scoring output from both Cosenza and Team Altamura. The tactical nature of Serie C matches and recent form data suggest a tight contest with limited goal opportunities. This bet aligns well with the observed trends and statistical evidence for a low-scoring game.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Under 2.5 Goals rationale

“This fixture is set for a tactical, low-scoring affair as both teams have struggled to find the net recently. Defensive discipline and cautious play will likely keep the goals under 2.5, making this a prudent selection.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams average only 1.4 combined goals per game recently, indicating low scoring.

Cosenza concedes more than one goal per match on average, but scoring is limited.

Head-to-head meetings average 1.5 goals, supporting a low-scoring trend.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last two head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 1.5 goals, indicating a trend towards fewer goals.
  • This small sample supports the expectation of a low-tempo game with limited scoring chances, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cosenza1
Avg goals scored
Team Altamura0.4
Cosenza2
Avg goals conceded
Team Altamura1.4
Cosenza60%
BTTS rate
Team Altamura20%
Cosenza40%
Over 2.5 goals
Team Altamura40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 62% · edge +2.8 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Both teams have low scoring averages, with Cosenza scoring 1 goal and Team Altamura 0.4 goals per game recently. The BTTS rates differ, with Cosenza at 60% and Team Altamura at 20%, suggesting that while Cosenza concedes and scores more, Team Altamura tends to keep matches tighter. This mix supports a low total goals outcome.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cosenza

WLLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 6L
12 Oct 2026A AZ Picerno2-1
04 Oct 2026H Foggia0-2
26 Sep 2026A Bari0-1
19 Sep 2026H Scafatese1-1
15 Sep 2026A Giugliano2-5

Team Altamura

LDLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 5L
11 Oct 2026H Catania0-3
04 Oct 2026A Audace Cerignola0-0
27 Sep 2026A Scafatese0-2
19 Sep 2026H AZ Picerno2-1
15 Sep 2026A Casertana0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 63% · edge +6.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Team Altamura to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Team Altamura Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Cosenza Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Cosenza to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form shows both teams earning 4 points with low goals scored and conceded. Cosenza has a slightly higher goals against average (2) compared to Team Altamura (1.4), but both sides have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency towards controlled, low-scoring games.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 52% · edge +4.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Team Altamura to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Team Altamura Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Cosenza Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Cosenza to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3
Check odds @ 3
The 64.5% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+2.8 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Cosenza and 40% for Team Altamura, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Cosenza Over 2.5
40%Team Altamura Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
The last two head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 1.5 goals, indicating a trend towards fewer goals. This small sample supports the expectation of a low-tempo game with limited scoring chances, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals selection.

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