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Coritiba crestCoritiba
v
Bahia crestBahia

Serie A | Tue 26 May, 00:00

Coritiba v Bahia Stats

BT4Y best bet

Coritiba to Win

  • At 2.62, Coritiba to Win is priced at roughly 38% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 65%, so the current line is showing a +26.6-point value edge.
  • Coritiba have a recent record of 2W-1D-2L, while Bahia come in at 0W-3D-2L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Coritiba to Win angle: Coritiba have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Coritiba to Win angle: Bahia have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.62, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 38% · edge +26.6 pts
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Coritiba Over 2.5
60%Bahia Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Coritiba

WDLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
17 May 2026A Santos3-0
09 May 2026H Internacional2-2
02 May 2026A Vitoria1-4
26 Apr 2026A Gremio0-1
19 Apr 2026H Atletico-MG2-0

Bahia

DLDDL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
17 May 2026H Gremio1-1
10 May 2026H Cruzeiro1-2
03 May 2026A Sao Paulo2-2
25 Apr 2026H Santos2-2
19 Apr 2026A Flamengo0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 38% · edge +26.6 pts
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Coritiba1.6
Avg goals scored
Bahia1.2
Coritiba1.4
Avg goals conceded
Bahia1.8
Coritiba40%
BTTS rate
Bahia80%
Coritiba60%
Over 2.5 goals
Bahia60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 57% · edge +16.2 pts
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

1Coritiba wins
5Draws
4Bahia wins
15 Sep 2023Coritiba v Bahia2-4
07 May 2023Bahia v Coritiba3-1
16 Nov 2020Coritiba v Bahia1-2
13 Aug 2020Bahia v Coritiba1-0
30 Sep 2017Bahia v Coritiba1-1
15 Jun 2017Coritiba v Bahia0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 38% · edge +26.6 pts
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Coritiba2.8
Avg corners for
Bahia5.8
Coritiba8
Avg total corners
Bahia12.4
Coritiba1.6
Avg yellow cards
Bahia2.6
Coritiba7.8
Avg shots
Bahia15.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 58% · edge -3.1 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleBreno Lopes Anytime GoalscorerBreno Lopes · 7 goals · 1.01 SOT/90
77/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
M. Sanabria 1+ Shot On TargetM. Sanabria · 1.49 shots on target/90
78/100
Bet HERE
M. Sanabria 2+ ShotsM. Sanabria · 2.98 shots/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Josué To Assist / Key Pass AngleJosué · 6 assists · 2.23 key passes/90
71/100
Bet HERE
Lucas Ronier To Be FouledLucas Ronier · 2.7 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Lucas Taverna Card RiskLucas Taverna · 1 yellows · 4.5 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Breno Lopes
Breno LopesCoritiba · Attacker
Goal threat67/100
Shots /901.46
SOT /901.01
M. Sanabria
M. SanabriaBahia · Attacker
Goal threat64/100
Shots /902.98
SOT /901.49
Luciano Juba
Luciano JubaBahia · Defender
Goal threat55/100
Shots /901.26
SOT /900.8
C. Olivera
C. OliveraBahia · Attacker
Goal threat51/100
Shots /901.84
SOT /901.36
Dell
DellBahia · Attacker
Goal threat21/100
Shots /902.34
SOT /901.17
Keno
KenoCoritiba · Attacker
Goal threat20/100
Shots /902.09
SOT /901.05
Lucas Taverna
Lucas TavernaCoritiba · Defender
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
João Paulo
João PauloBahia · Goalkeeper
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

Serie A

Coritiba16
Played
Bahia15
Coritiba1.3
Avg goals for
Bahia1.4
Coritiba1.2
Avg goals against
Bahia1.3
Coritiba5
Clean sheets
Bahia4
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 38% · edge +26.6 pts
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Coritiba23166552
8Bahia23156542

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

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