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Congo DR crestCongo DR
v
Denmark crestDenmark

Friendlies | Wed 03 Jun, 19:00

Congo DR v Denmark Stats

Data last updated: Tue 02 Jun 2026, 03:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Denmark hosts Congo DR in a friendly clash marked by contrasting styles and tactical discipline. Denmark arrives on the back of a strong scoring run, netting 19 goals in six matches, while Congo DR is renowned for defensive solidity, having kept clean sheets in five of their last six games and consistently producing low-scoring matches. Both teams face physical and mental fatigue factors, with Denmark coming off a demanding season and Congo DR undergoing intense training. This sets the stage for a cautious, low-tempo encounter where defensive organization is likely to dominate over attacking flair.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Congo DR has finished under 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 matches, showing strong defensive discipline.
  • Denmark has scored in six consecutive matches, averaging over three goals per game in that span.
  • Congo DR conceded only two goals in their last six internationals, highlighting their defensive resilience.
  • The fixture's friendly nature and fatigue factors suggest a slower tempo and limited attacking risk-taking.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals due to Congo DR's exceptional defensive record, with ten of their last eleven matches finishing below three goals and only two goals conceded in six games. Denmark's high scoring is tempered by the friendly context and fatigue, reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The model's 70.7% chance for Under 2.5 Goals aligns with the tactical battle between Denmark's attacking momentum and Congo DR's disciplined defense. Limited Denmark data adds some uncertainty, but the strong defensive signals and match context support this low-scoring outlook.

Congo DR Defensive Record10 of last 11 matches under 2.5 goals
Strong positive
Denmark Scoring Streak19 goals in 6 matches
Positive
Match ContextFriendly with fatigue concerns
Positive
Data QualityLimited Denmark data
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This match is expected to be a tactical contest dominated by Congo DR's defensive discipline and Denmark's measured attacking approach. Denmark's consistent scoring ability contrasts with Congo DR's resilience, making a low-scoring game with Under 2.5 Goals the most plausible outcome. The disciplined defensive shape and fatigue factors suggest limited chances and a controlled tempo.

Main risk

An early defensive error or set-piece goal could disrupt the low-scoring pattern and open the game unexpectedly.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match tactical balance

“Denmark's attacking prowess faces a stern test against Congo DR's defensive organization, making a cautious, low-scoring match the most likely scenario in this friendly encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Congo DR has finished under 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 matches, showing strong defensive discipline.

Denmark has scored in six consecutive matches, averaging over three goals per game in that span.

Congo DR conceded only two goals in their last six internationals, highlighting their defensive resilience.

The fixture's friendly nature and fatigue factors suggest a slower tempo and limited attacking risk-taking.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last eleven matches, Congo DR has consistently produced under 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards low-tempo, defensive games.
  • Denmark's recent matches have featured higher goal totals but under different competitive pressures.
  • This trend analysis suggests a continuation of low-scoring outcomes in this fixture, driven by Congo DR's defensive approach and the friendly context.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionCongo DR to WinBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 17% · edge +54 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
Load more odds for this section
Congo DR Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Denmark Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Denmark to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 8/11, reflecting the strong defensive tendencies of Congo DR and the cautious nature of a friendly match. The model's 70.7% probability suggests positive value here, supported by Congo DR's consistent low-scoring games and Denmark's tempered attacking output due to fatigue and match stakes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Congo DR2
Avg goals scored
Denmark-
Congo DR0
Avg goals conceded
Denmark-
Congo DR0%
BTTS rate
Denmark-
Congo DR0%
Over 2.5 goals
Denmark-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 59% · edge +7.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Congo DR's last eleven matches have overwhelmingly ended with under three goals, and their defensive structure limits opponent chances. Denmark's scoring streak contrasts with Congo DR's attack struggles, especially against European teams. This dynamic supports a low total goals scenario and a low likelihood of both teams scoring, aligning with the Under 3.5 and BTTS No context.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Congo DR

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
25 Mar 2026H Bermuda2-0

Denmark

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Denmark yet.

Best odds for this sectionCongo DR to WinBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 17% · edge +54 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
Load more odds for this section
Congo DR Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Denmark Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Denmark to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Recent form data highlights Congo DR's defensive strength with three points and zero goals conceded in their last match, reinforcing their low-scoring trend. Denmark's scoring data is less complete but their six-match scoring streak indicates offensive consistency. The form suggests a match leaning towards defensive control and limited goal-scoring opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Congo DR wins
0Draws
0Denmark wins
Best odds for this sectionCongo DR to WinBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 17% · edge +54 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Denmark to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
No previous head-to-head matches exist between Congo DR and Denmark, so historical data offers no direct insight. The analysis relies on recent form, tactical profiles, and defensive records to assess likely match dynamics rather than past encounters.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Congo DR1
Played
Denmark0
Congo DR2
Avg goals for
Denmark0
Congo DR0
Avg goals against
Denmark0
Congo DR1
Clean sheets
Denmark0
Best odds for this sectionCongo DR to WinBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 17% · edge +54 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
Load more odds for this section
Congo DR Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Denmark Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Denmark to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Season-long statistics show Congo DR's preference for low-scoring games, with a strong defensive record limiting goals conceded. Denmark's season stats reflect a potent attack but also the impact of fixture congestion and fatigue. These factors combine to favor a match outcome with fewer than 2.5 goals scored.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Congo DR Over 2.5
-Denmark Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last eleven matches, Congo DR has consistently produced under 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards low-tempo, defensive games. Denmark's recent matches have featured higher goal totals but under different competitive pressures. This trend analysis suggests a continuation of low-scoring outcomes in this fixture, driven by Congo DR's defensive approach and the friendly context.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Congo DR v Denmark prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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