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Congo DR crestCongo DR
v
Chile crestChile

Friendlies | Tue 09 Jun, 17:00

Congo DR v Chile Stats

Data last updated: Mon 15 Jun 2026, 16:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Congo DR hosts Chile in a friendly match where Congo DR's recent form shows defensive solidity with four points from two games and no goals conceded, contrasting with Chile's struggles, having lost both recent matches and conceded twice. Congo DR's tactical approach appears focused on control and defensive organization, aiming to capitalize on home advantage. Chile, despite their attacking talent, have yet to find rhythm, making this a contest where Congo DR's resilience and home set the stage for a competitive encounter with a likely edge to the hosts.

BT4Y best bet

Congo DR to Win

  • Congo DR has kept clean sheets in recent matches, conceding zero goals in two games.
  • Chile has lost both recent matches and conceded two goals, showing defensive vulnerability.
  • Congo DR's recent form includes four points and a strong defensive record, boosting win chances.
  • Chile's over 2.5 goals rate is 100%, but Congo DR's defensive discipline may limit scoring.
  • No previous head-to-head meetings, adding uncertainty but favoring Congo DR's home form.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Congo DR to win with a 69.9% chance based on their solid recent defensive performances and ability to keep clean sheets, contrasting with Chile's current form struggles and defensive lapses. Congo DR's home advantage and tactical discipline underpin this . While Chile shows attacking potential, their inability to convert chances and recent losses reduce their likelihood of success. The data quality is sufficient, with no significant limitations, supporting a confident but standard stake on Congo DR's victory.

Recent Defensive FormCongo DR conceded 0 goals in last 2 matches
Strong positive
Chile's Recent Results0 points and 2 goals conceded in last 2 matches
Positive
Home AdvantageCongo DR playing at home with strong defensive record
Positive
Data QualityNo significant data limitations
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Congo DR's recent defensive resilience and home advantage provide a tactical edge over Chile, who have struggled to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity. This combination of form and tactical discipline makes Congo DR the favored winner in this friendly match.

Main risk

The main risk is Chile's attacking players could break through Congo DR's defense unexpectedly, especially given Chile's high shots on target rate, which could reduce the chance of a Congo DR win.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Congo DR's disciplined defense and home create a solid foundation for victory, especially against a Chile side that has yet to find attacking consistency.”

Key Data Signals

Congo DR to Win evidence

Congo DR has kept clean sheets in recent matches, conceding zero goals in two games.

Chile has lost both recent matches and conceded two goals, showing defensive vulnerability.

Congo DR's recent form includes four points and a strong defensive record, boosting win chances.

Chile's over 2.5 goals rate is 100%, but Congo DR's defensive discipline may limit scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Congo DR to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Chile has consistently featured over 2.5 goals, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • Congo DR's recent matches have been low scoring, emphasizing defensive control.
  • This contrast suggests a tactical battle where Congo DR aims to contain Chile's attacking threats, potentially resulting in fewer goals than Chile's trend suggests.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Congo DR1
Avg goals scored
Chile1
Congo DR0
Avg goals conceded
Chile2
Congo DR0%
BTTS rate
Chile100%
Congo DR0%
Over 2.5 goals
Chile100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Recent form data shows Congo DR has kept clean sheets in their last two matches, while Chile has a 100% BTTS rate and over 2.5 goals rate, indicating Chile tends to be involved in higher-scoring games. However, Congo DR's defensive discipline suggests a controlled game with limited goals, favoring a BTTS No scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCongo DR to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 46% · edge +24.4 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Congo DR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The market currently reflects a balanced view with no clear available, but the model's 69.9% win probability for Congo DR suggests the price may be fair or slightly favorable. This indicates a standard staking approach is appropriate without strong value signals at present.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Congo DR-
Avg corners for
Chile3
Congo DR-
Avg total corners
Chile12
Congo DR-
Avg yellow cards
Chile0
Congo DR-
Avg shots
Chile11
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 42% · edge +27 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Chile averages 11 shots and 3 corners per game, indicating attacking pressure, but Congo DR's defensive setup likely limits clear chances. The low yellow card count for Chile suggests a disciplined approach, while Congo DR's defensive players like Tuanzebe and Mbemba contribute to defensive stability, balancing the attacking pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Congo DR

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
03 Jun 2026H Denmark0-0
25 Mar 2026H Bermuda2-0

Chile

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
06 Jun 2026A Portugal1-2
Market aligned with main pickCongo DR to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 46% · edge +24.4 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Congo DR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Congo DR's recent form includes four points from two matches with no goals conceded, highlighting defensive strength and resilience. Chile's form is weaker, with no points and two goals conceded, reflecting struggles in both attack and defense. This contrast favors Congo DR's chances to secure a win in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Congo DR wins
0Draws
0Chile wins
Market aligned with main pickCongo DR to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 46% · edge +24.4 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
No previous head-to-head matches exist between Congo DR and Chile, limiting direct historical insights. This absence places greater emphasis on recent form and tactical analysis to assess likely outcomes, favoring Congo DR's current defensive solidity and home advantage.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Congo DR3
Played
Chile2
Congo DR1
Avg goals for
Chile1.5
Congo DR0.7
Avg goals against
Chile1.5
Congo DR2
Clean sheets
Chile0
Market aligned with main pickCongo DR to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 46% · edge +24.4 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Congo DR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Seasonal data indicates Congo DR maintains a strong defensive record with low goals conceded, supporting their ability to control matches and limit opponent scoring. Chile's season stats show higher goals for and against, suggesting a more open style that may be vulnerable defensively against disciplined teams like Congo DR.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Congo DR Over 2.5
100%Chile Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Chile has consistently featured over 2.5 goals, indicating open games with attacking intent. Congo DR's recent matches have been low scoring, emphasizing defensive control. This contrast suggests a tactical battle where Congo DR aims to contain Chile's attacking threats, potentially resulting in fewer goals than Chile's trend suggests.

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