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Chesterfield crestChesterfield
v
Port Vale crestPort Vale

League Two | Sat 16 Jan, 15:00

Chesterfield v Port Vale Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 04:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Chesterfield face Port Vale in League Two on Sat 16 Jan, 15:00. Vale’s stronger record across the three most recent meetings therefore sits against a much less encouraging longer-term record at the SMH Group Stadium. Chesterfield’s consistent scoring in six consecutive matches and recent three wins underpin the BTTS Yes pick.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS Yes

  • At 1/2, BTTS Yes implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Selection: BTTS Yes.
  • Chesterfield show a 80% BTTS rate and Port Vale show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Chesterfield average 2.2 goals scored and Port Vale average 0.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for BTTS Yes sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. Chesterfield show a 80% BTTS rate and Port Vale show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: BTTS Yes.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 67% implied
Neutral
Chesterfield show a 80% BTTS rate and Port Vale show.Visible data support
Positive
Chesterfield average 2.2 goals scored and Port Vale average 0.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: BTTS Yes.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: BTTS Yes. Chesterfield show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Port Vale show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

BTTS Yes evidence

Selection: BTTS Yes.

Chesterfield show a 80% BTTS rate and Port Vale show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Chesterfield average 2.2 goals scored and Port Vale average 0.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS Yes notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Chesterfield2.2
Avg goals scored
Port Vale0.6
Chesterfield1.4
Avg goals conceded
Port Vale1.2
Chesterfield80%
BTTS rate
Port Vale20%
Chesterfield80%
Over 2.5 goals
Port Vale20%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Chesterfield

DWLWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
10 Oct 2026A Crawley Town2-2
03 Oct 2026H Tranmere4-2
26 Sep 2026A Cheltenham1-2
19 Sep 2026H York2-0
12 Sep 2026A Oldham2-1

Port Vale

WLWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 4L
10 Oct 2026H Grimsby1-0
19 Sep 2026A Walsall0-2
12 Sep 2026H Exeter City1-0
05 Sep 2026A Salford City0-1
01 Sep 2026A Swindon Town1-3

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Chesterfield Over 2.5
20%Port Vale Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Chesterfield sit at 80% and Port Vale sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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