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Chesterfield crestChesterfield
v
Notts County crestNotts County

League Two | Sun 10 May, 18:00

Chesterfield v Notts County Stats

BT4Y best bet

Chesterfield to Win

  • At 2.15, Chesterfield to Win is priced at roughly 47% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 67%, so the current line is showing a +20.4-point value edge.
  • Chesterfield have a recent record of 3W-2D-0L, while Notts County come in at 2W-1D-2L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Chesterfield to Win angle: Chesterfield have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Chesterfield to Win angle: Notts County have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.15, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 58% · edge +18.2 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Chesterfield Over 2.5
60%Notts County Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Chesterfield

WWDWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
02 May 2026A Swindon Town2-1
25 Apr 2026H Crewe2-0
18 Apr 2026A Fleetwood Town1-1
14 Apr 2026H Grimsby2-1
11 Apr 2026H Tranmere1-1

Notts County

DWLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
02 May 2026H Bristol Rovers1-1
25 Apr 2026A Colchester1-0
18 Apr 2026H Barnet1-2
11 Apr 2026A Cambridge United0-4
06 Apr 2026H Newport County3-1
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 47% · edge +20.4 pts
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Chesterfield1.6
Avg goals scored
Notts County1.2
Chesterfield0.8
Avg goals conceded
Notts County1.6
Chesterfield80%
BTTS rate
Notts County60%
Chesterfield40%
Over 2.5 goals
Notts County60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 58% · edge +18.2 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

4Chesterfield wins
4Draws
2Notts County wins
14 Mar 2026Notts County v Chesterfield2-3
26 Dec 2025Chesterfield v Notts County2-0
15 Mar 2025Notts County v Chesterfield1-2
12 Oct 2024Chesterfield v Notts County2-2
13 May 2023Chesterfield v Notts County2-2
11 Feb 2023Chesterfield v Notts County1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 58% · edge +18.2 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Chesterfield4.6
Avg corners for
Notts County4.6
Chesterfield9.8
Avg total corners
Notts County9
Chesterfield1.8
Avg yellow cards
Notts County2.2
Chesterfield11.8
Avg shots
Notts County12.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 51% · edge +5.7 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleA. Jatta Anytime GoalscorerA. Jatta · 14 goals · 1.26 SOT/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
J. Luker 1+ Shot On TargetJ. Luker · 1.85 shots on target/90
83/100
Bet HERE
B. Enoru 2+ ShotsB. Enoru · 3.1 shots/90
79/100
Bet HERE
L. Mandeville To Assist / Key Pass AngleL. Mandeville · 11 assists · 2.09 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
A. Dobra To Be FouledA. Dobra · 3.29 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
B. Enoru Card RiskB. Enoru · 2 yellows · 3.1 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
A. Jatta
A. JattaNotts County · Attacker
Goal threat71/100
Shots /901.74
SOT /901.26
M. Dennis
M. DennisNotts County · Attacker
Goal threat71/100
Shots /901.99
SOT /901.2
L. Bonis
L. BonisChesterfield · Attacker
Goal threat65/100
Shots /901.97
SOT /901.19
J. Luker
J. LukerNotts County · Midfielder
Goal threat65/100
Shots /902.47
SOT /901.85
B. Enoru
B. EnoruNotts County · Attacker
Goal threat21/100
Shots /903.1
SOT /900.78
F. Ladapo
F. LadapoChesterfield · Attacker
Goal threat22/100
Shots /902.66
SOT /901.07
K. McFadzean
K. McFadzeanChesterfield · Defender
Goal threat23/100
Shots /900.55
SOT /900.17
Season team stats

League Two

Chesterfield47
Played
Notts County47
Chesterfield1.5
Avg goals for
Notts County1.6
Chesterfield1.2
Avg goals against
Notts County1.1
Chesterfield14
Clean sheets
Notts County14
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 47% · edge +20.4 pts
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Notts County80462481422
6Chesterfield79462116915

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.