Football Stats Hub

Chelsea W crestChelsea W
v
Manchester United W crestManchester United W

FA WSL | Sat 16 May, 13:00

Chelsea W v Manchester United W Stats

Data last updated: Fri 15 May 2026, 03:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Chelsea W face Manchester United W in FA WSL on Sat 16 May, 13:00. Chelsea W come in with 13 recent points and 2.8 goals per match, while Manchester United W have 6 points and 0.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.67, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Chelsea W and 40% for Manchester United W, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Chelsea W are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.8 goals per match, with Manchester United W at 0.6.
  • BTTS rates of 100% for Chelsea W and 40% for Manchester United W show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Chelsea W and 40% for Manchester United W, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Chelsea W.Visible data support
Positive
Chelsea W are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Chelsea W and 40% for Manchester United W, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Chelsea W and 40% for Manchester United W, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Chelsea W are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.8 goals per match, with Manchester United W at 0.6.

BTTS rates of 100% for Chelsea W and 40% for Manchester United W show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Chelsea W4.67
Avg corners for
Manchester United W4.25
Chelsea W10
Avg total corners
Manchester United W9.25
Chelsea W2
Avg yellow cards
Manchester United W1.25
Chelsea W17.67
Avg shots
Manchester United W12.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 58% · edge -9.4 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Chelsea W2.8
Avg goals scored
Manchester United W0.6
Chelsea W1.4
Avg goals conceded
Manchester United W1
Chelsea W100%
BTTS rate
Manchester United W40%
Chelsea W80%
Over 2.5 goals
Manchester United W40%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 60% · edge -2.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for Chelsea W and 40% for Manchester United W, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 60% · edge -2.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
2
Check odds @ 2
Manchester United W Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Chelsea W to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Chelsea W Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Manchester United W to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 Goals is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Chelsea W

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
03 May 2026A Leicester City FC W3-1
26 Apr 2026A Everton W4-1
29 Mar 2026H Aston Villa W4-3
21 Mar 2026A London City Lionesses W1-1
18 Mar 2026H Brighton W2-1

Manchester United W

DDLWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
02 May 2026H Brighton W1-1
26 Apr 2026A Tottenham Hotspur W0-0
28 Mar 2026H Manchester City W0-3
21 Mar 2026H Everton W2-1
18 Mar 2026A West Ham W0-0
Best odds for this sectionManchester United W Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 24% · edge +18.5 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Chelsea W to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.91
Check odds @ 2.91
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Chelsea W Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Manchester United W to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

8Chelsea W wins
1Draws
1Manchester United W wins
15 Mar 2026Chelsea W v Manchester United W2-0
22 Feb 2026Chelsea W v Manchester United W2-1
03 Oct 2025Manchester United W v Chelsea W1-1
18 May 2025Chelsea W v Manchester United W3-0
30 Apr 2025Manchester United W v Chelsea W0-1
24 Nov 2024Chelsea W v Manchester United W1-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 60% · edge -2.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
2
Check odds @ 2
Chelsea W to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Manchester United W to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

FA WSL

Chelsea W22
Played
Manchester United W22
Chelsea W2
Avg goals for
Manchester United W1.7
Chelsea W0.9
Avg goals against
Manchester United W1
Chelsea W9
Clean sheets
Manchester United W7
Best odds for this sectionManchester United W Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 24% · edge +18.5 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Chelsea W to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Chelsea W Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Manchester United W to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Season data supports Manchester United W Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Chelsea W4922154324
4Manchester United W4022117416
Chelsea W sit in position 3, while Manchester United W sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Chelsea W Over 2.5
40%Manchester United W Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Chelsea W sit at 80% and Manchester United W sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Browse football stats pages

Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre