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Chelsea crestChelsea
v
Manchester City crestManchester City

FA Cup | Sat 16 May, 15:00

Chelsea v Manchester City Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.8, Over 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 56% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 78%, so the current line is showing a +22.2-point value edge.
  • Chelsea are at 80% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Manchester City are at 80%, and the H2H goal average is 3.3.
  • The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Chelsea have taken 5 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 4.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Manchester City have taken 5 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.8, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 56% · edge +22.2 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Chelsea Over 2.5
80%Manchester City Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Chelsea

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 0L
26 Apr 2026H Leeds1-0
04 Apr 2026H Port Vale7-0
07 Mar 2026A Wrexham4-2
13 Feb 2026A Hull City4-0
10 Jan 2026A Charlton5-1

Manchester City

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 0L
25 Apr 2026H Southampton2-1
04 Apr 2026H Liverpool4-0
07 Mar 2026A Newcastle3-1
14 Feb 2026H Salford City2-0
10 Jan 2026H Exeter City10-1
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 32% · edge +21.2 pts
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Chelsea4.2
Avg goals scored
Manchester City4.2
Chelsea0.6
Avg goals conceded
Manchester City0.6
Chelsea40%
BTTS rate
Manchester City60%
Chelsea80%
Over 2.5 goals
Manchester City80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 56% · edge +22.2 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Chelsea wins
3Draws
7Manchester City wins
12 Apr 2026Chelsea v Manchester City0-3
04 Jan 2026Manchester City v Chelsea1-1
25 Jan 2025Manchester City v Chelsea3-1
18 Aug 2024Chelsea v Manchester City0-2
03 Aug 2024Manchester City v Chelsea4-2
20 Apr 2024Manchester City v Chelsea1-0
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 56% · edge +22.2 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Chelsea5.6
Avg corners for
Manchester City7.4
Chelsea10.6
Avg total corners
Manchester City10.8
Chelsea1.8
Avg yellow cards
Manchester City0.6
Chelsea18.4
Avg shots
Manchester City19.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleEstêvão Anytime GoalscorerEstêvão · 2 goals · 2.83 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
Estêvão 1+ Shot On TargetEstêvão · 2.83 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
J. Bynoe-Gittens 2+ ShotsJ. Bynoe-Gittens · 5.45 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
J. Doku To Assist / Key Pass AngleJ. Doku · 4 assists · 4.05 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
J. Doku To Be FouledJ. Doku · 2.8 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Nico González Card RiskNico González · 1 yellows · 3.18 fouls/90
74/100
Bet HERE
Estêvão
EstêvãoChelsea · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /904.24
SOT /902.83
E. Haaland
E. HaalandManchester City · Attacker
Goal threat83/100
Shots /901.95
SOT /901.95
E. Fernández
E. FernándezChelsea · Midfielder
Goal threat75/100
Shots /902.73
SOT /901.95
J. Bynoe-Gittens
J. Bynoe-GittensChelsea · Midfielder
Goal threat51/100
Shots /905.45
SOT /902.73
Sávio
SávioManchester City · Midfielder
Goal threat59/100
Shots /903.88
SOT /902.59
Nico González
Nico GonzálezManchester City · Midfielder
Goal threat30/100
Shots /900.64
SOT /900.64
M. Caicedo
M. CaicedoChelsea · Midfielder
Goal threat11/100
Shots /900.54
SOT /900.27
Bernardo Silva
Bernardo SilvaManchester City · Midfielder
Goal threat11/100
Shots /900.41
SOT /900.41
Season team stats

FA Cup

Chelsea6
Played
Manchester City6
Chelsea3.5
Avg goals for
Manchester City3.7
Chelsea0.7
Avg goals against
Manchester City0.5
Chelsea3
Clean sheets
Manchester City3
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 32% · edge +21.2 pts
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

Our football stats hub is built for punters who want to go deeper than basic predictions. Every day, BettingTips4You brings together data-led match analysis for fixtures across the biggest leagues and competitions, helping readers compare teams, spot trends and understand the numbers behind every game before making a betting decision.

Deep Match Data For Every Game

The aim of this page is simple: to give you a clear, structured view of the day’s football through meaningful data. Instead of relying only on form tables or headline odds, our stats centre breaks each match down across several important areas, including recent results, attacking output, defensive strength, goals trends, head-to-head records, home and away performance, market movement and key betting angles.

For every game available, you can explore detailed match data designed to support smarter analysis. This includes how often teams score and concede, whether they tend to start quickly or finish strongly, how reliable they are at home or away, and which betting markets appear most aligned with the numbers.

Key Betting Markets Covered

These insights can be especially useful when assessing popular football betting markets such as Match Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under Goals, Double Chance, Draw No Bet and Bet Builder selections.

Football betting is rarely about one statistic in isolation. A team may look strong in the league table but struggle away from home. Another side may be inconsistent overall but create high shot volume, win corners regularly or score in most home fixtures. Our match stats help bring those details into focus, allowing you to see the wider picture before looking at prices.

Data That Supports Our Predictions

The daily stats hub also supports our broader football predictions coverage. Where our match previews provide expert opinion and editorial betting insight, this page gives you the deeper numbers behind the fixtures.

That combination of data and analysis helps readers understand not just what the suggested bet is, but why it may make sense based on the available evidence.

Leagues And Competitions Analysed

We cover a wide range of football competitions, from the Premier League, Championship and major European leagues to international fixtures, cup matches and selected global leagues. On busy football days, this page acts as a central match data dashboard, giving you a fast route into the key fixtures and the strongest statistical angles.

Practical Stats, Not A Wall Of Numbers

Our approach is practical rather than overwhelming. Football data can quickly become a wall of numbers, so we focus on stats that are useful for betting analysis: goal averages, recent trends, scoring patterns, defensive records, fixture context and market relevance.

The goal is to help you move from raw data to a clearer betting view.

Smarter Football Betting Research

Whether you are checking today’s Premier League fixtures, comparing Champions League matchups or looking for value in lower-profile games, the BettingTips4You football stats centre is designed to give you a sharper starting point.

Use the data to support your own opinion, compare it with our expert predictions and always consider the risk before placing a bet.

Football betting should be based on research, discipline and value — not guesswork. This page gives you the tools to make that process clearer every day.