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Charlotte crestCharlotte
v
Orlando City SC crestOrlando City SC

Major League Soccer | Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

Charlotte v Orlando City SC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Charlotte and Orlando City SC face off in a Major League Soccer clash where both teams have shown attacking intent, with Charlotte averaging 2.4 goals and Orlando City SC 2.8 goals per game recently. Orlando City SC holds a slight edge in recent form, earning 9 points compared to Charlotte's 7, and both sides have a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating an open and high-tempo game. The fixture promises tactical battles with Orlando City SC aiming to capitalize on their offensive momentum while Charlotte seeks to leverage home advantage and set-piece opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Orlando City SC or Draw

  • Orlando City SC or Draw offers strong value with a 78.9% versus 52.4% implied .
  • Both teams have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, suggesting an open game.
  • Charlotte averages 6 corners per match, indicating attacking pressure from wide areas.
  • Orlando City SC averages more shots (13) and shots on target (5.6) than Charlotte, highlighting offensive threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Orlando City SC or Draw with a 78.9% chance, significantly higher than the implied 52.4%, indicating clear value. Orlando City SC's superior recent form, higher shot volume, and goal-scoring rate support this. Both teams' high over 2.5 goals rate suggests an open match, but Orlando City SC's consistency and attacking depth make avoiding defeat likely. No data limitations affect , and the price reflects a strong value opportunity with standard stake guidance.

Model Chance44.4% model chance vs 29.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance44.4% model chance vs 29.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormOrlando City SC with 9 points vs Charlotte's 7
Positive
Shots and GoalsOrlando City SC averages 13 shots and 2.8 goals
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% for both teams
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Orlando City SC or Draw is a solid choice given Orlando's better recent form and higher attacking output. Charlotte's home advantage and corner control add intrigue, but Orlando's ability to create more shots and goals makes avoiding defeat the safer call. This bet balances tactical and statistical factors well.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and attacking dynamics

“Orlando City SC's consistent offensive pressure and shot volume make them a reliable pick to avoid defeat, especially given Charlotte's defensive vulnerabilities and reliance on set pieces.”

Key Data Signals

Orlando City SC or Draw evidence

Orlando City SC or Draw offers strong value with a 78.9% versus 52.4% implied .

Both teams have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, suggesting an open game.

Charlotte averages 6 corners per match, indicating attacking pressure from wide areas.

Orlando City SC averages more shots (13) and shots on target (5.6) than Charlotte, highlighting offensive threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Orlando City SC or Draw notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals per game, consistent with both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates.
  • This trend highlights a pattern of open games with multiple scoring chances, driven by offensive tempo and defensive vulnerabilities, supporting expectations of a lively match with goals from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Charlotte2.4
Avg goals scored
Orlando City SC2.8
Charlotte2
Avg goals conceded
Orlando City SC2
Charlotte80%
BTTS rate
Orlando City SC100%
Charlotte100%
Over 2.5 goals
Orlando City SC100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 88% vs implied 94% · edge -5.5 pts
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Both teams have a perfect 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, and Charlotte has an 80% BTTS rate while Orlando City SC is at 100%. This indicates a high likelihood of goals from both sides, supported by their attacking averages of 2.4 and 2.8 goals respectively, pointing to an open, end-to-end match with multiple scoring opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOrlando City SC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Orlando City SC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
The 44.4% for Orlando City SC or Draw sits against roughly 29.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts).
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Charlotte

WLDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
28 Oct 2026H CF Montreal4-0
25 Oct 2026A Portland Timbers2-3
17 Oct 2026A Philadelphia Union2-2
15 Oct 2026A Columbus Crew1-3
11 Oct 2026H FC Dallas3-2

Orlando City SC

DDWDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
29 Oct 2026A Chicago Fire2-2
25 Oct 2026H New York City FC2-2
18 Oct 2026H DC United4-1
15 Oct 2026A Toronto FC3-3
11 Oct 2026H Columbus Crew3-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Orlando City SC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Orlando City SC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Charlotte to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Orlando City SC has gained 9 points in recent matches compared to Charlotte's 7, reflecting slightly better momentum. Both teams have maintained high scoring rates and consistent over 2.5 goals outcomes, but Orlando's ability to convert chances into goals and maintain defensive solidity underpins their stronger recent form and supports the double chance selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Charlotte Over 2.5
100%Orlando City SC Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals per game, consistent with both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates. This trend highlights a pattern of open games with multiple scoring chances, driven by offensive tempo and defensive vulnerabilities, supporting expectations of a lively match with goals from both sides.

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