Football Stats Hub

Chapecoense-sc crestChapecoense-sc
v
Vasco DA Gama crestVasco DA Gama

Serie A | Sat 14 Nov, 23:30

Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA Gama Stats

Data last updated: Sat 14 Nov 2026, 16:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Chapecoense-sc and Vasco DA Gama meet in a Serie A clash where both sides have shown attacking intent despite defensive vulnerabilities. Chapecoense-sc struggles defensively, conceding over two goals per game, while Vasco DA Gama maintains a more balanced approach with a higher goal-scoring rate. Recent form data highlights Chapecoense-sc's difficulty in scoring consistently, but Vasco DA Gama's offensive players, including Bruno Lopes and Philippe Coutinho, provide a threat that could unlock Chapecoense-sc's defense. The fixture promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities for both teams, setting the stage for a contest where both sides are likely to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Chapecoense-sc concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Vasco DA Gama averages 1.4 goals scored per match, showing offensive capability.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches with both teams scoring this season.
  • Chapecoense-sc's matches have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting high-scoring games.
  • Vasco DA Gama's Bruno Lopes averages 4.29 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting attacking threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 70% chance for both teams to score, supported by Chapecoense-sc's defensive struggles and Vasco DA Gama's consistent attacking output. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, and Chapecoense-sc's high concession rate combined with Vasco DA Gama's shot volume creates a strong likelihood of goals at both ends. The price offers positive value with a 12.9% edge, reflecting the football context of open play and offensive pressure from both sides. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Chapecoense-sc defensive record2.2 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Vasco DA Gama attacking output1.4 goals per game, 15.4 shots average
Strong positive
Both teams BTTS rate60% each
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals rate for Chapecoense-sc80%
Positive
Model confidence84%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and score, making a Both Teams to Score bet tactically sound. Vasco DA Gama's attacking players, especially Bruno Lopes and Philippe Coutinho, are likely to challenge Chapecoense-sc's leaky defense. The data supports an open game with goals at both ends, aligning with recent form and player roles.

Main risk

The fixture status adds uncertainty, so prices should be checked again once the match details settle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles of Vasco DA Gama combined with Chapecoense-sc's defensive vulnerabilities create a fertile ground for goals on both sides. Expect an open contest where offensive players will capitalize on defensive lapses.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Chapecoense-sc concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Vasco DA Gama averages 1.4 goals scored per match, showing offensive capability.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches with both teams scoring this season.

Chapecoense-sc's matches have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting high-scoring games.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2, indicating a moderately open scoring history.
  • Chapecoense-sc's 80% Over 2.5 rate this season and Vasco DA Gama's 60% rate suggest a tempo favoring multiple goals, with transitions and defensive gaps likely contributing to goal opportunities for both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Chapecoense-sc0.8
Avg goals scored
Vasco DA Gama1.4
Chapecoense-sc2.2
Avg goals conceded
Vasco DA Gama1.6
Chapecoense-sc60%
BTTS rate
Vasco DA Gama60%
Chapecoense-sc80%
Over 2.5 goals
Vasco DA Gama60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
Chapecoense-sc's matches feature a high Over 2.5 Goals rate of 80%, and both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, reflecting frequent goal exchanges. Vasco DA Gama's attacking numbers and Chapecoense-sc's defensive concessions suggest goals from both sides, with an average of 2 goals per game in their head-to-head meetings supporting an open scoring pattern.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Vasco DA Gama Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Vasco DA Gama to WinBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The 70% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.1% implied by the current price (+12.9 pts). Chapecoense-sc show a 60% BTTS rate and Vasco DA Gama show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Chapecoense-sc

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
03 Nov 2026H Mirassol1-2
28 Oct 2026A RB Bragantino0-3
24 Oct 2026H Fluminense2-1
17 Oct 2026A Botafogo0-1
12 Oct 2026H Atletico Paranaense1-4

Vasco DA Gama

WLWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
04 Nov 2026A Atletico Paranaense3-1
29 Oct 2026H Flamengo1-4
24 Oct 2026H Corinthians3-2
18 Oct 2026A Sao Paulo0-1
10 Oct 2026H Remo0-0
Best odds for this sectionChapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Vasco DA Gama Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Vasco DA Gama to WinBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Recent form shows Chapecoense-sc scoring 0.8 goals per game but conceding 2.2, highlighting defensive weaknesses. Vasco DA Gama scores 1.4 goals per game and concedes 1.6, maintaining a more balanced but still open approach. Both teams' 60% BTTS rates in recent matches reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Chapecoense-sc Over 2.5
60%Vasco DA Gama Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2, indicating a moderately open scoring history. Chapecoense-sc's 80% Over 2.5 rate this season and Vasco DA Gama's 60% rate suggest a tempo favoring multiple goals, with transitions and defensive gaps likely contributing to goal opportunities for both sides.

Loading deeper match data…