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CF Pachuca crestCF Pachuca
v
Club Queretaro crestClub Queretaro

Liga MX | Mon 27 Jul, 02:06

CF Pachuca v Club Queretaro Stats

Data last updated: Tue 28 Jul 2026, 12:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

CF Pachuca opens their Liga MX campaign with a strong home advantage against Club Queretaro, who have struggled early in the season. Pachuca's recent form shows a confident attacking style, scoring three goals without conceding, while Queretaro have yet to find the net and have defensive vulnerabilities. Pachuca's tactical setup emphasizes high pressing and quick transitions, aiming to exploit Queretaro's defensive lapses. The stakes are high for both teams to secure early points, but Pachuca's momentum and squad depth suggest they will control the match tempo and territory.

BT4Y best bet

CF Pachuca to Win

  • Pachuca has won their opening match scoring 3-0, showing strong attacking form.
  • Queretaro has yet to score and conceded once, indicating defensive issues.
  • Pachuca averages 15 shots and 6 on target per game, dominating offensive stats.
  • Queretaro's discipline is poor with 6 yellow cards per game, risking suspensions and fouls.
  • Head-to-head average goals are moderate at 1.9, but Pachuca's form suggests a likely win.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates CF Pachuca's chance to win at 74%, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking efficiency. Pachuca's perfect over 2.5 goals rate and strong shot volume underline their offensive threat, while Queretaro's lack of goals and disciplinary issues weaken their resistance. The data quality is solid for both teams, supporting in this pick. Although the price context is unknown, the football read for Pachuca's win is clear given their control of play and goal threat.

Model chance74%
Strong positive
Recent formPachuca scored 3 goals, Queretaro none
Strong positive
Shots and shots on targetPachuca 15/6, Queretaro 10/2
Positive
DisciplineQueretaro 6 yellows per game
Negative
Data qualityComplete data for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

CF Pachuca's early season form and attacking control position them strongly to secure victory against a struggling Club Queretaro. Their ability to control possession and create high-quality chances, combined with Queretaro's defensive and disciplinary weaknesses, makes Pachuca the clear tactical and statistical favorite to win this match.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Pachuca's offensive firepower and defensive solidity create a compelling case for their win, especially against a Queretaro side showing early-season frailties and disciplinary concerns.”

Key Data Signals

CF Pachuca to Win evidence

Pachuca has won their opening match scoring 3-0, showing strong attacking form.

Queretaro has yet to score and conceded once, indicating defensive issues.

Pachuca averages 15 shots and 6 on target per game, dominating offensive stats.

Queretaro's discipline is poor with 6 yellow cards per game, risking suspensions and fouls.

What To Watch In The Data

CF Pachuca to Win notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 1.9, a moderate scoring rate.
  • Pachuca's 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season suggests an attacking tempo that could push this fixture above that average, driven by their offensive style and Queretaro's defensive vulnerabilities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

CF Pachuca4
Avg corners for
Club Queretaro2
CF Pachuca13
Avg total corners
Club Queretaro14
CF Pachuca0
Avg yellow cards
Club Queretaro6
CF Pachuca15
Avg shots
Club Queretaro10
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 69%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Pachuca's average of 4 corners and 15 shots per game, including 6 on target, indicates sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Queretaro's higher yellow card average (6 per game) suggests a fouling and disciplinary issue that may disrupt their defensive shape and concede set-piece opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CF Pachuca3
Avg goals scored
Club Queretaro0
CF Pachuca0
Avg goals conceded
Club Queretaro1
CF Pachuca0%
BTTS rate
Club Queretaro0%
CF Pachuca100%
Over 2.5 goals
Club Queretaro0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 30%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams to score is unlikely as Pachuca has kept a clean sheet while scoring three goals, and Queretaro has yet to score this season. The controlled goals context favors a low BTTS rate, with Pachuca's defense limiting chances and Queretaro struggling offensively, indicating a probable BTTS No scenario.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCF Pachuca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
CF Pachuca Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The CF Pachuca to Win market is supported by a strong of 74%, reflecting their dominant recent form and attacking metrics. Without visible , the price cannot be assessed for value, but the football evidence suggests a confident backing for Pachuca's victory given their control in shots, goals, and defensive discipline.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CF Pachuca

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
19 Jul 2026A U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0

Club Queretaro

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
19 Jul 2026H Club America0-1
Market aligned with main pickCF Pachuca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
CF Pachuca Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Pachuca's recent form is impressive, with a 3-0 win demonstrating offensive efficiency and defensive solidity. Queretaro's form is poor, failing to score and conceding, highlighting a gap in quality and momentum that favors Pachuca's winning chances.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4CF Pachuca wins
4Draws
2Club Queretaro wins
01 Feb 2026Club Queretaro v CF Pachuca0-0
21 Sep 2025CF Pachuca v Club Queretaro0-2
30 Jan 2025Club Queretaro v CF Pachuca0-1
01 Sep 2024CF Pachuca v Club Queretaro1-1
10 Mar 2024CF Pachuca v Club Queretaro1-2
21 Aug 2023Club Queretaro v CF Pachuca1-1
Market aligned with main pickCF Pachuca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 1.9 goals per game, indicating moderately competitive encounters. While past meetings provide context, current form and squad dynamics suggest Pachuca holds a stronger advantage for this fixture.
Season team stats

Liga MX

CF Pachuca2
Played
Club Queretaro2
CF Pachuca2
Avg goals for
Club Queretaro1
CF Pachuca1
Avg goals against
Club Queretaro1
CF Pachuca1
Clean sheets
Club Queretaro0
Market aligned with main pickCF Pachuca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
CF Pachuca Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Pachuca's season stats show a potent attack with 3 goals scored and no goals conceded, reinforcing their balanced team performance. Queretaro's lack of goals and defensive lapses underline their struggles, supporting the expectation of a Pachuca win based on season-long output.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6CF Pachuca321012
9Club Queretaro321010
Pachuca sits 4th in the Liga MX standings with 3 points, reflecting a strong start, while Queretaro is 14th without points. The table pressure favors Pachuca to maintain momentum and capitalize on Queretaro's early-season difficulties.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%CF Pachuca Over 2.5
0%Club Queretaro Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 1.9, a moderate scoring rate. Pachuca's 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season suggests an attacking tempo that could push this fixture above that average, driven by their offensive style and Queretaro's defensive vulnerabilities.

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