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Celtic crestCeltic
v
Dundee crestDundee

Premiership | Mon 03 Aug, 19:30

Celtic v Dundee Stats

Data last updated: Sun 02 Aug 2026, 04:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celtic face Dundee in Premiership on Mon 03 Aug, 19:30. Dundee arrive with sharpness and attacking threat from their Scottish League Cup campaign, making it likely both teams will score despite Celtic’s defensive adjustments and personnel changes. Celtic enter as reigning champions with strong recent winning form and a dominant record against Dundee at home.

BT4Y best bet

Decision concerns Celtic’s centre-forward position

  • At 6/4, Decision concerns Celtic’s centre-forward position implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Dundee’s defensive distances will be vital.
  • Celtic sit 10 in the table, while Dundee sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Decision concerns Celtic’s centre-forward position sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Celtic sit 10 in the table, while Dundee sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Dundee’s defensive distances will be vital.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Neutral
Celtic sit 10 in the table, while Dundee sit 8.Visible data support
Positive
Dundee’s defensive distances will be vital.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Celtic Win is the preferred angle because dundee’s defensive distances will be vital. Celtic sit 10 in the table, while Dundee sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Hearts had led for much of the campaign, but Celtic capitalised on their rivals’ draw with Motherwell, won back-to-back matches and then came from behind to defeat the Jam Tarts on the.

Main risk

Hearts had led for much of the campaign, but Celtic capitalised on their rivals’ draw with Motherwell, won back-to-back matches and then came from behind to defeat the Jam Tarts on the.

Key Data Signals

Decision concerns Celtic’s centre-forward position evidence

Dundee’s defensive distances will be vital.

Celtic sit 10 in the table, while Dundee sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Decision concerns Celtic’s centre-forward position notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 82% · edge -39 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Celtic Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Celtic to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Celtic-
    Avg goals scored
    Dundee-
    Celtic-
    Avg goals conceded
    Dundee-
    Celtic-
    BTTS rate
    Dundee-
    Celtic-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Dundee-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +14.3 pts
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Celtic

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Celtic yet.

    Dundee

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Dundee yet.

    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 82% · edge -39 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.06
    Check odds @ 1.06
    Celtic Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    8Celtic wins
    1Draws
    1Dundee wins
    05 Apr 2026Dundee v Celtic1-2
    07 Feb 2026Celtic v Dundee2-1
    03 Dec 2025Celtic v Dundee1-0
    19 Oct 2025Dundee v Celtic2-0
    05 Feb 2025Celtic v Dundee6-0
    14 Jan 2025Dundee v Celtic3-3
    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 82% · edge -39 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Celtic to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premiership

    Celtic0
    Played
    Dundee0
    Celtic0
    Avg goals for
    Dundee0
    Celtic0
    Avg goals against
    Dundee0
    Celtic0
    Clean sheets
    Dundee0
    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 82% · edge -39 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Celtic Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Season data supports Celtic to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    8Dundee000000
    10Celtic000000
    Celtic sit in position 10, while Dundee sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Decision concerns Celtic’s centre-forward position assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Celtic Over 2.5
    -Dundee Over 2.5
    3.7H2H avg goals
    Dundee’s defensive distances will be vital.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.