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Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo
v
Levante crestLevante

La Liga | Tue 12 May, 18:00

Celta Vigo v Levante Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 08:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celta Vigo face Levante in La Liga on Tue 12 May, 18:00. Celta Vigo have won back-to-back league matches, including a 1-0 away victory over Atletico Madrid. Celta Vigo enter this clash with significant momentum following back-to-back victories, including a prestigious away win at Atletico Madrid.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Wins and Levante's poor away record of only two points from seven games suggest a significant advantage for the home side

  • At 8/11, Celta Vigo Win implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • While Celta are favoured, their defence averages 1.7 goals conceded recently.
  • Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Celta Vigo.
  • Celta Vigo have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Celta Vigo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Celta Vigo sit 6 in the table, while Levante sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Wins and Levante's poor away record of only two points from seven games suggest a significant advantage for the home side is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 58% while the model sits nearer 27% (-30.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Levante Draw No Bet shows a +32.8 pts edge at 2.75.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Celta Vigo Win sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Celta Vigo. While Celta are favoured, their defence averages that scoring level conceded recently.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Negative
Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Celta Vigo have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
While Celta are favoured, their defence averages 1.7 goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Celta Vigo Win is the preferred angle because while Celta are favoured, their defence averages that scoring level conceded recently. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Celta Vigo. Borja Iglesias produced a wonderfully delicate chipped finish, but the real story was Celta’s composure under pressure.

Main risk

Borja Iglesias produced a wonderfully delicate chipped finish, but the real story was Celta’s composure under pressure.

Key Data Signals

Celta Vigo Win evidence

While Celta are favoured, their defence averages 1.7 goals conceded recently.

Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Celta Vigo.

Celta Vigo have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Celta Vigo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Celta Vigo sit 6 in the table, while Levante sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Celta Vigo Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Celta Vigo1.5
    Avg corners for
    Levante5.5
    Celta Vigo9
    Avg total corners
    Levante10
    Celta Vigo1.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Levante1.5
    Celta Vigo4.5
    Avg shots
    Levante17
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +14.8 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    La Liga fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Celta Vigo v Levantecorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Celta Vigo1
    Avg goals scored
    Levante1.4
    Celta Vigo1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Levante1.4
    Celta Vigo40%
    BTTS rate
    Levante40%
    Celta Vigo60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Levante40%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 80% · edge -4.6 pts
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for Celta Vigo and 40% for Levante, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCelta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 56% · edge -28.6 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Celta Vigo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Celta Vigo to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Celta Vigo

    WWLLL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 5L
    09 May 2026A Atletico Madrid1-0
    03 May 2026H Elche3-1
    26 Apr 2026A Villarreal1-2
    22 Apr 2026A Barcelona0-1
    12 Apr 2026H Oviedo0-3

    Levante

    WLDWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    08 May 2026H Osasuna3-2
    02 May 2026A Villarreal1-5
    27 Apr 2026A Espanyol0-0
    23 Apr 2026H Sevilla2-0
    13 Apr 2026H Getafe1-0
    Market aligned with main pickCelta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 56% · edge -28.6 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Celta Vigo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Celta Vigo wins
    2Draws
    3Levante wins
    02 Nov 2025Levante v Celta Vigo1-2
    21 Feb 2022Celta Vigo v Levante1-1
    21 Sep 2021Levante v Celta Vigo0-2
    30 Apr 2021Celta Vigo v Levante2-0
    26 Oct 2020Levante v Celta Vigo1-1
    16 Jul 2020Celta Vigo v Levante2-3
    Market aligned with main pickCelta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 56% · edge -28.6 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Celta Vigo to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    La Liga

    Celta Vigo38
    Played
    Levante0
    Celta Vigo1.4
    Avg goals for
    Levante-
    Celta Vigo1.3
    Avg goals against
    Levante-
    Celta Vigo10
    Clean sheets
    Levante-
    Market aligned with main pickCelta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 56% · edge -28.6 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Celta Vigo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Season data supports Celta Vigo to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    6Celta Vigo54381412125
    16Levante423811918-14
    Celta Vigo sit in position 6, while Levante sit in position 16, so table pressure belongs in the Celta Vigo Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Celta Vigo Over 2.5
    40%Levante Over 2.5
    3.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Celta Vigo sit at 60% and Levante sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Celta Vigo v Levante prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

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