Football Stats Hub

Carrarese crestCarrarese
v
Sampdoria crestSampdoria

Serie B | Sun 08 Nov, 16:15

Carrarese v Sampdoria Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Carrarese hosts Sampdoria in a Serie B clash where both teams seek to improve their mid-table standings. Carrarese has shown more consistent form recently, collecting 9 points compared to Sampdoria's 4 in their last matches. The home side tends to play with attacking intent, reflected in their higher goal involvement and over 2.5 goals rate. Sampdoria, struggling defensively, concedes more and has yet to find stable momentum. This fixture presents a tactical battle with Carrarese aiming to capitalize on home advantage and recent attacking rhythm against a Sampdoria side needing to tighten defensively.

BT4Y best bet

Carrarese to Win

  • Carrarese holds a 69% to win, with strong recent form and attacking stats.
  • Sampdoria concedes more goals on average, increasing Carrarese's scoring opportunities.
  • Carrarese averages 13.8 shots per game with 4 on target, showing offensive pressure.
  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Carrarese's home form and goal threat stand out.
  • Carrarese ranks higher in the league and has a positive recent points tally compared to Sampdoria.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Carrarese to win with a 69% chance, supported by their superior recent form and attacking output. Carrarese's average of 1.4 goals scored per match and 80% over 2.5 goals rate indicate a strong offensive presence at home. Sampdoria's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.8 goals per game, further enhance Carrarese's prospects. The model's of 29% over the implied suggests this is a favorable bet without price caution. Player data, including Pinelli's high shot volume and goal threat, reinforce Carrarese's attacking potential. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model chance55% model chance vs 40% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Carrarese recent form9 points in last matches
Strong positive
Carrarese attack1.4 goals per game, 80% over 2.5 rate
Strong positive
Sampdoria defense1.8 goals conceded per game
Positive
Value edge55% model chance vs 40% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Carrarese's recent attacking form and home advantage make them the logical choice to secure victory. Their ability to generate shots and convert chances contrasts with Sampdoria's defensive struggles, providing a solid statistical and tactical foundation for backing Carrarese to win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Carrarese's offensive consistency and home momentum position them well to exploit Sampdoria's defensive weaknesses in this Serie B encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Carrarese to Win evidence

Carrarese holds a 69% to win, with strong recent form and attacking stats.

Sampdoria concedes more goals on average, increasing Carrarese's scoring opportunities.

Carrarese averages 13.8 shots per game with 4 on target, showing offensive pressure.

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Carrarese's home form and goal threat stand out.

What To Watch In The Data

Carrarese to Win notes

  • In the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating a moderately open game.
  • Carrarese's 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests a trend toward higher scoring games, supported by their offensive style and Sampdoria's defensive vulnerabilities.
  • This trend points to a match with multiple goal-scoring opportunities and a lively tempo.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Carrarese1.4
Avg goals scored
Sampdoria1
Carrarese1.4
Avg goals conceded
Sampdoria1.8
Carrarese60%
BTTS rate
Sampdoria60%
Carrarese80%
Over 2.5 goals
Sampdoria40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Carrarese's higher over 2.5 goals rate at 80% contrasts with Sampdoria's 40%, suggesting a match likely to feature multiple goals. Carrarese's attacking style and Sampdoria's defensive concessions create a scenario conducive to goals from both sides and an open game.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCarrarese to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Carrarese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The 55% for Carrarese to Win sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Carrarese have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sampdoria.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Carrarese

LWLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
01 Nov 2026A Hellas Verona0-3
28 Oct 2026H Arezzo2-1
25 Oct 2026A Palermo1-2
17 Oct 2026H Modena2-1
11 Oct 2026A Padova2-0

Sampdoria

WLDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
31 Oct 2026H Virtus Entella2-0
27 Oct 2026A Ascoli0-2
24 Oct 2026A Sudtirol1-1
18 Oct 2026H Arezzo1-2
09 Oct 2026A Avellino1-4
Market aligned with main pickCarrarese to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Carrarese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Carrarese's recent form shows 9 points gained with an average of 1.4 goals scored and conceded per match, reflecting balanced but effective play. Sampdoria's 4 points and higher goals conceded indicate struggles in defense and less consistent results. This form disparity favors Carrarese's and tactical execution heading into the match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Carrarese Over 2.5
40%Sampdoria Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating a moderately open game. Carrarese's 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests a trend toward higher scoring games, supported by their offensive style and Sampdoria's defensive vulnerabilities. This trend points to a match with multiple goal-scoring opportunities and a lively tempo.

Loading deeper match data…