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Carabobo FC crestCarabobo FC
v
River Plate crestRiver Plate

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Fri 08 May, 01:30

Carabobo FC v River Plate Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 08:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Carabobo FC face River Plate in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Fri 08 May, 01:30. Carabobo FC come in with 6 recent points and 1 goals per match, while River Plate have 7 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • At 2.38, Over 3.5 Cards implies roughly 42%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • Carabobo FC have the higher yellow-card average at 2, while River Plate sit at 2.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Over 3.5 Cards sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price. Carabobo FC have the higher yellow-card average at 2, while River Plate sit at 2.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 42% implied
Strong positive
Carabobo FC have the higher yellow-card average at 2.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +22 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 3.5 Cards is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Carabobo FC have the higher yellow-card average at 2, while River Plate sit at 2. The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Cards evidence

Carabobo FC have the higher yellow-card average at 2, while River Plate sit at 2.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Cards notes

  • Compare both yellow-card averages before treating the card line as value.
  • Check whether match pressure is likely to create fouls and recovery challenges.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Carabobo FC1
Avg goals scored
River Plate1
Carabobo FC0.33
Avg goals conceded
River Plate0.33
Carabobo FC0%
BTTS rate
River Plate33%
Carabobo FC0%
Over 2.5 goals
River Plate0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 23% · edge +21.2 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Carabobo FC

WLW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
30 Apr 2026H Blooming2-0
16 Apr 2026A River Plate0-1
10 Apr 2026H RB Bragantino1-0

River Plate

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
01 May 2026A RB Bragantino1-0
16 Apr 2026H Carabobo FC1-0
09 Apr 2026A Blooming1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 57% · edge +11 pts
1.77
Check odds @ 1.77
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Carabobo FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
River Plate Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Carabobo FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
River Plate to WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1River Plate1464206
3Carabobo FC963031
CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 42% · edge +22 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 44%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Carabobo FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
River Plate Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Carabobo FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
River Plate to WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 3.5 Cards is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Carabobo FC4.67
Avg corners for
River Plate3.67
Carabobo FC9.67
Avg total corners
River Plate6.33
Carabobo FC2
Avg yellow cards
River Plate2
Carabobo FC12
Avg shots
River Plate11
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 42% · edge +22 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Carabobo FC wins
0Draws
1River Plate wins
16 Apr 2026River Plate v Carabobo FC1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 23% · edge +21.2 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Carabobo FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
River Plate to WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Carabobo FC6
Played
River Plate6
Carabobo FC1
Avg goals for
River Plate1.5
Carabobo FC0.8
Avg goals against
River Plate0.5
Carabobo FC3
Clean sheets
River Plate3
Best odds for this sectionCarabobo FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 26% · edge +13.2 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
River Plate Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Carabobo FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
River Plate to WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Season data supports Carabobo FC to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Carabobo FC Over 2.5
0%River Plate Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Carabobo FC sit at 0% and River Plate sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

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