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Carabobo FC crestCarabobo FC
v
River Plate crestRiver Plate

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Fri 08 May, 01:30

Carabobo FC v River Plate Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • At 2.38, Over 3.5 Cards is priced at roughly 42% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 64%, so the current line is showing a +22-point value edge.
  • The disciplinary read shows average yellow-card figures of 2 for Carabobo FC and 2 for River Plate in detailed recent samples.
  • The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: Carabobo FC have taken 2 wins from their last 3 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 0.33 conceded.
  • The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: River Plate have taken 2 wins from their last 3 matches, with BTTS landing in 33% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.38, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 42% · edge +22 pts
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 44%
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

0%Carabobo FC Over 2.5
0%River Plate Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Carabobo FC

WLW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
30 Apr 2026H Blooming2-0
16 Apr 2026A River Plate0-1
10 Apr 2026H RB Bragantino1-0

River Plate

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
01 May 2026A RB Bragantino1-0
16 Apr 2026H Carabobo FC1-0
09 Apr 2026A Blooming1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 26% · edge +13.2 pts
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Carabobo FC1
Avg goals scored
River Plate1
Carabobo FC0.33
Avg goals conceded
River Plate0.33
Carabobo FC0%
BTTS rate
River Plate33%
Carabobo FC0%
Over 2.5 goals
River Plate0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 23% · edge +21.2 pts
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.4
Bet HERE @ 2.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Carabobo FC wins
0Draws
1River Plate wins
16 Apr 2026River Plate v Carabobo FC1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 23% · edge +21.2 pts
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.4
Bet HERE @ 2.4
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Carabobo FC4.67
Avg corners for
River Plate3.67
Carabobo FC9.67
Avg total corners
River Plate6.33
Carabobo FC2
Avg yellow cards
River Plate2
Carabobo FC12
Avg shots
River Plate11
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 42% · edge +22 pts
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleE. Tortolero Anytime GoalscorerE. Tortolero · 2 goals · 2.47 SOT/90
85/100
Bet HERE
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J. Obando 1+ Shot On TargetJ. Obando · 6.43 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
J. Obando 2+ ShotsJ. Obando · 6.43 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
L. Silva To Assist / Key Pass AngleL. Silva · 1 assists · 4.09 key passes/90
72/100
Bet HERE
J. Obando To Be FouledJ. Obando · 6.43 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
J. Meza Card RiskJ. Meza · 2 yellows · 3.77 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
E. Tortolero
E. TortoleroCarabobo FC · Midfielder
Goal threat90/100
Shots /903.46
SOT /902.47
J. Obando
J. ObandoCarabobo FC · Midfielder
Goal threat89/100
Shots /906.43
SOT /906.43
S. Driussi
S. DriussiRiver Plate · Attacker
Goal threat81/100
Shots /902
SOT /902
J. Quintero
J. QuinteroRiver Plate · Midfielder
Goal threat47/100
Shots /903.46
SOT /902.77
J. Meza
J. MezaRiver Plate · Midfielder
Goal threat6/100
Shots /901.08
SOT /900
F. Gonzalez
F. GonzalezRiver Plate · Defender
Goal threat4/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
E. Castillo
E. CastilloCarabobo FC · Midfielder
Goal threat6/100
Shots /900.71
SOT /900
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Carabobo FC4
Played
River Plate4
Carabobo FC1
Avg goals for
River Plate1.3
Carabobo FC0.8
Avg goals against
River Plate0.5
Carabobo FC2
Clean sheets
River Plate2
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 26% · edge +13.2 pts
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1River Plate1043103
3Carabobo FC642021

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.