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Cambuur crestCambuur
v
GO Ahead Eagles crestGO Ahead Eagles

Eredivisie | Sat 31 Oct, 20:00

Cambuur v GO Ahead Eagles Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cambuur hosts GO Ahead Eagles in an Eredivisie clash where both sides sit mid-table, separated by just two points. Cambuur's recent form shows stronger defensive solidity and more consistent goal-scoring, while GO Ahead Eagles have struggled defensively despite creating more shots. This match carries importance for both teams aiming to climb the standings, with Cambuur's home advantage and tighter defensive record suggesting a tactical edge. The contest promises a battle between Cambuur's structured approach and GO Ahead Eagles' attacking intent, with the outcome finely poised but leaning towards the home side's control.

BT4Y best bet

Cambuur to Win

  • Cambuur has a 74% to win, well above the implied chance of 33.3%.
  • Cambuur concedes only 0.8 goals per game, significantly better than GO Ahead Eagles' 2.2.
  • GO Ahead Eagles average more shots (18) but have a weaker defensive record, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting an open game environment.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Cambuur to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their stronger defensive record and efficient attack averaging 2.6 goals per game. Despite GO Ahead Eagles generating more shots, their defensive frailties and lower points tally reduce their win probability. Cambuur's home form and balanced squad contribute to a clear at current around 3. The data quality is solid for both teams, supporting in this selection.

Model Win Probability74% chance for Cambuur
Strong positive
Defensive StrengthCambuur concedes 0.8 goals per game vs 2.2 for GO Ahead Eagles
Strong positive
Attacking OutputCambuur scores 2.6 goals per game, higher than GO Ahead Eagles' 1.8
Positive
Shot VolumeGO Ahead Eagles average 18 shots per game, indicating attacking pressure
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Cambuur's superior defensive record and more efficient scoring give them the tactical and statistical advantage in this mid-table clash. Their home form and ability to limit goals against make them the likely winners, while GO Ahead Eagles' attacking pressure may not be enough to overcome Cambuur's solidity.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Cambuur's disciplined defense and clinical finishing create a strong foundation for victory here, especially given GO Ahead Eagles' defensive vulnerabilities despite their attacking intent.”

Key Data Signals

Cambuur to Win evidence

Cambuur has a 74% to win, well above the implied chance of 33.3%.

Cambuur concedes only 0.8 goals per game, significantly better than GO Ahead Eagles' 2.2.

GO Ahead Eagles average more shots (18) but have a weaker defensive record, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting an open game environment.

What To Watch In The Data

Cambuur to Win notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9, with both teams frequently involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This trend indicates a lively tempo and attacking openness, suggesting this fixture is likely to produce multiple scoring opportunities and goals, aligning with the over 2.5 goals trend observed in recent matches.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cambuur2.6
Avg goals scored
GO Ahead Eagles1.8
Cambuur0.8
Avg goals conceded
GO Ahead Eagles2.2
Cambuur60%
BTTS rate
GO Ahead Eagles100%
Cambuur60%
Over 2.5 goals
GO Ahead Eagles60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with an average of 2.9 goals in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. Cambuur's higher scoring rate combined with GO Ahead Eagles' defensive weaknesses suggests a game likely to feature multiple goals, supporting an open and attacking contest with BTTS a plausible scenario.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCambuur to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Cambuur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The 48.3% for Cambuur to Win sits against roughly 33.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Cambuur have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 6 for GO Ahead Eagles.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cambuur

WDWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
24 Oct 2026A Willem II6-1
18 Oct 2026H AZ Alkmaar2-2
11 Oct 2026A PEC Zwolle1-0
19 Sep 2026A ADO Den Haag1-1
12 Sep 2026H NEC Nijmegen3-0

GO Ahead Eagles

WLDDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
23 Oct 2026H Telstar3-2
18 Oct 2026A PEC Zwolle1-4
10 Oct 2026H Sparta Rotterdam3-3
20 Sep 2026A NEC Nijmegen1-1
12 Sep 2026H Groningen1-1
Market aligned with main pickCambuur to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Cambuur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Cambuur's recent form shows 11 points with a strong defensive record conceding only 0.8 goals per game, reflecting consistency and resilience. GO Ahead Eagles have 6 points and concede 2.2 goals per game, indicating defensive struggles despite higher shot volumes. This form disparity underlines Cambuur's advantage in controlling matches and converting chances efficiently.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Cambuur Over 2.5
60%GO Ahead Eagles Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9, with both teams frequently involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This trend indicates a lively tempo and attacking openness, suggesting this fixture is likely to produce multiple scoring opportunities and goals, aligning with the over 2.5 goals trend observed in recent matches.

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