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Cambridge United crestCambridge United
v
Notts County crestNotts County

League One | Sat 10 Apr, 15:00

Cambridge United v Notts County Stats

Data last updated: Tue 10 Nov 2026, 17:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cambridge United face Notts County in League One on Sat 10 Apr, 15:00. Cambridge United are currently on a formidable 16-match unbeaten home run in the league. They have kept things tight, limited damage and stayed unbeaten in 29 of their last 32 matches in all competitions.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Provides a stark contrast to Notts County’s more expansive and occasionally porous defensive structure

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 56%, above the 31% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/5, Provides a stark contrast to Notts County’s more expansive and occasionally porous defensive structure implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 31%.
  • Their defensive resilience is evident, having conceded only three goals in their last six fixtures.
  • Notts County have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Cambridge United.
  • Notts County have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Provides a stark contrast to Notts County’s more expansive and occasionally porous defensive structure angle more than a raw.
Price warning

Provides a stark contrast to Notts County’s more expansive and occasionally porous defensive structure is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 56% while the model sits nearer 31% (-24.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 31% for Provides a stark contrast to Notts County’s more expansive and occasionally porous defensive structure sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Notts County have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Cambridge United. Their defensive resilience is evident, having conceded only three goals in their last six fixtures.

Model chance vs price31% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Negative
Notts County have the stronger recent points return, taking 7.Visible data support
Positive
Notts County have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Their defensive resilience is evident, having conceded only three.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Cambridge United Win is the preferred angle because their defensive resilience is evident, having conceded only three goals in their last six fixtures. Notts County have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Cambridge United. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Provides a stark contrast to Notts County’s more expansive and occasionally porous defensive structure evidence

Their defensive resilience is evident, having conceded only three goals in their last six fixtures.

Notts County have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Cambridge United.

Notts County have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Cambridge United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Cambridge United sit 8 in the table, while Notts County sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Provides a stark contrast to Notts County’s more expansive and occasionally porous defensive structure notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Cambridge United1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Notts County1.2
    Cambridge United2
    Avg goals conceded
    Notts County1
    Cambridge United80%
    BTTS rate
    Notts County40%
    Cambridge United80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Notts County20%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Cambridge United

    LDLDW
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 5D 2L
    31 Oct 2026A Leyton Orient0-3
    27 Oct 2026A Sheffield Wednesday1-1
    24 Oct 2026H Plymouth2-3
    20 Oct 2026H Wycombe2-2
    17 Oct 2026A Barnsley2-1

    Notts County

    WDWLL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    31 Oct 2026A Mansfield Town2-0
    24 Oct 2026H Stockport County1-1
    20 Oct 2026H Sheffield Wednesday2-0
    17 Oct 2026A Wycombe0-2
    10 Oct 2026H Oxford United1-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Cambridge United Over 2.5
    20%Notts County Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cambridge United sit at 80% and Notts County sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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