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Cagliari crestCagliari
v
Udinese crestUdinese

Serie A | Sat 09 May, 14:00

Cagliari v Udinese Stats

BT4Y best bet

Udinese to Win

  • At 2.88, Udinese to Win is priced at roughly 35% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 53%, so the current line is showing a +18.1-point value edge.
  • Cagliari have a recent record of 2W-1D-2L, while Udinese come in at 2W-2D-1L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Udinese to Win angle: Cagliari have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Udinese to Win angle: Udinese have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.88, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 35% · edge +18.1 pts
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Cagliari Over 2.5
40%Udinese Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Cagliari

DWLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
03 May 2026A Bologna0-0
27 Apr 2026H Atalanta3-2
17 Apr 2026A Inter0-3
11 Apr 2026H Cremonese1-0
04 Apr 2026A Sassuolo1-2

Udinese

WDLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
02 May 2026H Torino2-0
27 Apr 2026A Lazio3-3
18 Apr 2026H Parma0-1
11 Apr 2026A AC Milan3-0
06 Apr 2026H Como0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 35% · edge +18.1 pts
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.6
Bet HERE @ 2.6
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Cagliari1
Avg goals scored
Udinese1.6
Cagliari1.4
Avg goals conceded
Udinese0.8
Cagliari40%
BTTS rate
Udinese20%
Cagliari60%
Over 2.5 goals
Udinese40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 52% · edge +4.9 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

2Cagliari wins
4Draws
4Udinese wins
05 Oct 2025Udinese v Cagliari1-1
03 May 2025Cagliari v Udinese1-2
25 Oct 2024Udinese v Cagliari2-0
18 Feb 2024Udinese v Cagliari1-1
01 Nov 2023Udinese v Cagliari1-2
17 Sep 2023Cagliari v Udinese0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 35% · edge +18.1 pts
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.6
Bet HERE @ 2.6
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Cagliari4.6
Avg corners for
Udinese5.8
Cagliari9.4
Avg total corners
Udinese9.2
Cagliari0.8
Avg yellow cards
Udinese1.4
Cagliari11
Avg shots
Udinese15.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 50% · edge +6.6 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleA. Belotti Anytime GoalscorerA. Belotti · 2 goals · 1.68 SOT/90
77/100
Bet HERE
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A. Belotti 1+ Shot On TargetA. Belotti · 1.68 shots on target/90
81/100
Bet HERE
P. Mendy 2+ ShotsP. Mendy · 3 shots/90
79/100
Bet HERE
N. Zaniolo To Assist / Key Pass AngleN. Zaniolo · 6 assists · 2.14 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
M. Palestra To Be FouledM. Palestra · 3.31 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Branimir Mlačić Card RiskBranimir Mlačić · 2 yellows · 3.67 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
A. Belotti
A. BelottiCagliari · Attacker
Goal threat68/100
Shots /902.52
SOT /901.68
K. Davis
K. DavisUdinese · Attacker
Goal threat65/100
Shots /901.66
SOT /901.04
P. Mendy
P. MendyCagliari · Attacker
Goal threat56/100
Shots /903
SOT /901.2
Zito Luvumbo
Zito LuvumboCagliari · Attacker
Goal threat40/100
Shots /902.96
SOT /901.61
M. Felici
M. FeliciCagliari · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /901.54
SOT /901.32
Y. Trepy
Y. TrepyCagliari · Attacker
Goal threat46/100
Shots /902.87
SOT /900.96
Branimir Mlačić
Branimir MlačićUdinese · Defender
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
E. Ebosse
E. EbosseUdinese · Defender
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

Serie A

Cagliari36
Played
Udinese36
Cagliari1
Avg goals for
Udinese1.3
Cagliari1.4
Avg goals against
Udinese1.3
Cagliari8
Clean sheets
Udinese11
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 35% · edge +18.1 pts
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.6
Bet HERE @ 2.6
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Udinese503614814-1
15Cagliari373691017-15

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.