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Cagliari crestCagliari
v
Udinese crestUdinese

Serie A | Sun 28 Feb, 17:30

Cagliari v Udinese Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cagliari face Udinese in Serie A on Sun 28 Feb, 17:30. Cagliari have conceded only two goals in four league games, winning three of them by a single-goal margin. Cagliari’s disciplined defence and three wins from four matches contrast with Udinese’s leaky backline, conceding 10 goals in four games.

BT4Y best bet

Cagliari to win

  • At 40/1, Cagliari to win implies roughly 2%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 17%.
  • Maduka Okoye making seven saves against Inter illustrates how much defensive work was required even before the five goals are considered.
  • Cagliari have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Udinese.
  • Cagliari have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.2 conceded per match, which helps the Cagliari to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Cagliari sit 9 in the table, while Udinese sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 17% for Cagliari to win sits against roughly 2% implied by the current price. Cagliari have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Udinese. Maduka Okoye making seven saves against Inter illustrates how much defensive work was required even before the five goals are considered.

Model chance vs price17% model chance against roughly 2% implied
Strong positive
Cagliari have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Cagliari have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Maduka Okoye making seven saves against Inter illustrates how.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Cagliari Win is the preferred angle because maduka Okoye making seven saves against Inter illustrates how much defensive work was required even before the five goals are considered. Cagliari have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Udinese. Udinese have shown enough attacking threat to hurt opponents, but Cagliari have made a habit of squeezing matches into narrow margins.

Main risk

Udinese have shown enough attacking threat to hurt opponents, but Cagliari have made a habit of squeezing matches into narrow margins.

Key Data Signals

Cagliari to win evidence

Maduka Okoye making seven saves against Inter illustrates how much defensive work was required even before the five.

Cagliari have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Udinese.

Cagliari have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.2 conceded per match, which helps the Cagliari Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Cagliari sit 9 in the table, while Udinese sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Cagliari to win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Cagliari0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Udinese0.8
    Cagliari2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Udinese2.6
    Cagliari40%
    BTTS rate
    Udinese40%
    Cagliari40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Udinese60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Cagliari

    LLLDW
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 4L
    27 Oct 2026A AS Roma2-4
    24 Oct 2026H Bologna0-2
    19 Oct 2026A Monza0-4
    11 Oct 2026H Juventus1-1
    19 Sep 2026A Udinese1-0

    Udinese

    LLLLL
    Last 50W 0D 5L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 6L
    25 Oct 2026H AC Milan0-2
    18 Oct 2026H Lecce0-3
    12 Oct 2026A Torino1-2
    19 Sep 2026H Cagliari0-1
    14 Sep 2026A Inter3-5

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Cagliari Over 2.5
    60%Udinese Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cagliari sit at 40% and Udinese sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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