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Cagliari crestCagliari
v
Udinese crestUdinese

Serie A | Sat 09 May, 14:00

Cagliari v Udinese Stats

Data last updated: Wed 24 Jun 2026, 01:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cagliari face Udinese in Serie A on Sat 09 May, 14:00. Udinese are unbeaten in their last four away league matches and have a superior head-to-head record against Cagliari, losing just once in their last 13 meetings.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale: Udinese or Draw Udinese head to Sardinia in a position of significant psychological and statistical strength

  • At 9/1, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 10%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 47%.
  • Over 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of Udinese’s last six away Serie A matches, and their recent 3-3 draw against Lazio perfectly captured.
  • Cagliari show a 40% BTTS rate and Udinese show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Cagliari average 1 goals scored and Udinese average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 47% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 10% implied by the current price. Cagliari show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Udinese show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Over that scoring level has landed in 67% of Udinese’s last six away Serie A matches, and their recent 3-3 draw against Lazio perfectly captured.

Model chance vs price47% model chance against roughly 10% implied
Strong positive
Cagliari show a 40% BTTS rate and Udinese show a.Visible data support
Positive
Cagliari average 1 goals scored and Udinese average 1.6, so.Visible data support
Positive
Over 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of Udinese’s.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because over that scoring level has landed in 67% of Udinese’s last six away Serie A matches, and their recent 3-3 draw against Lazio perfectly captured their personality. Cagliari show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Udinese show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The trip may be 834 kilometres long, but shortens every journey.

Main risk

The trip may be 834 kilometres long, but shortens every journey.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Over 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of Udinese’s last six away Serie A matches, and their recent.

Cagliari show a 40% BTTS rate and Udinese show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Cagliari average 1 goals scored and Udinese average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cagliari4.6
Avg corners for
Udinese5.8
Cagliari9.4
Avg total corners
Udinese9.2
Cagliari0.8
Avg yellow cards
Udinese1.4
Cagliari11
Avg shots
Udinese15.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 50% · edge +6.6 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

Serie A hubCagliari v Udinese predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cagliari1
Avg goals scored
Udinese1.6
Cagliari1.4
Avg goals conceded
Udinese0.8
Cagliari40%
BTTS rate
Udinese20%
Cagliari60%
Over 2.5 goals
Udinese40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 52% · edge -5.7 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 40% for Cagliari and 20% for Udinese, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 52% · edge -5.7 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Udinese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Udinese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Cagliari Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cagliari

DWLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
03 May 2026A Bologna0-0
27 Apr 2026H Atalanta3-2
17 Apr 2026A Inter0-3
11 Apr 2026H Cremonese1-0
04 Apr 2026A Sassuolo1-2

Udinese

WDLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
02 May 2026H Torino2-0
27 Apr 2026A Lazio3-3
18 Apr 2026H Parma0-1
11 Apr 2026A AC Milan3-0
06 Apr 2026H Como0-0
Best odds for this sectionUdinese to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 35% · edge +18.1 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Udinese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Cagliari Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Cagliari to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Cagliari wins
4Draws
4Udinese wins
05 Oct 2025Udinese v Cagliari1-1
03 May 2025Cagliari v Udinese1-2
25 Oct 2024Udinese v Cagliari2-0
18 Feb 2024Udinese v Cagliari1-1
01 Nov 2023Udinese v Cagliari1-2
17 Sep 2023Cagliari v Udinese0-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 52% · edge -5.7 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Udinese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Cagliari to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Serie A

Cagliari38
Played
Udinese38
Cagliari1.1
Avg goals for
Udinese1.2
Cagliari1.4
Avg goals against
Udinese1.3
Cagliari8
Clean sheets
Udinese11
Best odds for this sectionUdinese to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 35% · edge +18.1 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
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Udinese Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Cagliari Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Cagliari to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Season data supports Udinese to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Udinese503814816-3
14Cagliari4338111017-13
Cagliari sit in position 14, while Udinese sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Cagliari Over 2.5
40%Udinese Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cagliari sit at 60% and Udinese sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Cagliari v Udinese prediction

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Next step

Betting context

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