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Cagliari crestCagliari
v
Atalanta crestAtalanta

Serie A | Mon 27 Apr, 17:30

Cagliari v Atalanta Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 3.5, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 29% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 60%, so the current line is showing a +31.4-point value edge.
  • Cagliari have scored in 60% of the recent sample and Atalanta have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 40% and 40%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Cagliari have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Atalanta have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.5, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 29% · edge +31.4 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Cagliari Over 2.5
20%Atalanta Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Cagliari

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
17 Apr 2026A Inter0-3
11 Apr 2026H Cremonese1-0
04 Apr 2026A Sassuolo1-2
20 Mar 2026H Napoli0-1
15 Mar 2026A Pisa1-3

Atalanta

DLWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
18 Apr 2026A AS Roma1-1
11 Apr 2026H Juventus0-1
06 Apr 2026A Lecce3-0
22 Mar 2026H Hellas Verona1-0
14 Mar 2026A Inter1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 55% · edge +21.1 pts
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Cagliari0.6
Avg goals scored
Atalanta1.2
Cagliari1.8
Avg goals conceded
Atalanta0.6
Cagliari40%
BTTS rate
Atalanta40%
Cagliari60%
Over 2.5 goals
Atalanta20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 29% · edge +31.4 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

2Cagliari wins
1Draws
7Atalanta wins
13 Dec 2025Atalanta v Cagliari2-1
15 Feb 2025Atalanta v Cagliari0-0
14 Dec 2024Cagliari v Atalanta0-1
07 Apr 2024Cagliari v Atalanta2-1
24 Sep 2023Atalanta v Cagliari2-0
06 Feb 2022Atalanta v Cagliari1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 29% · edge +31.4 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Cagliari4.8
Avg corners for
Atalanta5.8
Cagliari8.6
Avg total corners
Atalanta9.2
Cagliari1.8
Avg yellow cards
Atalanta1.6
Cagliari11.8
Avg shots
Atalanta13
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 51% · edge +8.8 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleN. Krstović Anytime GoalscorerN. Krstović · 10 goals · 1.79 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
N. Krstović 1+ Shot On TargetN. Krstović · 1.79 shots on target/90
83/100
Bet HERE
N. Krstović 2+ ShotsN. Krstović · 4.03 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
C. De Ketelaere To Assist / Key Pass AngleC. De Ketelaere · 5 assists · 2.64 key passes/90
74/100
Bet HERE
M. Palestra To Be FouledM. Palestra · 3.31 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
G. Borrelli Card RiskG. Borrelli · 4 yellows · 3.3 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
N. Krstović
N. KrstovićAtalanta · Attacker
Goal threat96/100
Shots /904.03
SOT /901.79
G. Scamacca
G. ScamaccaAtalanta · Attacker
Goal threat91/100
Shots /903.37
SOT /901.51
A. Belotti
A. BelottiCagliari · Attacker
Goal threat68/100
Shots /902.52
SOT /901.68
G. Raspadori
G. RaspadoriAtalanta · Attacker
Goal threat59/100
Shots /902.14
SOT /901.65
P. Mendy
P. MendyCagliari · Attacker
Goal threat56/100
Shots /903
SOT /901.2
G. Borrelli
G. BorrelliCagliari · Attacker
Goal threat41/100
Shots /901.28
SOT /900.6
A. Dossena
A. DossenaCagliari · Defender
Goal threat13/100
Shots /900.69
SOT /900.14
M. Felici
M. FeliciCagliari · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /901.54
SOT /901.32
Season team stats

Serie A

Cagliari35
Played
Atalanta35
Cagliari1
Avg goals for
Atalanta1.3
Cagliari1.4
Avg goals against
Atalanta0.9
Cagliari8
Clean sheets
Atalanta13
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 55% · edge +21.1 pts
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Atalanta55351413815
15Cagliari373591016-13

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.