Bury
Harrogate TownFA Cup | Sat 17 Oct, 12:30
Bury v Harrogate Town Stats
Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 14:08 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Bury hosts Harrogate Town in this FA Cup tie with Bury showing strong recent form, having secured 9 points from their last matches and scoring 5 goals while conceding less than one per game. Harrogate Town's data is limited, but their recent performances suggest a tougher challenge ahead. Bury's attacking momentum and defensive solidity set the stage for a confident home display, while Harrogate Town will need to overcome their form and data scarcity to pose a significant threat in this knockout fixture.
Bury to Win
- Bury has earned 9 points recently with 5 goals scored and under 1 goal conceded per game.
- Harrogate Town's recent form data is limited, indicating uncertainty in their performance levels.
- Bury's over 2.5 goals rate stands at 100%, highlighting their attacking potential.
- Bury's BTTS rate is 67%, showing a tendency for matches with goals from both sides.
- The model estimates a 74% chance for a Bury win, reflecting strong in the home side.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Bury to win with a 74% probability, driven by their recent unbeaten run, solid defense conceding only 0.67 goals per game, and potent attack scoring 5 goals in recent matches. The implied of 3.4 offer significant value compared to the market's 29.4% chance, supported by Bury's consistent over 2.5 goals trend and positive momentum. Limited data on Harrogate Town adds uncertainty, but Bury's form and home advantage underpin the strong model . This pick is a solid choice with standard stake guidance.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Bury's recent attacking form and defensive resilience make them the clear favorite to progress in this FA Cup tie. Their ability to score consistently while maintaining a tight defense provides a tactical edge, complemented by the model's strong in a home win. Harrogate Town's uncertain form and data gaps suggest Bury should capitalize on this advantage.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Bury's blend of attacking efficiency and defensive discipline positions them well to control this match and secure victory, especially given Harrogate Town's limited recent data and form concerns.”
Key Data Signals
Bury to Win evidence
Bury has earned 9 points recently with 5 goals scored and under 1 goal conceded per game.
Harrogate Town's recent form data is limited, indicating uncertainty in their performance levels.
Bury's over 2.5 goals rate stands at 100%, highlighting their attacking potential.
Bury's BTTS rate is 67%, showing a tendency for matches with goals from both sides.
What To Watch In The Data
Bury to Win notes
- Over the last five matches, Bury has consistently participated in games with over 2.5 goals, indicating a high-tempo, attacking style that often leads to multiple scoring opportunities.
- This trend suggests the fixture is likely to feature several goals, driven by Bury's offensive approach and Harrogate Town's defensive challenges.
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Bury
Harrogate Town
No recent match sample is available for Harrogate Town yet.
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Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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