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Burton Albion crestBurton Albion
v
Leyton Orient crestLeyton Orient

League One | Sat 24 Oct, 15:00

Burton Albion v Leyton Orient Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 11:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Burton Albion and Leyton Orient meet in a League One clash where both teams have shown moderate attacking intent but differing defensive solidity. Burton Albion averages 5 corners per game, while Leyton Orient contributes nearly 4, setting the stage for a contest with frequent set-piece opportunities. Recent form shows Burton Albion scoring 0.8 goals per game and conceding 1.2, whereas Leyton Orient has a tighter defense, conceding just 0.6 goals per game. Both sides have similar points totals and mid-table standings, suggesting a balanced match where territorial battles and wing play could generate numerous corners.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Burton Albion averages 5 corners per game, Leyton Orient 3.8, combining for a high corner count.
  • Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong value at 2.0 .
  • Both teams have attacking players who generate shots and pressure, increasing corner likelihood.
  • Recent form shows Burton Albion’s attacking pressure with 12.8 shots per game supports corner potential.
  • Leyton Orient’s defensive resilience may force more corners through blocked shots and clearances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 69% probability, reflecting the combined attacking pressure and wing play from Burton Albion and Leyton Orient. Burton’s average of 5 corners per game and Leyton Orient’s 3.8 corners, alongside high shot volumes (12.8 each), suggest sustained offensive phases leading to set-piece opportunities. The of 19% at 2.0 confirms this as a positive bet. No data limitations affect , and the balanced league positions imply an open contest conducive to frequent corners.

Burton Albion average corners5 per game
Strong positive
Leyton Orient average corners3.8 per game
Positive
Combined average shots per game25.6 total
Strong positive
Model probability65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value edge65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing play and attacking pressure from both Burton Albion and Leyton Orient, generating numerous corners. Burton’s higher corner average combined with Leyton Orient’s resilience in defense suggests frequent set-piece situations. The statistical data and recent form support a bet on Over 9.5 Corners as a solid choice for this League One fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corners market

“Burton Albion’s aggressive wing play and Leyton Orient’s defensive blocks create a fertile environment for corners, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling market in this encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Burton Albion averages 5 corners per game, Leyton Orient 3.8, combining for a high corner count.

Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong value at 2.0 .

Both teams have attacking players who generate shots and pressure, increasing corner likelihood.

Recent form shows Burton Albion’s attacking pressure with 12.8 shots per game supports corner potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 2.33, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Over the last five matches, both teams have shown mixed goal-scoring form, but the tempo and shot volumes suggest sustained attacking phases.
  • This supports a trend towards frequent corners as teams press and defend dynamically, rather than a high-scoring game.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Burton Albion0.8
Avg goals scored
Leyton Orient0.6
Burton Albion1.2
Avg goals conceded
Leyton Orient0.6
Burton Albion40%
BTTS rate
Leyton Orient0%
Burton Albion40%
Over 2.5 goals
Leyton Orient0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 50% · edge +14 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Both teams have modest goal-scoring records, with Burton Albion scoring 0.8 and Leyton Orient 0.6 goals per game. BTTS rates are low, especially for Leyton Orient at 0%, indicating a tight defensive setup. This suggests fewer goals but does not diminish corner potential, as defensive solidity often leads to more set-piece situations.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 64% · edge +11.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Leyton Orient to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Leyton Orient Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Burton Albion Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Burton Albion to WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 65% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Burton Albion lead the corner sample at 5 per match, with Leyton Orient lower at 3.8.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Burton Albion

DDLLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
20 Oct 2026H Bradford0-0
17 Oct 2026A Peterborough2-2
10 Oct 2026A Doncaster0-1
03 Oct 2026H Huddersfield1-3
26 Sep 2026A Plymouth1-0

Leyton Orient

LWDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
21 Oct 2026A Reading0-1
17 Oct 2026H Blackpool2-0
10 Oct 2026A Bradford0-0
03 Oct 2026H Plymouth0-2
19 Sep 2026H Stevenage1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.1 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Leyton Orient to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Leyton Orient Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Burton Albion Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Burton Albion to WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Recent form shows Burton Albion has collected 5 points with a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate and 40% BTTS rate, reflecting moderate attacking output but consistent pressure. Leyton Orient’s 7 points with no Over 2.5 Goals and 0% BTTS rate indicate a more defensive approach. Despite this, both teams maintain high shot volumes and corner averages, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Burton Albion Over 2.5
0%Leyton Orient Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
In the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 2.33, indicating moderate scoring. Over the last five matches, both teams have shown mixed goal-scoring form, but the tempo and shot volumes suggest sustained attacking phases. This supports a trend towards frequent corners as teams press and defend dynamically, rather than a high-scoring game.

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