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Burnley crestBurnley
v
Wolves crestWolves

Premier League | Sun 24 May, 16:00

Burnley v Wolves Stats

Data last updated: Fri 12 Jun 2026, 23:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Burnley face Wolves in Premier League on Sun 24 May, 16:00. Burnley come in with 1 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while Wolves have 2 points and 0.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Wolves to Win

  • At 2.9, Wolves Win implies roughly 35%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 44%.
  • Wolves have the stronger recent points return, taking 2 points from the sample compared with 1 for Burnley.
  • Wolves have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Wolves Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Burnley sit 19 in the table, while Wolves sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 44% for Wolves Win sits against roughly 35% implied by the current price. Wolves have the stronger recent points return, taking 2 points from the sample compared with 1 for Burnley.

Model chance vs price44% model chance against roughly 35% implied
Positive
Wolves have the stronger recent points return, taking 2 points.Visible data support
Positive
Wolves have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Wolves Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Wolves have the stronger recent points return, taking 2 points from the sample compared with 1 for Burnley. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Wolves Win evidence

Wolves have the stronger recent points return, taking 2 points from the sample compared with 1 for Burnley.

Wolves have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Wolves Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Burnley sit 19 in the table, while Wolves sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Wolves Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Burnley2.4
    Avg corners for
    Wolves4.2
    Burnley8.6
    Avg total corners
    Wolves9.4
    Burnley1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Wolves1.4
    Burnley8.4
    Avg shots
    Wolves10.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 52% · edge +3.1 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Burnley0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Wolves0.4
    Burnley2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Wolves1.8
    Burnley60%
    BTTS rate
    Wolves40%
    Burnley60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Wolves40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 60% for Burnley and 40% for Wolves, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWolves to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 35% · edge +9.7 pts
    2.9
    Check odds @ 2.9
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Wolves Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Wolves to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Burnley

    LDLLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 2D 8L
    18 May 2026A Arsenal0-1
    10 May 2026H Aston Villa2-2
    01 May 2026A Leeds1-3
    22 Apr 2026H Manchester City0-1
    19 Apr 2026A Nottingham Forest1-4

    Wolves

    DLDLL
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    17 May 2026H Fulham1-1
    09 May 2026A Brighton0-3
    02 May 2026H Sunderland1-1
    25 Apr 2026H Tottenham0-1
    18 Apr 2026A Leeds0-3
    Market aligned with main pickWolves to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 35% · edge +9.7 pts
    2.9
    Check odds @ 2.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.59
    Check odds @ 1.59
    Wolves Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Burnley wins
    3Draws
    3Wolves wins
    26 Oct 2025Wolves v Burnley2-3
    28 Aug 2024Wolves v Burnley2-0
    02 Apr 2024Burnley v Wolves1-1
    05 Dec 2023Wolves v Burnley1-0
    09 Jul 2022Wolves v Burnley3-0
    24 Apr 2022Burnley v Wolves1-0
    Market aligned with main pickWolves to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 35% · edge +9.7 pts
    2.9
    Check odds @ 2.9
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Wolves to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier League

    Burnley38
    Played
    Wolves38
    Burnley1
    Avg goals for
    Wolves0.7
    Burnley2
    Avg goals against
    Wolves1.8
    Burnley4
    Clean sheets
    Wolves4
    Market aligned with main pickWolves to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 35% · edge +9.7 pts
    2.9
    Check odds @ 2.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Wolves Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Season data supports Wolves to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    19Burnley223841024-37
    20Wolves203831124-41
    Burnley sit in position 19, while Wolves sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Wolves Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Burnley Over 2.5
    40%Wolves Over 2.5
    2.3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Burnley sit at 60% and Wolves sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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