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Burnley crestBurnley
v
West Ham crestWest Ham

Championship | Sun 16 Aug, 16:00

Burnley v West Ham Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Burnley face West Ham in Championship on Sun 16 Aug, 16:00. Burnley conceded 75 Premier League goals last season, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. West Ham arrive in strong form after an unbeaten pre-season and a 3-1 EFL Cup win, contrasting with Burnley’s winless summer schedule and defensive struggles.

BT4Y match pick

West Ham to win

  • At 13/10, West Ham to win implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 41%.
  • Burnley’s ability to score at home despite pre-season winlessness justifies their single goal, making this a competitive correct scoreline.
  • Burnley sit 10 in the table, while West Ham sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 41% for West Ham to win sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. Burnley sit 10 in the table, while West Ham sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Burnley’s ability to score at home despite pre-season winlessness justifies their single goal, making this a competitive correct scoreline.

Model chance vs price41% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Neutral
Burnley sit 10 in the table, while West Ham sit.Visible data support
Positive
Burnley’s ability to score at home despite pre-season winlessness.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: West Ham Win is the preferred angle because burnley’s ability to score at home despite pre-season winlessness justifies their single goal, making this a competitive correct scoreline. Burnley sit 10 in the table, while West Ham sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Although Crysencio Summerville and Mateus Fernandes departed for substantial fees, retaining Jarrod Bowen gives Nuno Espirito Santo proven attacking continuity.

Main risk

Although Crysencio Summerville and Mateus Fernandes departed for substantial fees, retaining Jarrod Bowen gives Nuno Espirito Santo proven attacking continuity.

Key Data Signals

West Ham to win evidence

Burnley’s ability to score at home despite pre-season winlessness justifies their single goal, making this a competitive correct.

Burnley sit 10 in the table, while West Ham sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

West Ham to win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 44% · edge -3.4 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    West Ham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    West Ham to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Burnley-
    Avg goals scored
    West Ham-
    Burnley-
    Avg goals conceded
    West Ham-
    Burnley-
    BTTS rate
    West Ham-
    Burnley-
    Over 2.5 goals
    West Ham-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.6 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 69%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Burnley

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Burnley yet.

    West Ham

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for West Ham yet.

    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 44% · edge -3.4 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    West Ham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Burnley wins
    3Draws
    5West Ham wins
    07 Feb 2026Burnley v West Ham0-2
    08 Nov 2025West Ham v Burnley3-2
    10 Mar 2024West Ham v Burnley2-2
    25 Nov 2023Burnley v West Ham1-2
    17 Apr 2022West Ham v Burnley1-1
    12 Dec 2021Burnley v West Ham0-0
    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 44% · edge -3.4 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    The head-to-head sample gives context for West Ham to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Championship

    Burnley0
    Played
    West Ham0
    Burnley0
    Avg goals for
    West Ham0
    Burnley0
    Avg goals against
    West Ham0
    Burnley0
    Clean sheets
    West Ham0
    Market aligned with main pickWest Ham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 44% · edge -3.4 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    West Ham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Season data supports West Ham to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    8West Ham000000
    10Burnley000000
    Burnley sit in position 10, while West Ham sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the West Ham to win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Burnley Over 2.5
    -West Ham Over 2.5
    2.4H2H avg goals
    Burnley’s ability to score at home despite pre-season winlessness justifies their single goal, making this a competitive correct scoreline.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Burnley v West Ham prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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