Bucaramanga
Deportivo PastoPrimera A | Mon 17 Aug, 22:05
Bucaramanga v Deportivo Pasto Stats
Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 07:58 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Bucaramanga hosts Deportivo Pasto in a Primera A clash where form and league position heavily favor the home side. Bucaramanga sits fourth with eight points, showing solid attacking output and defensive resilience, while Deportivo Pasto languishes near the bottom with no points and defensive struggles. Bucaramanga's recent performances highlight a balanced approach with effective goal-scoring and a tighter defense, setting a tactical stage where they are expected to control the match tempo and pressure Deportivo Pasto's fragile backline.
Bucaramanga to Win
- Bucaramanga ranks 4th with 8 points; Deportivo Pasto is 19th with 0 points.
- Bucaramanga averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1.2 per game, Deportivo Pasto scores 0.6 and concedes 2.2.
- Bucaramanga averages 12.4 shots and 4 shots on target per match, surpassing Deportivo Pasto's 8.6 shots and 2.6 on target.
- Bucaramanga has an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent scoring on both sides, while Deportivo Pasto's BTTS rate is 40%.
- Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.7 over 10 matches, suggesting moderate scoring in this fixture.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Bucaramanga to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, stronger offensive and defensive stats, and higher league standing. Bucaramanga's ability to generate more shots and shots on target underpins their goal threat, while Deportivo Pasto's defensive frailties and lack of points increase their vulnerability. The 12.3% at of 1.62 confirms this is a positive value bet with a solid level of 74%.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Bucaramanga's tactical control and superior form make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their higher shot volume and better defensive record provide a strong foundation, while Deportivo Pasto's struggles in both attack and defense suggest they will find it difficult to challenge effectively in this fixture.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Bucaramanga's consistent attacking pressure combined with Deportivo Pasto's defensive vulnerabilities creates a compelling case for a home win. The statistical control in shots and recent points underlines Bucaramanga's readiness to capitalize on this matchup.”
Key Data Signals
Bucaramanga to Win evidence
Bucaramanga ranks 4th with 8 points; Deportivo Pasto is 19th with 0 points.
Bucaramanga averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1.2 per game, Deportivo Pasto scores 0.6 and concedes 2.2.
Bucaramanga averages 12.4 shots and 4 shots on target per match, surpassing Deportivo Pasto's 8.6 shots and 2.6 on target.
Bucaramanga has an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent scoring on both sides, while Deportivo Pasto's BTTS rate is 40%.
What To Watch In The Data
Bucaramanga to Win notes
- Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.7, indicating moderate scoring.
- Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rate stands at 40%, suggesting a cautious approach with potential for a controlled tempo and selective goal-scoring opportunities.
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Pasto
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Primera A
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 34 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 23 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
