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Bucaramanga crestBucaramanga
v
Deportivo Pasto crestDeportivo Pasto

Primera A | Sat 31 Oct, 01:05

Bucaramanga v Deportivo Pasto Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 01:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bucaramanga face Deportivo Pasto in Primera A on Sat 31 Oct, 01:05. Bucaramanga come in with 5 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Deportivo Pasto have 4 points and 0.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.62, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Bucaramanga and 40% for Deportivo Pasto, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Bucaramanga are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Deportivo Pasto at 0.2.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for Bucaramanga and 0% for Deportivo Pasto show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Bucaramanga and 40% for Deportivo Pasto, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Bucaramanga and 40%.Visible data support
Positive
Bucaramanga are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Bucaramanga are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Deportivo Pasto at 0.2. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Bucaramanga are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Deportivo Pasto at 0.2.

BTTS rates of 80% for Bucaramanga and 0% for Deportivo Pasto show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bucaramanga1.2
Avg goals scored
Deportivo Pasto0.2
Bucaramanga1.2
Avg goals conceded
Deportivo Pasto1.4
Bucaramanga80%
BTTS rate
Deportivo Pasto0%
Bucaramanga40%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Pasto40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 62% · edge +1.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 57%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Bucaramanga and 40% for Deportivo Pasto, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 46% · edge +11.2 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Deportivo Pasto Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Deportivo Pasto to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
6
Check odds @ 6
Bucaramanga to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bucaramanga

LLDDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
27 Oct 2026A Santa Fe1-2
24 Oct 2026A Chico0-1
18 Oct 2026H America de Cali1-1
14 Oct 2026H Águilas Doradas1-1
05 Oct 2026H Junior3-1

Deportivo Pasto

WLLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
26 Oct 2026A Deportes Tolima1-0
23 Oct 2026A Atletico Nacional0-3
20 Oct 2026H Alianza Valledupar0-1
04 Oct 2026H Fortaleza FC0-0
26 Sep 2026A Chico0-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.9 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Deportivo Pasto Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Deportivo Pasto to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
6
Check odds @ 6
Bucaramanga to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Bucaramanga Over 2.5
40%Deportivo Pasto Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bucaramanga sit at 40% and Deportivo Pasto sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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