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Bristol Cityv
Stoke CityChampionship | Sat 02 May, 12:30
Bristol City v Stoke City Stats
BT4Y best bet
Both Teams to Score
- At 2.75, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 36% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +33.6-point value edge.
- Bristol City have scored in 80% of the recent sample and Stoke City have scored in 60%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 60%.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Bristol City have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Stoke City have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 2.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
60%Bristol City Over 2.5
40%Stoke City Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Bristol City
LDLDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 3D 5L
25 Apr 2026A Birmingham1-2
21 Apr 2026A Southampton2-2
18 Apr 2026H Norwich2-4
11 Apr 2026A QPR0-0
06 Apr 2026H Sheffield Utd1-0
Stoke City
LLLDL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 2D 6L
25 Apr 2026H Portsmouth1-3
21 Apr 2026H Millwall1-3
18 Apr 2026A Wrexham0-2
11 Apr 2026H Blackburn1-1
06 Apr 2026A Derby0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 51% · edge +16.1 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Bristol City1.2
Avg goals scoredStoke City0.6
Bristol City1.6
Avg goals concededStoke City2.2
Bristol City60%
BTTS rateStoke City60%
Bristol City60%
Over 2.5 goalsStoke City40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
4Bristol City wins
1Draws
5Stoke City wins
01 Nov 2025Stoke City v Bristol City5-1
12 Feb 2025Bristol City v Stoke City2-0
22 Oct 2024Stoke City v Bristol City2-2
04 May 2024Stoke City v Bristol City4-0
30 Sep 2023Bristol City v Stoke City2-3
07 Apr 2023Stoke City v Bristol City1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Bristol City3.2
Avg corners forStoke City5.25
Bristol City9.4
Avg total cornersStoke City8
Bristol City1.4
Avg yellow cardsStoke City1.75
Bristol City8.8
Avg shotsStoke City9
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 58% · edge -7.1 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
S. BellBristol City · Attacker
Goal threat71/100
Shots /901.74
SOT /901.74
A. MehmetiBristol City · Attacker
Goal threat62/100
Shots /901.99
SOT /901.07
S. TwineBristol City · Attacker
Goal threat55/100
Shots /901.68
SOT /900.87
S. ArmstrongBristol City · Attacker
Goal threat52/100
Shots /902
SOT /901.17
J. DonleyStoke City · Midfielder
Goal threat25/100
Shots /902.31
SOT /901.15
F. FawunmiStoke City · Attacker
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
B. PearsonStoke City · Midfielder
Goal threat15/100
Shots /900.1
SOT /900.05
D. BurgzorgBristol City · Attacker
Goal threat26/100
Shots /901.15
SOT /900.49
Season team stats
Championship
Bristol City46
PlayedStoke City46
Bristol City1.3
Avg goals forStoke City1.1
Bristol City1.3
Avg goals againstStoke City1.2
Bristol City14
Clean sheetsStoke City13
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 51% · edge +16.1 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bristol City | 62 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 55 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
