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Brighton W crestBrighton W
v
Tottenham Hotspur W crestTottenham Hotspur W

FA WSL | Sat 16 May, 13:00

Brighton W v Tottenham Hotspur W Stats

Data last updated: Tue 30 Jun 2026, 02:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brighton W face Tottenham Hotspur W in FA WSL on Sat 16 May, 13:00. Brighton W come in with 9 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Tottenham Hotspur W have 4 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Brighton W to Win

  • At 2.15, Brighton W Win implies roughly 47%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 72%.
  • Brighton W have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tottenham Hotspur W.
  • Brighton W have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Brighton W Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Brighton W sit 7 in the table, while Tottenham Hotspur W sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 72% for Brighton W Win sits against roughly 47% implied by the current price. Brighton W have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tottenham Hotspur W.

Model chance vs price72% model chance against roughly 47% implied
Strong positive
Brighton W have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Brighton W have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brighton W Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Brighton W have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tottenham Hotspur W. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Brighton W Win evidence

Brighton W have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tottenham Hotspur W.

Brighton W have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Brighton W Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Brighton W sit 7 in the table, while Tottenham Hotspur W sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Brighton W Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Brighton W1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Tottenham Hotspur W1.4
    Brighton W0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Tottenham Hotspur W2.6
    Brighton W60%
    BTTS rate
    Tottenham Hotspur W80%
    Brighton W20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Tottenham Hotspur W80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBrighton W to WinBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 47% · edge +25.1 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Brighton W Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Brighton W to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Brighton W2
    Avg corners for
    Tottenham Hotspur W6.5
    Brighton W7
    Avg total corners
    Tottenham Hotspur W12
    Brighton W2
    Avg yellow cards
    Tottenham Hotspur W0.75
    Brighton W9
    Avg shots
    Tottenham Hotspur W15.25
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 53% · edge -0.9 pts
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Brighton W

    DDWWD
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    06 May 2026H Arsenal W1-1
    02 May 2026A Manchester United W1-1
    25 Apr 2026H Manchester City W3-2
    29 Mar 2026A Leicester City FC W1-0
    22 Mar 2026H Liverpool W0-0

    Tottenham Hotspur W

    WDLLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 5L
    03 May 2026H London City Lionesses W2-1
    26 Apr 2026H Manchester United W0-0
    28 Mar 2026A Arsenal W2-5
    21 Mar 2026A Manchester City W2-5
    15 Mar 2026H Everton W1-2
    Market aligned with main pickBrighton W to WinBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 47% · edge +25.1 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Brighton W Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Brighton W wins
    3Draws
    4Tottenham Hotspur W wins
    05 Oct 2025Tottenham Hotspur W v Brighton W1-0
    16 Mar 2025Tottenham Hotspur W v Brighton W0-1
    14 Dec 2024Brighton W v Tottenham Hotspur W1-1
    28 Apr 2024Tottenham Hotspur W v Brighton W1-1
    15 Oct 2023Brighton W v Tottenham Hotspur W1-3
    29 Apr 2023Tottenham Hotspur W v Brighton W2-2
    Market aligned with main pickBrighton W to WinBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 47% · edge +25.1 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Brighton W to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    FA WSL

    Brighton W22
    Played
    Tottenham Hotspur W22
    Brighton W1.2
    Avg goals for
    Tottenham Hotspur W1.6
    Brighton W1.3
    Avg goals against
    Tottenham Hotspur W1.7
    Brighton W6
    Clean sheets
    Tottenham Hotspur W6
    Market aligned with main pickBrighton W to WinBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 47% · edge +25.1 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Brighton W Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Season data supports Brighton W to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Tottenham Hotspur W36221138-3
    7Brighton W26227510-1
    Brighton W sit in position 7, while Tottenham Hotspur W sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Brighton W Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Brighton W Over 2.5
    80%Tottenham Hotspur W Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brighton W sit at 20% and Tottenham Hotspur W sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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