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Arsenal W crestArsenal W

FA WSL | Wed 06 May, 19:45

Brighton W v Arsenal W Stats

Data last updated: Sat 27 Jun 2026, 17:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brighton W face Arsenal W in FA WSL on Wed 06 May, 19:45. Brighton W come in with 8 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Arsenal W have 15 points and 4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Brighton W Draw No Bet

  • At 4.4, Brighton W Draw No Bet implies roughly 23%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 45%.
  • Arsenal W have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Brighton W.
  • Arsenal W have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Brighton W Draw No Bet angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Brighton W sit 7 in the table, while Arsenal W sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 45% for Brighton W Draw No Bet sits against roughly 23% implied by the current price. Arsenal W have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Brighton W.

Model chance vs price45% model chance against roughly 23% implied
Strong positive
Arsenal W have the stronger recent points return, taking 15.Visible data support
Positive
Arsenal W have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brighton W Draw No Bet is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Arsenal W have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Brighton W. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Brighton W Draw No Bet evidence

Arsenal W have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Brighton W.

Arsenal W have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Brighton W Draw No Bet angle more than a raw possession edge.

Brighton W sit 7 in the table, while Arsenal W sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Brighton W Draw No Bet notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Brighton W2.67
    Avg corners for
    Arsenal W6.4
    Brighton W7
    Avg total corners
    Arsenal W8
    Brighton W2.33
    Avg yellow cards
    Arsenal W1.6
    Brighton W8.67
    Avg shots
    Arsenal W18.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 55% · edge -24.3 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Brighton W1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Arsenal W4
    Brighton W1
    Avg goals conceded
    Arsenal W0.4
    Brighton W60%
    BTTS rate
    Arsenal W20%
    Brighton W40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Arsenal W60%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 38% · edge +5.7 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Brighton W and 60% for Arsenal W, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBrighton W Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 23% · edge +22.3 pts
    4.4
    Check odds @ 4.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Brighton W to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Brighton W Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Brighton W

    DWWDL
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    02 May 2026A Manchester United W1-1
    25 Apr 2026H Manchester City W3-2
    29 Mar 2026A Leicester City FC W1-0
    22 Mar 2026H Liverpool W0-0
    18 Mar 2026A Chelsea W1-2

    Arsenal W

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 108W 2D 0L
    29 Apr 2026H Leicester City FC W7-0
    28 Mar 2026H Tottenham Hotspur W5-2
    21 Mar 2026H West Ham W5-0
    15 Mar 2026A London City Lionesses W2-0
    08 Feb 2026H Manchester City W1-0
    Market aligned with main pickBrighton W Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 23% · edge +22.3 pts
    4.4
    Check odds @ 4.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
    2.98
    Check odds @ 2.98
    Brighton W to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Brighton W wins
    0Draws
    8Arsenal W wins
    05 Apr 2026Arsenal W v Brighton W0-2
    12 Oct 2025Arsenal W v Brighton W1-0
    05 May 2025Brighton W v Arsenal W4-2
    22 Jan 2025Brighton W v Arsenal W0-4
    08 Nov 2024Arsenal W v Brighton W5-0
    18 May 2024Arsenal W v Brighton W5-0
    Market aligned with main pickBrighton W to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 15% · edge +11.6 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Brighton W to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    FA WSL

    Brighton W22
    Played
    Arsenal W22
    Brighton W1.2
    Avg goals for
    Arsenal W2.4
    Brighton W1.3
    Avg goals against
    Arsenal W0.6
    Brighton W6
    Clean sheets
    Arsenal W11
    Market aligned with main pickBrighton W Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 23% · edge +22.3 pts
    4.4
    Check odds @ 4.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Brighton W to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Season data supports Brighton W Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Arsenal W5122156139
    7Brighton W26227510-1
    Brighton W sit in position 7, while Arsenal W sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Brighton W Draw No Bet assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Brighton W Over 2.5
    60%Arsenal W Over 2.5
    3.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brighton W sit at 40% and Arsenal W sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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