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Brighton crestBrighton
v
Manchester United crestManchester United

Premier League | Sun 24 May, 16:00

Brighton v Manchester United Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 18:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brighton face Manchester United in Premier League on Sun 24 May, 16:00. Manchester United vs Brighton: United’s blunt attack faces the Premier League’s early pace-setters. Brighton's recent 2-1 win at Old Trafford and strong attacking form support a 2-1 away victory prediction, with United's defensive struggles making two Brighton goals plausible and United scoring once.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 40/85, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 68%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Brighton show a 40% BTTS rate and Manchester United show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Brighton average 1.8 goals scored and Manchester United average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 68% implied by the current price. Brighton show a 40% BTTS rate and Manchester United show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 68% implied
Negative
Brighton show a 40% BTTS rate and Manchester United show.Visible data support
Positive
Brighton average 1.8 goals scored and Manchester United average 1.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Brighton show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Manchester United show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The derby sharpened the concern because numerical superiority did not translate into attacking authority.

Main risk

The derby sharpened the concern because numerical superiority did not translate into attacking authority.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Brighton show a 40% BTTS rate and Manchester United show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Brighton average 1.8 goals scored and Manchester United average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Brighton1.8
Avg goals scored
Manchester United1.8
Brighton1.2
Avg goals conceded
Manchester United1
Brighton40%
BTTS rate
Manchester United60%
Brighton80%
Over 2.5 goals
Manchester United60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 69% · edge -6.1 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 87%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 40% for Brighton and 60% for Manchester United, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 69% · edge -6.1 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Manchester United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Manchester United to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Brighton7.2
Avg corners for
Manchester United7
Brighton11.6
Avg total corners
Manchester United13.67
Brighton1.2
Avg yellow cards
Manchester United2.33
Brighton14.2
Avg shots
Manchester United17
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Brighton

LWLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
17 May 2026A Leeds0-1
09 May 2026H Wolves3-0
02 May 2026A Newcastle1-3
21 Apr 2026H Chelsea3-0
18 Apr 2026A Tottenham2-2

Manchester United

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
17 May 2026H Nottingham Forest3-2
09 May 2026A Sunderland0-0
03 May 2026H Liverpool3-2
27 Apr 2026H Brentford2-1
18 Apr 2026A Chelsea1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Manchester United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Manchester United to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Brighton to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Brighton wins
1Draws
2Manchester United wins
11 Jan 2026Manchester United v Brighton1-2
25 Oct 2025Manchester United v Brighton4-2
19 Jan 2025Manchester United v Brighton1-3
24 Aug 2024Brighton v Manchester United2-1
19 May 2024Brighton v Manchester United0-2
16 Sep 2023Manchester United v Brighton1-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 69% · edge -6.1 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Manchester United to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Brighton to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier League

Brighton38
Played
Manchester United38
Brighton1.4
Avg goals for
Manchester United1.8
Brighton1.2
Avg goals against
Manchester United1.3
Brighton10
Clean sheets
Manchester United8
Best odds for this sectionManchester United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Manchester United to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Brighton to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season data supports Manchester United Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Manchester United71382011719
8Brighton53381411136
Brighton sit in position 8, while Manchester United sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Brighton Over 2.5
60%Manchester United Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brighton sit at 80% and Manchester United sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Brighton v Manchester United prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Manchester United v BrightonLeague Cup · Wed 16 Sep 20:00

Competition and hubs

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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