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Brentford crestBrentford
v
Fulham crestFulham

Premier League | Sat 24 Apr, 15:00

Brentford v Fulham Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 12:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brentford face Fulham in Premier League on Sat 24 Apr, 15:00. Brentford host Fulham in a sharp West London derby looking to break a frustrating run of home results. Brentford have drawn five of their last six matches, while their home form has stagnated with no wins in five at the Gtech.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale: Match Result – Draw Entering this West London derby, the evidence points heavily toward a stalemate at the Gtech Community Stadium

  • Rationale: Match Result – Draw Entering this West London derby, the evidence points heavily toward a stalemate at the Gtech Community Stadium is rated around 73% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Both teams have shown defensive lapses recently, conceding goals in five of their last six matches across all competitions.
  • Brentford have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham.
  • Brentford have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Rationale: Match Result – Draw Entering this West London derby, the evidence points heavily toward a stalemate at the Gtech.
  • Brentford sit 4 in the table, while Fulham sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Rationale: Match Result – Draw Entering this West London derby, the evidence points heavily toward a stalemate at the Gtech Community Stadium around 73% on the latest available numbers. Brentford have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham. Both teams have shown defensive lapses recently, conceding goals in five of their last six matches across all competitions.

Brentford have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Brentford have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Both teams have shown defensive lapses recently, conceding goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brentford Win is the preferred angle because both teams have shown defensive lapses recently, conceding goals in five of their last six matches across all competitions. Brentford have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham. For Brentford, the risk is that the match becomes too stretched down the sides.

Main risk

For Brentford, the risk is that the match becomes too stretched down the sides.

Key Data Signals

Rationale: Match Result – Draw Entering this West London derby, the evidence points heavily toward a stalemate at the Gtech Community Stadium evidence

Both teams have shown defensive lapses recently, conceding goals in five of their last six matches across all.

Brentford have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham.

Brentford have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Brentford Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Brentford sit 4 in the table, while Fulham sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Rationale: Match Result – Draw Entering this West London derby, the evidence points heavily toward a stalemate at the Gtech Community Stadium notes

    Market odds

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Brentford1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Fulham0.8
    Brentford1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Fulham1.4
    Brentford80%
    BTTS rate
    Fulham60%
    Brentford60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Fulham40%

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Brentford

    DWDDD
    Last 51W 4D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 0L
    10 Oct 2026A Aston Villa2-2
    18 Sep 2026H Chelsea3-0
    12 Sep 2026A Bournemouth2-2
    05 Sep 2026H Sunderland1-1
    30 Aug 2026A Leeds1-1

    Fulham

    LDDLL
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 2D 4L
    10 Oct 2026A Ipswich1-2
    20 Sep 2026H Manchester United1-1
    12 Sep 2026A Liverpool0-0
    05 Sep 2026H Crystal Palace2-3
    30 Aug 2026A Sunderland0-1

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Brentford Over 2.5
    40%Fulham Over 2.5
    3.3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brentford sit at 60% and Fulham sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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