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Bournemouth crestBournemouth
v
Manchester City crestManchester City

Premier League | Tue 19 May, 19:30

Bournemouth v Manchester City Stats

Data last updated: Wed 08 Jul 2026, 22:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bournemouth face Manchester City in Premier League on Tue 19 May, 19:30. Their historic seventeen-game unbeaten run has transformed squad psychology, turning an entertaining setup into an exceptionally confident group. With both teams in scorching form, a tightly contested single-goal victory for the chasing champions appears highly plausible.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • At 9/5, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Both teams scoring has become a recurring theme, and Bournemouth are playing with too much to simply sit deep and survive.
  • Bournemouth show a 60% BTTS rate and Manchester City show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Bournemouth average 2 goals scored and Manchester City average 2.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Bournemouth show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Manchester City show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both teams scoring has become a recurring theme, and Bournemouth are playing with too much to simply sit deep and survive.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Strong positive
Bournemouth show a 60% BTTS rate and Manchester City show.Visible data support
Positive
Bournemouth average 2 goals scored and Manchester City average 2.Visible data support
Positive
Both teams scoring has become a recurring theme.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because both teams scoring has become a recurring theme, and Bournemouth are playing with too much to simply sit deep and survive. Bournemouth show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Manchester City show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. City arrive fresh from another trophy celebration after lifting the FA Cup, but football has a cruel sense of timing.

Main risk

City arrive fresh from another trophy celebration after lifting the FA Cup, but football has a cruel sense of timing.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Both teams scoring has become a recurring theme, and Bournemouth are playing with too much to simply sit.

Bournemouth show a 60% BTTS rate and Manchester City show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Bournemouth average 2 goals scored and Manchester City average 2.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bournemouth2
Avg goals scored
Manchester City2.4
Bournemouth0.8
Avg goals conceded
Manchester City0.8
Bournemouth60%
BTTS rate
Manchester City40%
Bournemouth80%
Over 2.5 goals
Manchester City80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 60% for Bournemouth and 40% for Manchester City, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League hubBournemouth v Manchester City predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Bournemouth to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Manchester City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Bournemouth Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Manchester City to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bournemouth5
Avg corners for
Manchester City9.4
Bournemouth10
Avg total corners
Manchester City13.2
Bournemouth2.4
Avg yellow cards
Manchester City1.4
Bournemouth12.6
Avg shots
Manchester City20.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 48% · edge +8.1 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bournemouth

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 6D 0L
09 May 2026A Fulham1-0
03 May 2026H Crystal Palace3-0
22 Apr 2026H Leeds2-2
18 Apr 2026A Newcastle2-1
11 Apr 2026A Arsenal2-1

Manchester City

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 3D 0L
13 May 2026H Crystal Palace3-0
09 May 2026H Brentford3-0
04 May 2026A Everton3-3
22 Apr 2026A Burnley1-0
19 Apr 2026H Arsenal2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 44% · edge +24.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Bournemouth to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Manchester City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Bournemouth Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Manchester City to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Bournemouth wins
0Draws
9Manchester City wins
02 Nov 2025Manchester City v Bournemouth3-1
20 May 2025Manchester City v Bournemouth3-1
30 Mar 2025Bournemouth v Manchester City1-2
02 Nov 2024Bournemouth v Manchester City2-1
24 Feb 2024Bournemouth v Manchester City0-1
04 Nov 2023Manchester City v Bournemouth6-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Bournemouth to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Manchester City to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier League

Bournemouth38
Played
Manchester City38
Bournemouth1.5
Avg goals for
Manchester City2
Bournemouth1.4
Avg goals against
Manchester City0.9
Bournemouth11
Clean sheets
Manchester City16
Best odds for this sectionBournemouth to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 22% · edge +17.8 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
Manchester City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Bournemouth Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Manchester City to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Season data supports Bournemouth to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Manchester City7838239642
6Bournemouth5738131874
Bournemouth sit in position 6, while Manchester City sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Bournemouth Over 2.5
80%Manchester City Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bournemouth sit at 80% and Manchester City sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Bournemouth v Manchester City prediction

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Premier League hubPremier League hubBournemouth v Manchester City predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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