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Bournemouth crestBournemouth
v
Manchester City crestManchester City

Premier League | Sat 10 Apr, 15:00

Bournemouth v Manchester City Stats

Data last updated: Tue 29 Sep 2026, 05:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bournemouth face Manchester City in Premier League on Sat 10 Apr, 15:00. Manchester City have won all nine Premier League home meetings with Bournemouth, scoring 34 goals at an average of 3.8 per game.

BT4Y best bet

Man City to win and both teams to score

  • Man City to win and both teams to score is rated around 55% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Manchester City’s flawless home record against Bournemouth and Erling Haaland’s strong early-season scoring underpin this pick.
  • Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Bournemouth on 3 and Manchester City on 15.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Bournemouth and 60% for Manchester City.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Man City to win and both teams to score around 55% on the latest available numbers. Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Bournemouth on 3 and Manchester City on 15. Manchester City’s flawless home record against Bournemouth and Erling Haaland’s strong early-season scoring underpin this pick.

Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Manchester City’s flawless home record against Bournemouth and Erling.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Manchester City Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because manchester City’s flawless home record against Bournemouth and Erling Haaland’s strong early-season scoring underpin this pick. Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Bournemouth on 3 and Manchester City on 15. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Man City to win and both teams to score evidence

Manchester City’s flawless home record against Bournemouth and Erling Haaland’s strong early-season scoring underpin this pick.

Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Bournemouth on 3 and Manchester City on 15.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Bournemouth and 60% for Manchester City.

Manchester City Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.2 for Bournemouth and 2.6 for Manchester City are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Man City to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bournemouth1.2
Avg goals scored
Manchester City2.6
Bournemouth1.6
Avg goals conceded
Manchester City1
Bournemouth80%
BTTS rate
Manchester City60%
Bournemouth60%
Over 2.5 goals
Manchester City60%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bournemouth

LDDDL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 2L
20 Sep 2026H Liverpool0-1
12 Sep 2026H Brentford2-2
05 Sep 2026A Newcastle2-2
29 Aug 2026H Everton1-1
23 Aug 2026A Manchester City1-2

Manchester City

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 0L
20 Sep 2026H Sunderland5-3
13 Sep 2026A Manchester United1-0
05 Sep 2026H Coventry1-0
28 Aug 2026A Crystal Palace4-1
23 Aug 2026H Bournemouth2-1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Bournemouth Over 2.5
60%Manchester City Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bournemouth sit at 60% and Manchester City sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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