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Bournemouth crestBournemouth
v
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace

Premier League | Sat 20 Feb, 15:00

Bournemouth v Crystal Palace Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 21:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bournemouth face Crystal Palace in Premier League on Sat 20 Feb, 15:00. There’s a peculiar tension surrounding this clash at the Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth enter this clash on a 14-match unbeaten streak and hold a strong home record with only two defeats in 17 at the Vitality.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Ing the outcome of the game after 90 minutes: a Bournemouth win, a Draw, or a Crystal Palace win

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 64%, above the 42% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/7, Ing the outcome of the game after 90 minutes: a Bournemouth win, a Draw, or a Crystal Palace win implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 42%.
  • Efficiency Metrics: Draws and Home Strength
  • Crystal Palace have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Bournemouth.
  • Bournemouth have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Ing the outcome of the game after 90 minutes: a Bournemouth win, a Draw, or a Crystal Palace win angle.
Price warning

Ing the outcome of the game after 90 minutes: a Bournemouth win, a Draw, or a Crystal Palace win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 64% while the model sits nearer 42% (-21.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 42% for Ing the outcome of the game after 90 minutes: a Bournemouth win, a Draw, or a Crystal Palace win sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Crystal Palace have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Bournemouth. Efficiency Metrics: Draws and Home Strength

Model chance vs price42% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Negative
Crystal Palace have the stronger recent points return, taking 4.Visible data support
Positive
Bournemouth have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Efficiency Metrics: Draws and Home StrengthArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bournemouth Win is the preferred angle because efficiency Metrics: Draws and Home Strength Crystal Palace have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Bournemouth. That doesn’t mean they won’t compete—but it might mean they don’t chase the game with the same desperation.

Main risk

That doesn’t mean they won’t compete—but it might mean they don’t chase the game with the same desperation.

Key Data Signals

Ing the outcome of the game after 90 minutes: a Bournemouth win, a Draw, or a Crystal Palace win evidence

Efficiency Metrics: Draws and Home Strength

Crystal Palace have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Bournemouth.

Bournemouth have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Bournemouth Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Bournemouth sit 17 in the table, while Crystal Palace sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Ing the outcome of the game after 90 minutes: a Bournemouth win, a Draw, or a Crystal Palace win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bournemouth1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Crystal Palace1.2
    Bournemouth1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Crystal Palace2.2
    Bournemouth80%
    BTTS rate
    Crystal Palace60%
    Bournemouth60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Crystal Palace60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bournemouth

    LDDDL
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 3D 2L
    20 Sep 2026H Liverpool0-1
    12 Sep 2026H Brentford2-2
    05 Sep 2026A Newcastle2-2
    29 Aug 2026H Everton1-1
    23 Aug 2026A Manchester City1-2

    Crystal Palace

    DLWLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 3L
    20 Sep 2026A Leeds0-0
    12 Sep 2026H Ipswich2-3
    05 Sep 2026A Fulham3-2
    28 Aug 2026H Manchester City1-4
    22 Aug 2026A Everton0-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Bournemouth Over 2.5
    60%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
    1.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bournemouth sit at 60% and Crystal Palace sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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