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Bournemouth crestBournemouth
v
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace

Premier League | Sun 03 May, 14:00

Bournemouth v Crystal Palace Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 3.25, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 31% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +39.2-point value edge.
  • Bournemouth have scored in 80% of the recent sample and Crystal Palace have scored in 60%, with BTTS rates of 80% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Bournemouth have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Crystal Palace have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.25, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 31% · edge +39.2 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Bournemouth Over 2.5
60%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Bournemouth

DWWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 7D 0L
22 Apr 2026H Leeds2-2
18 Apr 2026A Newcastle2-1
11 Apr 2026A Arsenal2-1
20 Mar 2026H Manchester United2-2
14 Mar 2026A Burnley0-0

Crystal Palace

LDWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
25 Apr 2026A Liverpool1-3
20 Apr 2026H West Ham0-0
12 Apr 2026H Newcastle2-1
15 Mar 2026H Leeds0-0
05 Mar 2026A Tottenham3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 35% vs implied 19% · edge +15.8 pts
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Bournemouth1.6
Avg goals scored
Crystal Palace1.2
Bournemouth1.2
Avg goals conceded
Crystal Palace1
Bournemouth80%
BTTS rate
Crystal Palace60%
Bournemouth80%
Over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 31% · edge +39.2 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

2Bournemouth wins
4Draws
4Crystal Palace wins
18 Oct 2025Crystal Palace v Bournemouth3-3
19 Apr 2025Crystal Palace v Bournemouth0-0
26 Dec 2024Bournemouth v Crystal Palace0-0
02 Apr 2024Bournemouth v Crystal Palace1-0
06 Dec 2023Crystal Palace v Bournemouth0-2
13 May 2023Crystal Palace v Bournemouth2-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 31% · edge +39.2 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Bournemouth6
Avg corners for
Crystal Palace5
Bournemouth11.2
Avg total corners
Crystal Palace9.8
Bournemouth2.4
Avg yellow cards
Crystal Palace1.8
Bournemouth15
Avg shots
Crystal Palace11
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleE. Kroupi Anytime GoalscorerE. Kroupi · 12 goals · 1.23 SOT/90
81/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
E. Eze 1+ Shot On TargetE. Eze · 2.14 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
E. Ünal 2+ ShotsE. Ünal · 3.63 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
H. Traorè To Assist / Key Pass AngleH. Traorè · 1 assists · 5.63 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
R. Christie To Be FouledR. Christie · 1.9 fouls won/90
74/100
Bet HERE
B. Sosa Card RiskB. Sosa · 1 yellows · 3.64 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
E. Kroupi
E. KroupiBournemouth · Attacker
Goal threat78/100
Shots /901.72
SOT /901.23
A. Semenyo
A. SemenyoBournemouth · Midfielder
Goal threat75/100
Shots /902.1
SOT /901.35
J. Mateta
J. MatetaCrystal Palace · Attacker
Goal threat70/100
Shots /902.28
SOT /901.29
E. Eze
E. EzeCrystal Palace · Attacker
Goal threat35/100
Shots /903.21
SOT /902.14
E. Nketiah
E. NketiahCrystal Palace · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /901.95
SOT /901.3
E. Ünal
E. ÜnalBournemouth · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /903.63
SOT /900.81
B. Sosa
B. SosaCrystal Palace · Defender
Goal threat5/100
Shots /900.91
SOT /900
T. Adams
T. AdamsBournemouth · Midfielder
Goal threat26/100
Shots /900.41
SOT /900.35
Season team stats

Premier League

Bournemouth35
Played
Crystal Palace34
Bournemouth1.6
Avg goals for
Crystal Palace1.1
Bournemouth1.5
Avg goals against
Crystal Palace1.2
Bournemouth10
Clean sheets
Crystal Palace12
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 35% vs implied 19% · edge +15.8 pts
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Bournemouth5235121673
15Crystal Palace4334111013-6

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.