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Botafogo crestBotafogo
v
Chapecoense-sc crestChapecoense-sc

Serie A | Sat 17 Oct, 22:00

Botafogo v Chapecoense-sc Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 09:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Botafogo hosts Chapecoense-sc in a Serie A clash where both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score goals recently. Botafogo's attack is moderately productive but their defense has been vulnerable, while Chapecoense-sc struggles defensively but maintains an attacking threat. Both sides are motivated to improve their league standing, with Botafogo sitting mid-table and Chapecoense-sc fighting to avoid relegation. The match promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities from both teams, setting the stage for a contest where both sides are likely to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have an 80% rate of scoring and conceding in recent matches.
  • Botafogo averages 14.4 shots per game with 5 on target, showing attacking intent.
  • Chapecoense-sc concedes 2.4 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Head-to-head matches average 1.8 goals, supporting goal involvement from both sides.
  • Botafogo’s attackers Matheus Martins and Arthur Cabral consistently threaten goal with multiple shots on target.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% probability, well above the implied market chance of 57.1%, indicating strong value. Both Botafogo and Chapecoense-sc have high BTTS rates of 80%, reflecting their attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. Botafogo’s average of 14.4 shots per game and Chapecoense-sc’s defensive concessions support the likelihood of goals at both ends. The presence of key attacking players like Matheus Martins and Neto Pessoa further bolsters the chance of goals. No data limitations affect in this prediction.

Model Probability72.1% model chance vs 57.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance72.1% model chance vs 57.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS Rate Both Teams80% each
Strong positive
Shots per Game (Botafogo)14.4
Positive
Goals Conceded per Game (Chapecoense-sc)2.4
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, making Both Teams to Score a logical pick. Botafogo’s offensive players create consistent chances while Chapecoense-sc’s defensive record suggests they will concede. This combination supports a match where both sides find the net, aligning tactical openness with recent scoring data.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles of Botafogo and Chapecoense-sc combined with their defensive lapses make Both Teams to Score a compelling expectation for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have an 80% rate of scoring and conceding in recent matches.

Botafogo averages 14.4 shots per game with 5 on target, showing attacking intent.

Chapecoense-sc concedes 2.4 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Head-to-head matches average 1.8 goals, supporting goal involvement from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.8, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • Chapecoense-sc’s 80% Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Botafogo’s 40%, suggesting Chapecoense-sc’s matches tend to be higher scoring, which may influence the overall goal tempo in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Botafogo1.2
Avg goals scored
Chapecoense-sc1
Botafogo1.6
Avg goals conceded
Chapecoense-sc2.4
Botafogo80%
BTTS rate
Chapecoense-sc80%
Botafogo40%
Over 2.5 goals
Chapecoense-sc80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Recent form shows both Botafogo and Chapecoense-sc score and concede frequently, with each team having an 80% BTTS rate. Their matches often feature goals from both sides, supported by Chapecoense-sc conceding 2.4 goals per game and Botafogo’s steady goal output, reinforcing the BTTS likelihood.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Chapecoense-sc to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Botafogo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
The 72.1% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Botafogo show a 80% BTTS rate and Chapecoense-sc show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Botafogo

DLLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
12 Oct 2026A Coritiba1-1
08 Oct 2026H Vasco DA Gama1-2
19 Sep 2026A Mirassol0-2
16 Sep 2026H Gremio3-2
13 Sep 2026H RB Bragantino1-1

Chapecoense-sc

LLDLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
12 Oct 2026H Atletico Paranaense1-4
08 Oct 2026A Vitoria0-4
19 Sep 2026A Atletico-MG1-1
12 Sep 2026H Internacional1-2
06 Sep 2026A Corinthians2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Chapecoense-sc to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Botafogo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Botafogo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Both teams have shown a pattern of scoring and conceding in recent matches, with Botafogo earning 5 points and Chapecoense-sc 4 points in their last few games. Botafogo’s defense concedes 1.6 goals per game, while Chapecoense-sc concedes 2.4, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that align with the BTTS market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Botafogo Over 2.5
80%Chapecoense-sc Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.8, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Chapecoense-sc’s 80% Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Botafogo’s 40%, suggesting Chapecoense-sc’s matches tend to be higher scoring, which may influence the overall goal tempo in this fixture.

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