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Botafogo SP crestBotafogo SP
v
Avai crestAvai

Serie B | Mon 06 Jul, 23:00

Botafogo SP v Avai Stats

Data last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026, 05:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Botafogo SP face Avai in Serie B on Mon 06 Jul, 23:00. Botafogo SP hold home advantage, but Avaí are undefeated in seven straight head-to-head matches in this fixture. Avaí are unbeaten in the last seven matches against Botafogo SP, including a 0-0 draw in the most recent meeting.

BT4Y best bet

To 11 June 2023, Botafogo SP have not won any, while Avaí have won three and three have ended level

  • At 6/1, To 11 June 2023, Botafogo SP have not won any, while Avaí have won three and three have ended level implies roughly 14%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 29%.
  • Defensive Volatility: Goals Conceded This Season
  • Botafogo SP have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Avai.
  • Botafogo SP have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the To 11 June 2023, Botafogo SP have not won any, while Avaí have won three and three have ended.
  • Botafogo SP sit 15 in the table, while Avai sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 29% for To 11 June 2023, Botafogo SP have not won any, while Avaí have won three and three have ended level sits against roughly 14% implied by the current price. Botafogo SP have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Avai. Defensive Volatility: Goals Conceded This Season

Model chance vs price29% model chance against roughly 14% implied
Strong positive
Botafogo SP have the stronger recent points return, taking 7.Visible data support
Positive
Botafogo SP have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive Volatility: Goals Conceded This SeasonArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Botafogo SP Win is the preferred angle because defensive Volatility: Goals Conceded This Season Botafogo SP have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Avai. There is pressure on both sides, but it feels slightly different.

Main risk

There is pressure on both sides, but it feels slightly different.

Key Data Signals

To 11 June 2023, Botafogo SP have not won any, while Avaí have won three and three have ended level evidence

Defensive Volatility: Goals Conceded This Season

Botafogo SP have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Avai.

Botafogo SP have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Botafogo SP Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Botafogo SP sit 15 in the table, while Avai sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

To 11 June 2023, Botafogo SP have not won any, while Avaí have won three and three have ended level notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Botafogo SP7.8
    Avg corners for
    Avai2.2
    Botafogo SP13.8
    Avg total corners
    Avai11.6
    Botafogo SP2.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Avai2
    Botafogo SP16.6
    Avg shots
    Avai7.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Botafogo SP0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Avai1
    Botafogo SP0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Avai1.6
    Botafogo SP20%
    BTTS rate
    Avai60%
    Botafogo SP20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Avai60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 50% · edge +6.7 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 20% for Botafogo SP and 60% for Avai, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBotafogo SP to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 51% · edge +10.5 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
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    Botafogo SP Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Botafogo SP to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Botafogo SP

    LWWLD
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    01 Jul 2026H CRB0-1
    20 Jun 2026A Ceara1-0
    14 Jun 2026H Operario-PR2-1
    09 Jun 2026A Vila Nova0-1
    01 Jun 2026A Ponte Preta0-0

    Avai

    LWLLL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 7L
    28 Jun 2026A Athletic Club0-1
    21 Jun 2026H Cuiaba1-0
    16 Jun 2026A Londrina2-3
    11 Jun 2026A Ceara1-2
    30 May 2026H Criciuma1-2
    Market aligned with main pickBotafogo SP to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 51% · edge +10.5 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Botafogo SP Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Botafogo SP wins
    3Draws
    4Avai wins
    23 Nov 2025Botafogo SP v Avai0-0
    28 Jul 2025Avai v Botafogo SP5-0
    19 Nov 2024Botafogo SP v Avai1-3
    31 Jul 2024Avai v Botafogo SP1-1
    07 Oct 2023Botafogo SP v Avai0-1
    11 Jun 2023Avai v Botafogo SP1-1
    Market aligned with main pickBotafogo SP to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 51% · edge +10.5 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Botafogo SP to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie B

    Botafogo SP19
    Played
    Avai20
    Botafogo SP1.3
    Avg goals for
    Avai1.1
    Botafogo SP1.1
    Avg goals against
    Avai1.4
    Botafogo SP4
    Clean sheets
    Avai6
    Market aligned with main pickBotafogo SP to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 51% · edge +10.5 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Botafogo SP Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Season data supports Botafogo SP to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    15Botafogo SP24196674
    18Avai20205510-6
    Botafogo SP sit in position 15, while Avai sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the To 11 June 2023, Botafogo SP have not won any, while Avaí have won three and three have ended level assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Botafogo SP Over 2.5
    60%Avai Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Botafogo SP sit at 20% and Avai sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Botafogo SP v Avai prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre