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Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach
v
1899 Hoffenheim crest1899 Hoffenheim

Bundesliga | Sun 18 Oct, 16:30

Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 01:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach face 1899 Hoffenheim in Bundesliga on Sun 18 Oct, 16:30. Borussia Mönchengladbach come in with 0 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while 1899 Hoffenheim have 3 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

1899 Hoffenheim to Win

  • At 2.05, 1899 Hoffenheim to Win implies roughly 49%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 62%.
  • 1899 Hoffenheim have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
  • 1899 Hoffenheim have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.6 conceded per match, which helps the 1899 Hoffenheim to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18 in the table, while 1899 Hoffenheim sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 62% for 1899 Hoffenheim to Win sits against roughly 49% implied by the current price. 1899 Hoffenheim have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Model chance vs price62% model chance against roughly 49% implied
Positive
1899 Hoffenheim have the stronger recent points return, taking 3.Visible data support
Positive
1899 Hoffenheim have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: 1899 Hoffenheim Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers 1899 Hoffenheim have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

1899 Hoffenheim to Win evidence

1899 Hoffenheim have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

1899 Hoffenheim have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.6 conceded per match, which helps the 1899 Hoffenheim Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18 in the table, while 1899 Hoffenheim sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

1899 Hoffenheim to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Borussia Mönchengladbach1.4
    Avg goals scored
    1899 Hoffenheim1.8
    Borussia Mönchengladbach3.6
    Avg goals conceded
    1899 Hoffenheim2.6
    Borussia Mönchengladbach60%
    BTTS rate
    1899 Hoffenheim100%
    Borussia Mönchengladbach100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    1899 Hoffenheim100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 71% · edge +6.6 pts
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 100% for 1899 Hoffenheim, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pick1899 Hoffenheim to WinBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 49% · edge +12.9 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
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    1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    1899 Hoffenheim to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    more Bundesliga analysiscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Borussia Mönchengladbach

    LLLLL
    Last 50W 0D 5L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 5L
    11 Oct 2026A 1. FC Köln1-2
    19 Sep 2026H FSV Mainz 053-4
    12 Sep 2026A SC Freiburg0-5
    05 Sep 2026H SV Elversberg3-4
    29 Aug 2026A RB Leipzig0-3

    1899 Hoffenheim

    LLWLL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 4L
    10 Oct 2026H Hamburger SV2-3
    20 Sep 2026A SC Paderborn 071-3
    12 Sep 2026H VfB Stuttgart2-1
    05 Sep 2026H Borussia Dortmund2-3
    29 Aug 2026A 1. FC Köln2-3
    Market aligned with main pick1899 Hoffenheim to WinBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 49% · edge +12.9 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Borussia Mönchengladbach Over 2.5
    100%1899 Hoffenheim Over 2.5
    4.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Borussia Mönchengladbach sit at 100% and 1899 Hoffenheim sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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