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Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach
v
1899 Hoffenheim crest1899 Hoffenheim

Bundesliga | Sat 16 May, 14:30

Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim Stats

Data last updated: Fri 05 Jun 2026, 12:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach face 1899 Hoffenheim in Bundesliga on Sat 16 May, 14:30. Borussia Mönchengladbach come in with 5 recent points and 0.6 goals per match, while 1899 Hoffenheim have 11 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • At 2.1, Cards implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach have the higher yellow-card average at 2.8, while 1899 Hoffenheim sit at 2.6.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Cards sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Borussia Mönchengladbach have the higher yellow-card average at 2.8, while 1899 Hoffenheim sit at 2.6.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
Borussia Mönchengladbach have the higher yellow-card average at 2.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +25.5 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Cards is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Borussia Mönchengladbach have the higher yellow-card average at 2.8, while 1899 Hoffenheim sit at 2.6. The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Key Data Signals

Cards evidence

Borussia Mönchengladbach have the higher yellow-card average at 2.8, while 1899 Hoffenheim sit at 2.6.

What To Watch In The Data

Cards notes

  • Compare both yellow-card averages before treating the card line as value.
  • Check whether match pressure is likely to create fouls and recovery challenges.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Borussia Mönchengladbach2.4
Avg corners for
1899 Hoffenheim5.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach8.2
Avg total corners
1899 Hoffenheim9.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.8
Avg yellow cards
1899 Hoffenheim2.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach12.4
Avg shots
1899 Hoffenheim15.6
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 48% · edge +25.5 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

Bundesliga hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Borussia Mönchengladbach0.6
Avg goals scored
1899 Hoffenheim2
Borussia Mönchengladbach1
Avg goals conceded
1899 Hoffenheim1.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach40%
BTTS rate
1899 Hoffenheim80%
Borussia Mönchengladbach20%
Over 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim80%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +14.5 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 48% · edge +25.5 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
1899 Hoffenheim to WinBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 Cards is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LWDDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
09 May 2026A FC Augsburg1-3
03 May 2026H Borussia Dortmund1-0
25 Apr 2026A VfL Wolfsburg0-0
19 Apr 2026H FSV Mainz 051-1
11 Apr 2026A RB Leipzig0-1

1899 Hoffenheim

WDWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
09 May 2026H Werder Bremen1-0
02 May 2026H VfB Stuttgart3-3
25 Apr 2026A Hamburger SV2-1
18 Apr 2026H Borussia Dortmund2-1
10 Apr 2026A FC Augsburg2-2
Best odds for this section1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
1899 Hoffenheim to WinBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetfred guide price · model 20%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Borussia Mönchengladbach wins
2Draws
31899 Hoffenheim wins
14 Jan 20261899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Mönchengladbach5-1
03 May 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim4-4
21 Dec 20241899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Mönchengladbach1-2
20 Apr 20241899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Monchengladbach4-3
02 Dec 2023Borussia Monchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim2-1
28 Jan 20231899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Monchengladbach1-4
Best odds for this section1899 Hoffenheim to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 61% · edge +9.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 20%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for 1899 Hoffenheim to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Bundesliga

Borussia Mönchengladbach34
Played
1899 Hoffenheim34
Borussia Mönchengladbach1.2
Avg goals for
1899 Hoffenheim1.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach1.6
Avg goals against
1899 Hoffenheim1.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach13
Clean sheets
1899 Hoffenheim7
Best odds for this section1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
1899 Hoffenheim to WinBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Season data supports 1899 Hoffenheim Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
51899 Hoffenheim6134187913
12Borussia Mönchengladbach383491114-11
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit in position 12, while 1899 Hoffenheim sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Cards assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Borussia Mönchengladbach Over 2.5
80%1899 Hoffenheim Over 2.5
4.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Borussia Mönchengladbach sit at 20% and 1899 Hoffenheim sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

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Betting context

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