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Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund
v
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

Bundesliga | Sun 26 Apr, 16:30

Borussia Dortmund v SC Freiburg Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 3.25, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 31% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 67%, so the current line is showing a +35.9-point value edge.
  • Borussia Dortmund have scored in 80% of the recent sample and SC Freiburg have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 40% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Borussia Dortmund have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: SC Freiburg have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.25, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 31% · edge +35.9 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
6.25
Bet HERE @ 6.25
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.68
Bet HERE @ 1.68
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5
60%SC Freiburg Over 2.5
4.2H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Borussia Dortmund

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
18 Apr 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
11 Apr 2026H Bayer Leverkusen0-1
04 Apr 2026A VfB Stuttgart2-0
21 Mar 2026H Hamburger SV3-2
14 Mar 2026H FC Augsburg2-0

SC Freiburg

WWLWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
19 Apr 2026H 1. FC Heidenheim2-1
12 Apr 2026A FSV Mainz 051-0
04 Apr 2026H Bayern München2-3
22 Mar 2026A FC St. Pauli2-1
15 Mar 2026H Union Berlin0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 55% · edge +13.1 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
6.25
Bet HERE @ 6.25
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.1
Bet HERE @ 1.1
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.68
Bet HERE @ 1.68
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Borussia Dortmund1.6
Avg goals scored
SC Freiburg1.4
Borussia Dortmund1
Avg goals conceded
SC Freiburg1.2
Borussia Dortmund40%
BTTS rate
SC Freiburg60%
Borussia Dortmund40%
Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 31% · edge +35.9 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

7Borussia Dortmund wins
1Draws
2SC Freiburg wins
14 Dec 2025SC Freiburg v Borussia Dortmund1-1
05 Apr 2025SC Freiburg v Borussia Dortmund1-4
23 Nov 2024Borussia Dortmund v SC Freiburg4-0
09 Feb 2024Borussia Dortmund v SC Freiburg3-0
16 Sep 2023SC Freiburg v Borussia Dortmund2-4
04 Feb 2023Borussia Dortmund v SC Freiburg5-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 31% · edge +35.9 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
6.25
Bet HERE @ 6.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Borussia Dortmund6.6
Avg corners for
SC Freiburg4.4
Borussia Dortmund10.4
Avg total corners
SC Freiburg9
Borussia Dortmund2.4
Avg yellow cards
SC Freiburg1.6
Borussia Dortmund13.4
Avg shots
SC Freiburg14.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 46% · edge +18.5 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleS. Guirassy Anytime GoalscorerS. Guirassy · 16 goals · 1.39 SOT/90
83/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
S. Guirassy 1+ Shot On TargetS. Guirassy · 1.39 shots on target/90
77/100
Bet HERE
S. Guirassy 2+ ShotsS. Guirassy · 2.58 shots/90
75/100
Bet HERE
J. Ryerson To Assist / Key Pass AngleJ. Ryerson · 14 assists · 2.18 key passes/90
74/100
Bet HERE
J. Manzambi To Be FouledJ. Manzambi · 3.38 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Cyriaque Kalou Irié Card RiskCyriaque Kalou Irié · 3 yellows · 2.89 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
S. Guirassy
S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund · Attacker
Goal threat84/100
Shots /902.58
SOT /901.39
I. Matanović
I. MatanovićSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /902.24
SOT /901.09
K. Adeyemi
K. AdeyemiBorussia Dortmund · Attacker
Goal threat67/100
Shots /901.95
SOT /901.05
S. Inacio
S. InacioBorussia Dortmund · Attacker
Goal threat37/100
Shots /901.43
SOT /901.15
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
Cyriaque Kalou IriéSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.57
SOT /900.52
N. Süle
N. SüleBorussia Dortmund · Defender
Goal threat12/100
Shots /900.37
SOT /900.18
Season team stats

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund33
Played
SC Freiburg33
Borussia Dortmund2.1
Avg goals for
SC Freiburg1.4
Borussia Dortmund1
Avg goals against
SC Freiburg1.7
Borussia Dortmund14
Clean sheets
SC Freiburg6
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 16% · edge +22.5 pts
6.25
Bet HERE @ 6.25
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.68
Bet HERE @ 1.68
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Borussia Dortmund7033217534
7SC Freiburg443312813-9

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.