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Bologna crestBologna
v
Inter crestInter

Serie A | Sat 23 May, 17:00

Bologna v Inter Stats

Data last updated: Tue 04 Aug 2026, 21:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bologna face Inter in Serie A on Sat 23 May, 17:00. Recent head-to-head fixtures frequently result in stalemates, making a balanced competitive baseline logical as the host side looks to close out their European registration campaign with pride.

BT4Y best bet

Full-Time Draw Rationale Inter Milan maintain an 11-match unbeaten streak across all competitions

  • At 27/5, Full-Time Draw Rationale Inter Milan maintain an 11-match unbeaten streak across all competitions implies roughly 16%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 31%.
  • Interestingly, both teams have relatively similar “both teams to score” profiles — Bologna at 43%, Inter at 46%.
  • Bologna show a 20% BTTS rate and Inter show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Bologna average 0.8 goals scored and Inter average 2.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 31% for Full-Time Draw Rationale Inter Milan maintain an 11-match unbeaten streak across all competitions sits against roughly 16% implied by the current price. Bologna show a 20% BTTS rate and Inter show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Interestingly, both teams have relatively similar “both teams to score” profiles — Bologna at 43%, Inter at 46%.

Model chance vs price31% model chance against roughly 16% implied
Strong positive
Bologna show a 20% BTTS rate and Inter show a.Visible data support
Positive
Bologna average 0.8 goals scored and Inter average 2.2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Interestingly, both teams have relatively similar “both teams.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because interestingly, both teams have relatively similar “both teams to score” profiles — Bologna at 43%, Inter at 46%. Bologna show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Inter show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Inter, meanwhile, look like a machine that has already finished the job but forgotten how to switch itself off.

Main risk

Inter, meanwhile, look like a machine that has already finished the job but forgotten how to switch itself off.

Key Data Signals

Full-Time Draw Rationale Inter Milan maintain an 11-match unbeaten streak across all competitions evidence

Interestingly, both teams have relatively similar “both teams to score” profiles — Bologna at 43%, Inter at 46%.

Bologna show a 20% BTTS rate and Inter show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Bologna average 0.8 goals scored and Inter average 2.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Full-Time Draw Rationale Inter Milan maintain an 11-match unbeaten streak across all competitions notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bologna0.8
Avg goals scored
Inter2.2
Bologna1.2
Avg goals conceded
Inter0.6
Bologna20%
BTTS rate
Inter40%
Bologna20%
Over 2.5 goals
Inter60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 67% · edge -16.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 20% for Bologna and 40% for Inter, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 67% · edge -16.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Inter Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Inter to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Bologna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Bologna to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Serie A analysisBologna v Inter predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bologna4.2
Avg corners for
Inter5.6
Bologna9
Avg total corners
Inter10.4
Bologna1.4
Avg yellow cards
Inter0.8
Bologna10
Avg shots
Inter15
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 60% · edge +4.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bologna

WWDLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
17 May 2026A Atalanta1-0
11 May 2026A Napoli3-2
03 May 2026H Cagliari0-0
25 Apr 2026H AS Roma0-2
19 Apr 2026A Juventus0-2

Inter

DWWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
17 May 2026H Hellas Verona1-1
09 May 2026A Lazio3-0
03 May 2026H Parma2-0
26 Apr 2026A Torino2-2
17 Apr 2026H Cagliari3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 77% · edge +7.1 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Inter Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Inter to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Bologna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Bologna to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Bologna wins
3Draws
3Inter wins
04 Jan 2026Inter v Bologna3-1
19 Dec 2025Bologna v Inter1-1
20 Apr 2025Bologna v Inter1-0
15 Jan 2025Inter v Bologna2-2
09 Mar 2024Bologna v Inter0-1
20 Dec 2023Inter v Bologna1-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 67% · edge -16.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Inter to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Bologna to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Bologna38
Played
Inter38
Bologna1.3
Avg goals for
Inter2.3
Bologna1.2
Avg goals against
Inter0.9
Bologna12
Clean sheets
Inter18
Best odds for this sectionInter Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Inter to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Bologna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Bologna to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Season data supports Inter Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Inter8738276554
8Bologna5638168143
Bologna sit in position 8, while Inter sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Full-Time Draw Rationale Inter Milan maintain an 11-match unbeaten streak across all competitions assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Bologna Over 2.5
60%Inter Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bologna sit at 20% and Inter sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Bologna v Inter prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Serie A hubmore Serie A analysisBologna v Inter predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre