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Bologna crestBologna
v
Inter crestInter

Serie A | Sat 17 Oct, 17:00

Bologna v Inter Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 02:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bologna face Inter in Serie A on Sat 17 Oct, 17:00. Last weekend's 3-0 victory over Parma demonstrated that attacking quality, but Tuesday's extraordinary 4-3 Champions League defeat against Club Brugge exposed familiar weaknesses.

BT4Y best bet

Bologna Asian Handicap +1

  • At 1.7, Bologna Asian Handicap +1 implies roughly 59%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Inter's high attacking volume suggests multiple scoring chances against Bologna.
  • Bologna show a 60% BTTS rate and Inter show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Bologna average 1 goals scored and Inter average 2.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Bologna Asian Handicap +1 sits against roughly 59% implied by the current price. Bologna show a 60% BTTS rate and Inter show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Inter's high attacking volume suggests multiple scoring chances against Bologna.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 59% implied
Positive
Bologna show a 60% BTTS rate and Inter show a.Visible data support
Positive
Bologna average 1 goals scored and Inter average 2.8, so.Visible data support
Positive
Inter's high attacking volume suggests multiple scoring chances.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because inter's high attacking volume suggests multiple scoring chances against Bologna. Bologna show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Inter show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Defensive reliability remains Chivu's biggest concern.

Main risk

Defensive reliability remains Chivu's biggest concern.

Key Data Signals

Bologna Asian Handicap +1 evidence

Inter's high attacking volume suggests multiple scoring chances against Bologna.

Bologna show a 60% BTTS rate and Inter show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Bologna average 1 goals scored and Inter average 2.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Bologna Asian Handicap +1 notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bologna1
Avg goals scored
Inter2.8
Bologna1.2
Avg goals conceded
Inter1.4
Bologna60%
BTTS rate
Inter60%
Bologna40%
Over 2.5 goals
Inter80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 81%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Inter Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Inter to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Bologna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
6
Check odds @ 6
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Serie A analysisBologna v Inter predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bologna

WDLDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 3L
11 Oct 2026A Lecce2-1
19 Sep 2026H Torino1-1
13 Sep 2026A Napoli0-1
06 Sep 2026H Sassuolo2-2
31 Aug 2026A Atalanta0-1

Inter

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 0L
10 Oct 2026H Parma3-0
19 Sep 2026A AS Roma2-2
14 Sep 2026H Udinese5-3
05 Sep 2026H Napoli3-2
30 Aug 2026A Cagliari1-0
Best odds for this sectionInter Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Inter to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Bologna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
6
Check odds @ 6
Bologna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Bologna Over 2.5
80%Inter Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bologna sit at 40% and Inter sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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