Bologna
CagliariSerie A | Sun 18 Apr, 17:30
Bologna v Cagliari Stats
Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 18:11 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Bologna face Cagliari in Serie A on Sun 18 Apr, 17:30. With both teams missing key attacking personnel, a 1-1 stalemate balances Bologna’s home dominance in this fixture against their current inability to secure wins at the Dall'Ara. Cagliari have conceded 29 goals on the road this season, contributing to three consecutive away losses.
Wins if Cagliari either win the match outright or the game ends in a draw
- Wins if Cagliari either win the match outright or the game ends in a draw is rated around 27% by the current BT4Y model.
- Bologna have lost seven of their last nine home matches and failed to score in their last two outings.
- Cagliari have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Bologna.
- Cagliari have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Wins if Cagliari either win the match outright or the game ends in a draw angle more than a raw.
- Bologna sit 15 in the table, while Cagliari sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model rates Wins if Cagliari either win the match outright or the game ends in a draw around 27% on the latest available numbers. Cagliari have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Bologna. Bologna have lost seven of their last nine home matches and failed to score in their last two outings.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Bologna Win is the preferred angle because bologna have lost seven of their last nine home matches and failed to score in their last two outings. Cagliari have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Bologna. Options like Semih Kilicsoy or Andrea Belotti may step in, but the chemistry and sharpness of last week will be hard to replicate.
Options like Semih Kilicsoy or Andrea Belotti may step in, but the chemistry and sharpness of last week will be hard to replicate.
Key Data Signals
Wins if Cagliari either win the match outright or the game ends in a draw evidence
Bologna have lost seven of their last nine home matches and failed to score in their last two.
Cagliari have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Bologna.
Cagliari have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Bologna Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Bologna sit 15 in the table, while Cagliari sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Wins if Cagliari either win the match outright or the game ends in a draw notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Bologna
Cagliari
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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