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Bologna
CagliariSerie A | Sun 03 May, 11:30
Bologna v Cagliari Stats
Data last updated: Sun 31 May 2026, 04:28 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Bologna face Cagliari in Serie A on Sun 03 May, 11:30. With both teams missing key attacking personnel, a 1-1 stalemate balances Bologna’s home dominance in this fixture against their current inability to secure wins at the Dall'Ara. Cagliari have conceded 29 goals on the road this season, contributing to three consecutive away losses.
Wins if Cagliari either win the match outright or the game ends in a draw
- At 11/2, Bologna Win implies roughly 15%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
- Bologna have lost seven of their last nine home matches and failed to score in their last two outings.
- Bologna have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Bologna Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Bologna sit 8 in the table, while Cagliari sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 43% for Bologna Win sits against roughly 15% implied by the current price. Bologna have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Bologna Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Bologna have lost seven of their last nine home matches and failed to score in their last two outings.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Bologna Win is the preferred angle because bologna have lost seven of their last nine home matches and failed to score in their last two outings. Bologna have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Bologna Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Options like Semih Kilicsoy or Andrea Belotti may step in, but the chemistry and sharpness of last week will be hard to replicate.
Options like Semih Kilicsoy or Andrea Belotti may step in, but the chemistry and sharpness of last week will be hard to replicate.
Key Data Signals
Bologna Win evidence
Bologna have lost seven of their last nine home matches and failed to score in their last two.
Bologna have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Bologna Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Bologna sit 8 in the table, while Cagliari sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Bologna Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Bologna
Cagliari
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Season team stats
Serie A
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bologna | 56 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 3 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
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