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Bohemians crestBohemians
v
Ballkani crestBallkani

UEFA Europa Conference League | Wed 22 Jul, 18:00

Bohemians v Ballkani Stats

Data last updated: Tue 21 Jul 2026, 04:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bohemians face Ballkani in UEFA Europa Conference League on Wed 22 Jul, 18:00. The hosts have averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game across their three Conference League fixtures this season.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 56%, above the 33% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/5, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 33%.
  • Higher-Risk Approaches (Correct Score / Score Combinations): High-risk strategies target exact scorelines or score combinations (such as Team to Win and Both Teams.
  • Bohemians show a 0% BTTS rate and Ballkani show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Bohemians average 1 goals scored and Ballkani average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 56% while the model sits nearer 33% (-22.3 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +11.9 pts edge at 1.85.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 33% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Bohemians show a 0% BTTS rate and Ballkani show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Higher-Risk Approaches (Correct Score / Score Combinations): High-risk strategies target exact scorelines or score combinations (such as Team to Win and Both Teams.

Model chance vs price33% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Negative
Bohemians show a 0% BTTS rate and Ballkani show a.Visible data support
Positive
Bohemians average 1 goals scored and Ballkani average 1.5, so.Visible data support
Positive
Higher-Risk Approaches (Correct Score / Score Combinations): High-risk strategies.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because higher-Risk Approaches (Correct Score / Score Combinations): High-risk strategies target exact scorelines or score combinations (such as Team to Win and Both Teams to Score). Bohemians show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Ballkani show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Main risk

That 3-2 result was enough to take Ballkani through the previous round by the same aggregate score, but it also exposed the danger of turning a European qualifier into an uncontrolled exchange.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Higher-Risk Approaches (Correct Score / Score Combinations): High-risk strategies target exact scorelines or score combinations (such as Team.

Bohemians show a 0% BTTS rate and Ballkani show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Bohemians average 1 goals scored and Ballkani average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bohemians1
Avg goals scored
Ballkani1.5
Bohemians0
Avg goals conceded
Ballkani1
Bohemians0%
BTTS rate
Ballkani50%
Bohemians0%
Over 2.5 goals
Ballkani50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 55% · edge -21.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 0% for Bohemians and 50% for Ballkani, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 55% · edge -21.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Ballkani Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Ballkani to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Bohemians to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bohemians

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
16 Jul 2026A St Joseph S Fc0-0
09 Jul 2026H St Joseph S Fc2-0

Ballkani

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
16 Jul 2026H GAP Connah S Quay FC3-2
08 Jul 2026A GAP Connah S Quay FC0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Ballkani Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Ballkani to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Bohemians to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Bohemians wins
0Draws
0Ballkani wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 55% · edge -21.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Ballkani to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Bohemians to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Bohemians6
Played
Ballkani4
Bohemians1.5
Avg goals for
Ballkani1.8
Bohemians1.5
Avg goals against
Ballkani1.8
Bohemians2
Clean sheets
Ballkani1
Best odds for this sectionBallkani Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 36% · edge +13.7 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Ballkani to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Bohemians to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Season data supports Ballkani Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Bohemians Over 2.5
50%Ballkani Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bohemians sit at 0% and Ballkani sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.