Benfica
SC BragaPrimeira Liga | Sun 13 Dec, 16:00
Benfica v SC Braga Stats
Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 11:29 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Benfica face SC Braga in Primeira Liga on Sun 13 Dec, 16:00. However, Braga’s consistency in front of goal—scoring in 17 consecutive league games—suggests the visitors will find the net, especially given Benfica’s defensive suspensions involving Otamendi and Rios.
Benfica Win
- At 21/10, Benfica Win implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 47%.
- Benfica’s home firepower and the return of 21-goal Pavlidis should see them edge this contest.
- Benfica have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for SC Braga.
- Benfica have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Benfica Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Benfica sit 2 in the table, while SC Braga sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 47% for Benfica Win sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Benfica have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for SC Braga. Benfica’s home firepower and the return of 21-goal Pavlidis should see them edge this contest.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Benfica Win is the preferred angle because benfica’s home firepower and the return of 21-goal Pavlidis should see them edge this contest. Benfica have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for SC Braga. The Primeira Liga title is already gone, but Benfica’s season is still balanced delicately on the edge of something significant.
The Primeira Liga title is already gone, but Benfica’s season is still balanced delicately on the edge of something significant.
Key Data Signals
Benfica Win evidence
Benfica’s home firepower and the return of 21-goal Pavlidis should see them edge this contest.
Benfica have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 4 for SC Braga.
Benfica have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Benfica Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Benfica sit 2 in the table, while SC Braga sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Benfica Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Benfica
SC Braga
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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