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Benfica crestBenfica
v
GIL Vicente crestGIL Vicente

Primeira Liga | Sun 13 Sep, 18:00

Benfica v GIL Vicente Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Benfica face GIL Vicente in Primeira Liga on Sun 13 Sep, 18:00. Benfica are unbeaten in 38 league matches and have scored 49 goals in 23 games this season.

BT4Y best bet

Kicks, while Benfica are very strong defending set pieces — a proper clash of strengths

  • At 1/1, Kicks, while Benfica are very strong defending set pieces — a proper clash of strengths implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • This market requires the chosen team (Benfica) to win the match and for at least two goals to be scored in total.
  • Benfica have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for GIL Vicente.
  • GIL Vicente have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per match, which helps the Kicks, while Benfica are very strong defending set pieces — a proper clash of strengths angle more than a.
  • Benfica sit 2 in the table, while GIL Vicente sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Kicks, while Benfica are very strong defending set pieces — a proper clash of strengths sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Benfica have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for GIL Vicente. This market requires the chosen team (Benfica) to win the match and for at least two goals to be scored in total.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
Benfica have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
GIL Vicente have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
This market requires the chosen team (Benfica) to win.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Benfica Win is the preferred angle because this market requires the chosen team (Benfica) to win the match and for at least two goals to be scored in total. Benfica have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for GIL Vicente. Gil Vicente are strong on counters — but they’re also weak at defending them.

Main risk

Gil Vicente are strong on counters — but they’re also weak at defending them.

Key Data Signals

Kicks, while Benfica are very strong defending set pieces — a proper clash of strengths evidence

This market requires the chosen team (Benfica) to win the match and for at least two goals.

Benfica have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 7 for GIL Vicente.

GIL Vicente have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per match, which helps the Benfica Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Benfica sit 2 in the table, while GIL Vicente sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Kicks, while Benfica are very strong defending set pieces — a proper clash of strengths notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Benfica7.25
    Avg corners for
    GIL Vicente4.5
    Benfica8.75
    Avg total corners
    GIL Vicente7.75
    Benfica1
    Avg yellow cards
    GIL Vicente1.75
    Benfica23.5
    Avg shots
    GIL Vicente15.25
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 51% · edge -3.4 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Benfica3.6
    Avg goals scored
    GIL Vicente0.75
    Benfica0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    GIL Vicente0.25
    Benfica40%
    BTTS rate
    GIL Vicente0%
    Benfica100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    GIL Vicente0%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 42% · edge +4.9 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
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    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 43%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Benfica and 0% for GIL Vicente, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBenfica to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 88% · edge -13.7 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 43%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Benfica to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Benfica

    WWWWD
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 0L
    09 Sep 2026A Moreirense4-0
    05 Sep 2026A Maritimo3-0
    31 Aug 2026H Estoril2-1
    17 Aug 2026A Casa Pia7-0
    09 Aug 2026H Academico Viseu2-2

    GIL Vicente

    LDWW
    Last 52W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 1L
    06 Sep 2026H Academico Viseu0-1
    30 Aug 2026A Famalicao0-0
    24 Aug 2026H Casa Pia2-0
    09 Aug 2026H Rio Ave1-0
    Market aligned with main pickBenfica to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 88% · edge -13.7 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.01
    Check odds @ 1.01
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    9Benfica wins
    0Draws
    1GIL Vicente wins
    02 Mar 2026GIL Vicente v Benfica1-2
    26 Sep 2025Benfica v GIL Vicente2-1
    28 Mar 2025GIL Vicente v Benfica0-3
    28 Sep 2024Benfica v GIL Vicente5-1
    04 Feb 2024Benfica v GIL Vicente3-0
    26 Aug 2023GIL Vicente v Benfica2-3
    Market aligned with main pickBenfica to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 88% · edge -13.7 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 43%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Benfica to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Primeira Liga

    Benfica5
    Played
    GIL Vicente4
    Benfica3.6
    Avg goals for
    GIL Vicente0.8
    Benfica0.6
    Avg goals against
    GIL Vicente0.3
    Benfica3
    Clean sheets
    GIL Vicente3
    Market aligned with main pickBenfica to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 88% · edge -13.7 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Season data supports Benfica to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Benfica13541015
    7GIL Vicente742112
    Benfica sit in position 2, while GIL Vicente sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Kicks, while Benfica are very strong defending set pieces — a proper clash of strengths assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Benfica Over 2.5
    0%GIL Vicente Over 2.5
    3.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Benfica sit at 100% and GIL Vicente sit at 0% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.