Benfica

Aarhus

UEFA Europa League | Thu 20 Aug, 20:00

Benfica v Aarhus Stats

Data last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026, 07:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Benfica hosts Aarhus in a UEFA Europa League clash where Benfica's recent attacking form stands out, averaging over three goals per game and scoring in 75% of matches with both teams finding the net. Aarhus arrives with limited data but shows signs of offensive threat through key midfielders and attackers who regularly create chances. The fixture promises open play with Benfica's offensive pressure meeting Aarhus' willingness to attack, setting the stage for a contest where both sides are likely to score.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

Benfica scores in 75% of recent matches with both teams scoring.
Benfica averages 3.25 goals per game, showing strong attack.
Aarhus midfielders and attackers have notable shot and assist rates.
Aarhus' defensive data is limited but offensive players create consistent chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting Benfica's consistent scoring and conceding pattern combined with Aarhus' attacking players who generate shots and key passes. Despite thinner data for Aarhus, the attacking profiles of players like J. Links support the likelihood of goals from both sides. The price offers positive value with a 26% edge, making this an attractive bet backed by strong attacking indicators and recent form.

Benfica scoring and conceding rates75% BTTS rate, 3.25 goals/game

Strong positive

Aarhus attacking player statsHigh shots and key passes from midfield and attack

Positive

Data quality for AarhusLimited defensive data, caution advised

Neutral

Price vs model chance26% value edge at odds of 2.0

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams to score is a fitting selection given Benfica's offensive prowess and Aarhus' capacity to create chances through key players. Benfica's recent matches show they concede occasionally, while Aarhus' attacking midfielders and forwards have the quality to find the net, making BTTS a tactically and statistically sound pick.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Benfica's attacking control paired with Aarhus' creative midfielders suggests a lively match with goals at both ends, making both teams to score a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Benfica scores in 75% of recent matches with both teams scoring.

Benfica averages 3.25 goals per game, showing strong attack.

Aarhus midfielders and attackers have notable shot and assist rates.

Aarhus' defensive data is limited but offensive players create consistent chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Over the last five matches, Benfica has a 75% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a high-tempo, attacking style that often leads to multiple goals.
Without direct H2H data, this trend supports an expectation of an open game with goal-scoring chances for both sides, consistent with the BTTS pick.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Benfica

DWWL

Last 52W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 1D 1L

13 Aug 2026A Heart Of Midlothian1-1

06 Aug 2026H Heart Of Midlothian6-1

30 Jul 2026H FC ST. Gallen5-0

23 Jul 2026A FC ST. Gallen1-2

Aarhus

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Aarhus yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

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Aarhus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 31%

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

Aarhus to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

Check odds @ 13

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%

1.01

Check odds @ 1.01

Benfica Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.12

Check odds @ 1.12

Benfica to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

Check odds @ 7

Benfica's recent form includes 7 points from matches with an average of 3.25 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, with both teams scoring in 75% of these fixtures. Aarhus' form data is limited but their attacking players' stats suggest they can score, supporting the expectation of goals from both sides.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Benfica3.25

Avg goals scored

Aarhus-

Benfica1

Avg goals conceded

Aarhus-

Benfica75%

BTTS rate

Aarhus-

Benfica75%

Over 2.5 goals

Aarhus-

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%

1.08

Check odds @ 1.08

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Benfica's recent matches show a 75% rate of both teams scoring, with an average of 3.25 goals per game, highlighting open play and defensive vulnerabilities. Aarhus' attacking players contribute shots and assists regularly, indicating they can breach defenses, supporting the BTTS route for this fixture.

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Useful next reads

more UEFA Europa League analysis football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Aarhus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 31%

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

Aarhus to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

Check odds @ 13

Benfica Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.12

Check odds @ 1.12

Benfica to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

Check odds @ 7

The for both teams to score reflect a positive value opportunity, with the model estimating a 76% chance versus an implied 50%, indicating the market underestimates the likelihood of goals from both sides. This pricing suggests a strong football read for BTTS, supported by Benfica's scoring and conceding trends and Aarhus' attacking player profiles.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Benfica wins

0Draws

0Aarhus wins

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Aarhus to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

Check odds @ 13

Benfica to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

Check odds @ 7

No previous head-to-head meetings exist between Benfica and Aarhus, so direct matchup history offers no guidance. The rationale relies on current form, player attacking profiles, and tactical context to assess the likelihood of both teams scoring.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Benfica2

Avg corners for

Aarhus-

Benfica2.67

Avg total corners

Aarhus-

Benfica1

Avg yellow cards

Aarhus-

Benfica0

Avg shots

Aarhus-

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Benfica averages 2 corners per game and 3.67 shots on target, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and set-piece opportunities. Aarhus' players like G. Jørgensen generate significant shot volume, suggesting the match will feature active offensive phases and chances, which often correlate with corners and fouls.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Benfica4

Played

Aarhus0

Benfica3.3

Avg goals for

Aarhus0

Benfica1

Avg goals against

Aarhus0

Benfica1

Clean sheets

Aarhus0

Best odds for this sectionAarhus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 31% vs implied 16% · edge +15 pts

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

Load more odds for this section

Aarhus to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

Check odds @ 13

Benfica Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.12

Check odds @ 1.12

Benfica to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Benfica's season stats show a strong attack averaging over three goals per game and a tendency to concede, which aligns with a high BTTS rate. Aarhus' season data is thinner but player-level attacking stats indicate a capacity to score, reinforcing the likelihood of both teams finding the net in this match.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Benfica Over 2.5

-Aarhus Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Over the last five matches, Benfica has a 75% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a high-tempo, attacking style that often leads to multiple goals. Without direct H2H data, this trend supports an expectation of an open game with goal-scoring chances for both sides, consistent with the BTTS pick.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Benfica v Aarhus Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Benfica

Aarhus

Continue the research

Next step

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Football Stats Hub

Benfica v Aarhus Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Benfica

Aarhus

Continue the research

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Prediction context

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