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Belarus crestBelarus
v
Syria crestSyria

Friendlies | Fri 05 Jun, 17:00

Belarus v Syria Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 05:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Belarus face Syria in Friendlies on Fri 05 Jun, 17:00. Belarus have started 2026 with renewed under new manager Viktor Goncharenko, while Syria travel to Minsk buoyed by an emphatic victory that secured top spot in their Asian Cup qualifying group.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale: Over 2

  • At 1/1, Belarus Win implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • The trade-off is extreme volatility; a completely dominant performance can be ruined by a meaningless 93rd-minute consolation goal or a random defensive deflection.
  • Belarus have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Syria.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Belarus Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Belarus have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Syria. The trade-off is extreme volatility; a completely dominant performance can be ruined by a meaningless 93rd-minute consolation goal or a random defensive deflection.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
Belarus have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
The trade-off is extreme volatility; a completely dominant performance.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Belarus Win is the preferred angle because the trade-off is extreme volatility; a completely dominant performance can be ruined by a meaningless 93rd-minute consolation goal or a random defensive deflection. Belarus have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Syria. Neither team can afford complacency.

Main risk

Neither team can afford complacency.

Key Data Signals

Belarus Win evidence

The trade-off is extreme volatility; a completely dominant performance can be ruined by a meaningless 93rd-minute consolation goal.

Belarus have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Syria.

What To Watch In The Data

Belarus Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBelarus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 57% · edge +16.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Belarus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Belarus to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Belarus1.5
    Avg goals scored
    Syria-
    Belarus0.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Syria-
    Belarus50%
    BTTS rate
    Syria-
    Belarus50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Syria-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Belarus

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    29 Mar 2026A Armenia2-1
    26 Mar 2026A Cyprus1-0

    Syria

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Syria yet.

    Market aligned with main pickBelarus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 57% · edge +16.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Belarus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Belarus4
    Avg corners for
    Syria-
    Belarus9
    Avg total corners
    Syria-
    Belarus4
    Avg yellow cards
    Syria-
    Belarus13
    Avg shots
    Syria-

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Belarus wins
    0Draws
    0Syria wins
    17 Nov 2022Syria v Belarus0-1
    Market aligned with main pickBelarus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 57% · edge +16.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Belarus to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Belarus4
    Played
    Syria1
    Belarus2.3
    Avg goals for
    Syria1
    Belarus1
    Avg goals against
    Syria4
    Belarus1
    Clean sheets
    Syria0
    Market aligned with main pickBelarus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 57% · edge +16.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Belarus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Season data supports Belarus to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Belarus Over 2.5
    -Syria Over 2.5
    1H2H avg goals
    The trade-off is extreme volatility; a completely dominant performance can be ruined by a meaningless 93rd-minute consolation goal or a random defensive deflection.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.