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Friendlies | Fri 05 Jun, 17:00

Belarus v Syria Stats

Data last updated: Thu 04 Jun 2026, 03:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Belarus hosts Syria in a friendly match marked by contrasting tactical approaches and recent momentum shifts. Belarus, under new manager Viktor Goncharenko, have won their last two games, showing improved attacking intent while maintaining defensive discipline. Syria arrives buoyed by a dominant 5-1 win over Afghanistan and a run of high-scoring matches, averaging 3.67 goals over their last six fixtures. Both teams seek to build on positive trends, with Belarus aiming for a third consecutive win and Syria looking to secure their first victory against Belarus. The midfield battle and tactical contrast between Belarus's structure and Syria's attacking openness set the stage for an engaging encounter.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Syria's last six matches averaged 3.67 goals, with five featuring over 2.5 goals.
  • Belarus conceded 11 goals in their previous six matches but have shown attacking improvement under Goncharenko.
  • Belarus have won their last two matches with a more balanced approach between defense and attack.
  • The fixture features a tactical clash: Belarus's organization versus Syria's expansive, high-tempo style.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Over 2.5 Goals pick aligns with Syria's recent high-scoring pattern and Belarus's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 11 goals in six games. Belarus's improved attacking output under Goncharenko, including scoring twice against Armenia, complements Syria's offensive threat, making a goal-rich match plausible. While Syria's data is thinner, their recent 5-1 win and average goals per game support the expectation of multiple goals. The price reflects fair value given the model's 74% chance, indicating a strong likelihood of an open, entertaining game with at least three goals.

Syria's recent goal average3.67 goals per game over last six matches
Strong positive
Belarus defensive record11 goals conceded in last six matches
Positive
Belarus attacking formScored 2 goals in last match under new manager
Positive
Data quality for SyriaLimited data available, sample size smaller
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Over 2.5 Goals selection is supported by Syria's recent high-scoring matches and Belarus's evolving attacking approach under Goncharenko. The tactical contrast between Belarus's structured midfield and Syria's expansive offense suggests an open game with multiple goal chances. This market captures the likely entertaining nature of the fixture, reflecting both teams' momentum and offensive capabilities.

Main risk

International friendlies often involve second-half rotations and experimental line-ups that can disrupt attacking momentum and defensive cohesion, potentially reducing goal-scoring opportunities and affecting the expected goal volume.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match attacking dynamics

“Syria's attacking ruthlessness combined with Belarus's transitional play under Goncharenko sets up a fixture ripe for goals. The midfield battle will be key, but expect both sides to find the net in a lively encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Syria's last six matches averaged 3.67 goals, with five featuring over 2.5 goals.

Belarus conceded 11 goals in their previous six matches but have shown attacking improvement under Goncharenko.

Belarus have won their last two matches with a more balanced approach between defense and attack.

The fixture features a tactical clash: Belarus's organization versus Syria's expansive, high-tempo style.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last six matches involving Syria, five have featured over 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.67 goals per game, indicating a strong trend toward open, high-scoring contests.
  • Belarus's recent matches under Goncharenko have also seen increased attacking output.
  • This trend panel suggests a match tempo conducive to multiple goals, driven by offensive intent and transitional play from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 46% · edge -3.8 pts
2.16
Check odds @ 2.16
Load more odds for this section
Belarus to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Belarus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Syria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.89
Check odds @ 2.89
Syria to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.52
Check odds @ 3.52
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at even (2.0), reflecting a balanced view between probability and bookmaker margin. The model's 74% chance suggests the price is favorable, indicating value in backing a goal-rich game given Syria's offensive potency and Belarus's recent defensive concessions. This price level encourages standard staking with in the market's fairness.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Belarus1.5
Avg goals scored
Syria-
Belarus0.5
Avg goals conceded
Syria-
Belarus50%
BTTS rate
Syria-
Belarus50%
Over 2.5 goals
Syria-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 46% · edge -3.8 pts
2.16
Check odds @ 2.16
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.66
Check odds @ 1.66
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.82
Check odds @ 3.82
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Syria's recent fixtures have been goal-heavy, with five of six matches exceeding 2.5 goals and an average of 3.67 goals per game. Belarus's willingness to attack under Goncharenko, coupled with their concession of 11 goals in six matches, supports the likelihood of both teams scoring and a high total goal count. The tactical openness and transition threat from Syria enhance the probability of multiple goals.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Belarus

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
29 Mar 2026A Armenia2-1
26 Mar 2026A Cyprus1-0

Syria

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Syria yet.

Best odds for this sectionBelarus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 57% · edge +16.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Belarus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Syria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.89
Check odds @ 2.89
Syria to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.52
Check odds @ 3.52
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.56
Check odds @ 1.56
Belarus has collected 6 points from their last two matches, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding 0.5 per game, demonstrating improved form and defensive organization. Syria's recent form, while less data-rich, includes a dominant 5-1 win and a pattern of high-scoring games, suggesting sustained offensive momentum. These contrasting recent performances underpin the expectation of an open match with multiple goals.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Belarus4
Avg corners for
Syria-
Belarus9
Avg total corners
Syria-
Belarus4
Avg yellow cards
Syria-
Belarus13
Avg shots
Syria-

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Belarus wins
0Draws
0Syria wins
17 Nov 2022Syria v Belarus0-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 46% · edge -3.8 pts
2.16
Check odds @ 2.16
Load more odds for this section
Belarus to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Syria to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.52
Check odds @ 3.52
The single previous meeting between Belarus and Syria averaged only 1 goal, a limited sample that offers little predictive value for this fixture. Current tactical developments and recent form provide more relevant indicators, with Syria's attacking evolution and Belarus's managerial changes likely to influence a more open and goal-rich encounter than past meetings suggest.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Belarus2
Played
Syria0
Belarus1.5
Avg goals for
Syria0
Belarus0.5
Avg goals against
Syria0
Belarus1
Clean sheets
Syria0
Best odds for this sectionBelarus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 57% · edge +16.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Belarus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Syria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.89
Check odds @ 2.89
Syria to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Belarus's season stats show a balanced attack and defense with a 50% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and a 50% BTTS rate, reflecting moderate scoring and conceding trends. Syria's limited data restricts comprehensive season analysis, but their recent high goal averages indicate a more attack-oriented profile. The combination suggests a fixture likely to surpass 2.5 goals, supported by Belarus's evolving offensive approach and Syria's established scoring threat.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Belarus Over 2.5
-Syria Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
In the last six matches involving Syria, five have featured over 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.67 goals per game, indicating a strong trend toward open, high-scoring contests. Belarus's recent matches under Goncharenko have also seen increased attacking output. This trend panel suggests a match tempo conducive to multiple goals, driven by offensive intent and transitional play from both sides.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Belarus v Syria prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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