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Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen
v
Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV

Bundesliga | Sat 08 May, 14:30

Bayer Leverkusen v Hamburger SV Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 03:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bayer Leverkusen face Hamburger SV in Bundesliga on Sat 08 May, 14:30. Sharp combinations, quick transitions and relentless pressure completely tore through one of the league’s stronger sides.

BT4Y best bet

Bayer Leverkusen Win

  • Bayer Leverkusen Win is rated around 74% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The 3-1 defeat away to Stuttgart last weekend exposed the recurring issue that has followed Leverkusen throughout the season: defensive instability once matches become.
  • Bayer Leverkusen have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hamburger SV.
  • Bayer Leverkusen have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Bayer Leverkusen Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Bayer Leverkusen sit 4 in the table, while Hamburger SV sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Bayer Leverkusen Win around 74% on the latest available numbers. Bayer Leverkusen have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hamburger SV. The 3-1 defeat away to Stuttgart last weekend exposed the recurring issue that has followed Leverkusen throughout the season: defensive instability once matches become.

Bayer Leverkusen have the stronger recent points return, taking 10.Visible data support
Positive
Bayer Leverkusen have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
The 3-1 defeat away to Stuttgart last weekend exposed.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bayer Leverkusen Win is the preferred angle because the 3-1 defeat away to Stuttgart last weekend exposed the recurring issue that has followed Leverkusen throughout the season: defensive instability once matches become stretched. Bayer Leverkusen have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hamburger SV. However, recent performances suggest a team playing with renewed energy rather than resignation.

Main risk

However, recent performances suggest a team playing with renewed energy rather than resignation.

Key Data Signals

Bayer Leverkusen Win evidence

The 3-1 defeat away to Stuttgart last weekend exposed the recurring issue that has followed Leverkusen throughout the.

Bayer Leverkusen have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hamburger SV.

Bayer Leverkusen have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Bayer Leverkusen Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Bayer Leverkusen sit 4 in the table, while Hamburger SV sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Bayer Leverkusen Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bayer Leverkusen2.8
    Avg goals scored
    Hamburger SV1
    Bayer Leverkusen1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Hamburger SV3
    Bayer Leverkusen60%
    BTTS rate
    Hamburger SV40%
    Bayer Leverkusen80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Hamburger SV80%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bayer Leverkusen

    WWDWL
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 1L
    10 Oct 2026A FSV Mainz 054-3
    20 Sep 2026H RB Leipzig2-0
    12 Sep 2026A FC Augsburg2-2
    05 Sep 2026H Union Berlin4-0
    29 Aug 2026A SV Elversberg2-3

    Hamburger SV

    WWLLL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 3L
    10 Oct 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim3-2
    19 Sep 2026H 1. FC Köln2-1
    13 Sep 2026A RB Leipzig0-5
    06 Sep 2026H FSV Mainz 050-5
    29 Aug 2026A Borussia Dortmund0-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5
    80%Hamburger SV Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bayer Leverkusen sit at 80% and Hamburger SV sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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