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Barletta crestBarletta
v
AZ Picerno crestAZ Picerno

Serie C - Girone C | Sun 18 Oct, 16:30

Barletta v AZ Picerno Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Barletta and AZ Picerno meet in Serie C - Girone C with both sides showing contrasting defensive records but a shared tendency to concede and score. Barletta has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.6 goals per game, while AZ Picerno has been more prolific with 1.6 goals per match but also leaky at the back, conceding 2.6 goals per game. Both teams have recorded BTTS in recent matches, highlighting an open game likely influenced by defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent. This fixture promises a contest where both sides find the net amid tactical openness and defensive lapses.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Barletta has a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • AZ Picerno has a 100% BTTS rate, indicating consistent involvement in matches with goals at both ends.
  • Recent form shows both teams scored and conceded in their last matches, supporting BTTS.
  • Head-to-head data shows an average of 3 goals in their only recent meeting, suggesting open play.
  • AZ Picerno’s 100% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Barletta’s 20%, highlighting attacking disparity but combined BTTS likelihood.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, driven by AZ Picerno’s perfect BTTS record and Barletta’s solid 60% rate. Despite Barletta’s lower scoring average, their defensive concessions create opportunities for AZ Picerno to score, while AZ Picerno’s defensive frailties allow Barletta chances. The 18.2% at of 1.73 indicates a strong statistical case for BTTS, supported by recent form and head-to-head goal averages. This pick balances attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, making BTTS a compelling selection.

BTTS Rate Barletta60%
Positive
BTTS Rate AZ Picerno100%
Strong positive
Recent Goals Conceded Barletta1.4 per game
Positive
Recent Goals Conceded AZ Picerno2.6 per game
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3 goals
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and a tendency to concede goals, especially AZ Picerno who concedes heavily but scores regularly. Barletta’s moderate BTTS rate combined with AZ Picerno’s perfect BTTS record suggests a high likelihood of goals at both ends. This match’s attacking openness and recent goal trends make Both Teams to Score a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“The defensive frailties on both sides combined with AZ Picerno’s consistent scoring and conceding pattern make Both Teams to Score a logical and data-backed pick for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Barletta has a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent goals conceded and scored.

AZ Picerno has a 100% BTTS rate, indicating consistent involvement in matches with goals at both ends.

Recent form shows both teams scored and conceded in their last matches, supporting BTTS.

Head-to-head data shows an average of 3 goals in their only recent meeting, suggesting open play.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last meeting between these teams, an average of 3 goals was scored, indicating an open and attacking fixture.
  • AZ Picerno’s 100% Over 2.5 rate this season contrasts with Barletta’s 20%, but the combined goal-scoring and conceding tendencies suggest a match with multiple goals and BTTS likelihood.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Barletta0.6
Avg goals scored
AZ Picerno1.6
Barletta1.4
Avg goals conceded
AZ Picerno2.6
Barletta60%
BTTS rate
AZ Picerno100%
Barletta20%
Over 2.5 goals
AZ Picerno100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 82%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have shown a strong tendency to both score and concede this season, with Barletta scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4 goals per game, and AZ Picerno scoring 1.6 but conceding 2.6. Their combined attacking and defensive profiles support a high likelihood of goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
AZ Picerno to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
AZ Picerno Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Barletta Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Barletta to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The 72.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Barletta show a 60% BTTS rate and AZ Picerno show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Continue the research

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Barletta

DLLDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 5D 3L
12 Oct 2026H Cavese1-1
03 Oct 2026A Giugliano0-1
27 Sep 2026H Potenza1-4
19 Sep 2026A Catania0-0
15 Sep 2026H Salernitana1-1

AZ Picerno

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 5L
12 Oct 2026H Cosenza1-2
04 Oct 2026A Potenza2-4
26 Sep 2026H Audace Cerignola2-1
19 Sep 2026A Team Altamura1-2
15 Sep 2026H Catania2-4
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
AZ Picerno to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
AZ Picerno Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Barletta Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Barletta to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding goals, with Barletta earning 3 points but scoring only 0.6 goals per game, while AZ Picerno also gained 3 points with a higher scoring rate. This recent output aligns with the BTTS trend and suggests continued goal involvement from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Barletta Over 2.5
100%AZ Picerno Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last meeting between these teams, an average of 3 goals was scored, indicating an open and attacking fixture. AZ Picerno’s 100% Over 2.5 rate this season contrasts with Barletta’s 20%, but the combined goal-scoring and conceding tendencies suggest a match with multiple goals and BTTS likelihood.

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